Minnesota Twins vs Tampa Bay Rays MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Minnesota Twins vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction 9/3/2024

The Minnesota Twins (75-62) travel to face off against the Tampa Bay Rays (67-70) on Tuesday, September 3rd. This game will be played at Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg and televised on BSSUN. The Twins are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Rays are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Twins. First pitch is set for 5:50 CT.

Twins vs. Rays Betting Prediction

  • Money Line Prediction: Rays (-113)
  • Over/Under Prediction: Over 7.5 Runs
  • The Rays have scored 5 or more runs in 5 of their last 15 games, showing offensive potential.
  • The Rays have a home record of 35-37, which is better than their away record, indicating stronger performance at home.
  • The Twins have a slightly worse away record of 36-32 compared to their home record, suggesting they are less dominant on the road.
  • The Rays have won 3 out of their last 5 home games, indicating recent home-field advantage.
  • The Rays have a head-to-head win against the Twins in their last matchup, scoring 7 runs to 6 on June 20th.

Twins vs Rays

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It was a low-scoring game in the most recent game of this Twins vs Rays series. Minnesota went into the matchup as slight favorites at -115 and squeaked out a 5-4 win. Both teams scored one run in the first inning, and the Rays could only muster one more run in the 3rd inning. As for the Twins, they scored the game’s go-ahead run in the 8th, and both teams went scoreless in the 9th.

Trevor Larnach and Royce Lewis were the only two Twins hitters to have more than one hit. Larnach, Jose Miranda, and Simeon Woods Richardson each had two RBIs for Minnesota. As for the Rays, Jonny DeLuca hit the game’s only home run and went 2/4 with three RBIs.

Woods Richardson only went 3 2/3 innings for the Twins but gave up just two hits and two earned runs. He finished the game with two strikeouts but issued two walks. Jorge Alcala got the win out of the bullpen, and Jhoan Duran got the save. Zack Littell had a rough outing for the Rays, taking the loss.

Minnesota is 75-62 overall this season and they trail the Guardians by 3.5 games in the AL Central. The Twins are on a two-game winning streak and they have an AL Central division record of 28-17 this year. As the favorite, the Twins have gone 59-36 this year and they are 27-13 as the road favorite. Their overall series record is 25-16-3, but they are 4-6 over their last 10 games.

Minnesota’s games this season have averaged 9.2 runs per game, and their over/under record is 70-63. Today’s over/under line is set at 7.5 runs, which is lower than their average line of 8 runs. The Twins have a 36-32 run line record on the road, and their average run margin in winning games is +3.7 runs per game.

David Festa Gets The Start For The Twins

Right-hander David Festa gets the start for the Twins today as he faces the Rays on the road. Festa has made eight starts and one relief appearance this season, and his record is 2-4 with a 4.89 ERA. Opposing batters are hitting .225 off Festa this season, and he has a WHIP of 1.21. Festa’s last outing came on August 28th, where he took the loss, giving up two earned runs in six innings of work. Before that, he had given up at least two homers in three straight outings.

Twins Offense Breakdown

Heading into today’s game, the Twins are 7th in the league in scoring at 4.8 runs per game. They have been even better at home, averaging 4.9 runs per contest. Overall, they are 9th in home runs and have the 6th best slugging percentage in the league. Minnesota’s offense is also tough to strike out, as they have the 9th fewest strikeouts in the league.

Carlos Santana, Ryan Jeffers, and Willi Castro have been the Twins’ top power threats this season, as Jeffers and Santana are 1st and 2nd on the team in homers, respectively, and Castro is 6th. Jeffers and Santana are also 1st and 2nd in RBIs. Jeffers is hitting just .237, but he has gone deep 20 times this season. Brooks Lee has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 3/8 in his last two games, and he is currently on a five-game hitting streak.

After losing two straight games, the Rays are 67-70 overall and trail the Yankees by 12.5 games in the AL East. As underdogs, they have a 33-40 record, but they are 34-30 when favored. The Rays have a 21-18-5 series record this season.

On the run line, the Rays are 37-28 on the road but just 32-40 at home. Their over/under record for games with a 7.5 run line is 22-25, and the overall O/U record for the season is 62-68. The average total line for their games is 8 runs.

Jeffrey Springs Gets The Start For The Rays

Left-hander Jeffrey Springs gets the start for the Rays today and will be facing the Twins at home. He has made six starts this year and has a record of 1-2 with an ERA of 3.67. Springs most recently faced the Mariners, where he went five innings, didn’t give up an earned run, and finished with a no-decision. In that outing, he gave up one homer. Before that, he had given up a homer in three straight starts. Springs’ WHIP for the season is 1.44, and opponents are batting .275 off him this year.

Rays Offense Breakdown

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Yandy Diaz has been the Rays’ most consistent hitter this season, batting .274 with 12 homers and a team-high 59 RBIs. However, he has just three hits in his last four games. Christopher Morel and Jose Siri are also near the top of the team’s home run list, but both are batting below .200 this season. Morel is hitting just .196, while Siri is at .193.

Over his last five games, Josh Lowe has gone 7/19 with four runs scored and two RBIs. Jonny DeLuca has also been swinging the bat well of late, going 4/12 with a home run over his last four games. Junior Caminero has also homered in his last five games and has five RBIs in that stretch.

Twins vs Rays Prediction

With the Rays at home, we like them to pick up the win over the Twins. At -113 on the money line, there is some good value in picking the Rays to win straight up.

Offensively, we have the Rays finishing with five runs compared to the Twins with four. However, you could also look to the over/under line, as we have this one finishing with a combined nine runs, giving you some room to take the over if you like.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.