Minnesota Twins vs Tampa Bay Rays MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Minnesota Twins vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction 9/2/2024

The Minnesota Twins (74-62) travel to face off against the Tampa Bay Rays (67-69) on Monday, September 2nd. This game will be played at Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg and televised on BSN. The Twins are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Rays are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Padres. First pitch is set for 5:50 CT.

Twins vs. Rays Betting Prediction

  • Money Line Prediction: Twins (-113)
  • Over/Under Prediction: Over 8 Runs
  • The Twins have scored an average of 5.2 runs per game in their last 15 games.
  • In their last 15 games, the Twins have a record of 7-8, but they have won 4 out of their last 6 road games.
  • The Twins have a higher away win percentage (.522) compared to the Rays’ home win percentage (.493).
  • In the last 15 games, the Twins have scored 5 or more runs in 8 games, showing consistent offensive production.
  • In head-to-head matchups this season, the Twins have won 2 out of 3 games against the Rays.

Twins vs Rays

minnesota twins nba

The Twins Are Coming Off A Win

The Twins’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Blue Jays, closing out their series with a 4-3 win. After allowing one run to the Blue Jays in the top of the first, the Twins responded with three runs of their own. Minnesota went on to add another run in the 7th inning, and Griffin Jax closed things out in the 9th with the save.

Bailey Ober put together a good start for the Twins, going six innings and giving up just one earned run, and striking out eight. Minnesota’s offense was carried by Royce Lewis, who went 3/3 with a homer and three RBIs.

Minnesota is 35-32 on the road this season and 28-17 in divisional games. They trail the Guardians by 3.5 games in the AL Central with an overall record of 74-62. In their most recent series, they took two of three games from the Blue Jays.

When the over/under line is set at 8 runs, the Twins have a 10-17-4 O/U record. Their games have averaged 9.2 runs per game this season, and their overall O/U record is 69-63. Minnesota’s average run differential is +0.4 runs per game, and they are 3.7 runs better than their opponents in wins and 3.6 runs worse in losses.

Simeon Woods Richardson Gets The Start For The Twins

Simeon Woods Richardson is looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Braves, as he finished with a no-decision in the game. In that outing, he gave up four earned runs in 4 2/3 innings of work. Before that, he had picked up the win in two straight starts. His record for the season is 5-3, and he has an ERA of 3.85. Opponents are batting .224 off Woods Richardson this season. Per nine innings, he is averaging 7.85 strikeouts and 2.92 walks. For the year, he has made seven quality starts.

Twins Offense Breakdown

As a team, the Twins are averaging 4.8 runs per game, which is 9th in the league. They are also one of the league’s top power-hitting teams, coming in 8th in home runs and 6th in isolated power. Collectively, the Twins are batting .252, which is 8th in the league.

Ryan Jeffers comes into the game as the Twins’ top power threat, with 20 homers, and he is also the team’s current leader in RBIs at 59. Jeffers and Carlos Santana are both batting just .237 this season. However, Santana is 2nd on the team with 18 homers, and Jeffers is 3rd at 11. Willi Castro is also a significant power threat, as he has gone deep 11 times and is batting .253.

The Rays Took The Last Game Of This Series

The Rays will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Padres with a 4-3 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 6th inning before the Padres scored three runs in the top of the 6th. Tampa Bay was the +104 underdog at home going into the game.

Ryan Pepiot got the start for the Rays and took the loss. He only lasted three innings, giving up three earned runs on four hits. Manuel Rodriguez was excellent out of the bullpen, tossing three scoreless innings. The Rays also got a boost from the return of Kevin Kiermaier, who went 2/4 with a run scored.

As underdogs, the Rays have a 33-39 record this season, and their run line record as underdogs is 44-28. Overall, they are 68-68 against the run line, with a 37-28 record on the road. Tampa Bay’s games have averaged 8.2 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 61-68. When the O/U line is 8 runs, their record is 14-18-1.

Tampa Bay is 11.5 games behind the Yankees in the AL East, with an overall record of 67-69. They are in 4th place in the division, trailing the Red Sox by one game for 3rd place. The Rays have lost two straight games as underdogs and two of three games in their most recent series vs. the Padres.

Zack Littell Gets The Start For The Rays

Zack Littell is looking to build off his last outing, where he finished with a no-decision. Against the Astros on August 14th, the right-hander went five innings, giving up one earned run on three hits. Looking back further, Littell has made eight straight starts without giving up more than three earned runs. His ERA for the season is 3.89, along with a record of 5-8. Littell has done better at home this year, coming in with a record of 3-4 and an ERA of 2.86. On the road, his ERA is 6.77.

Rays Offense Breakdown

tampa bay rays

Yandy Diaz has been the Rays’ most consistent hitter this season, batting .277 with 12 homers and a team-high 59 RBIs. He also comes into the game on a six-game hitting streak. Christopher Morel and Jose Siri have also been big home run threats for the Rays this season but are batting just .196 and .193, respectively. Morel has gone deep 21 times, while Siri has 17 homers.

As a team, the Rays are averaging just 3.9 runs per game, which is the worst mark in the league. They are also near the bottom of the league in most other offensive categories, including team batting average, on-base percentage, and slugging percentage. However, they do have a couple of hitters who have been swinging the bat well of late, with Josh Lowe batting .306 over his last 10 games and Junior Caminero hitting .278 with three homers in this stretch.

Twins vs Rays Prediction

Our prediction for today’s Twins and Rays matchup is to take the Twins on the money line, with the payout being -113. Our predicted final score is 5-4 in favor of the Twins, and with the payout being -113, we see this as a great value.

Looking at the starting pitchers, Zack Littell is projected to finish with five strikeouts, which is third-worst among today’s starters. As for the Twins starter, Simeon Woods Richardson is projected to finish with five strikeouts, which is fifth-worst.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.