Washington Nationals vs Atlanta Braves MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Nationals vs Atlanta Braves Prediction 8/24/2024

The Washington Nationals (58-71) travel to face off against the Atlanta Braves (69-59) on Saturday, August 24th. This game will be played at Truist Park in Atlanta and televised on BSSE. The Braves are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Nationals are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Braves. First pitch is set for 6:20 CT.

Nationals vs. Braves Betting Prediction

  • Money Line Prediction: Braves (-179)
  • Over/Under Prediction: Over 8.5 Runs
  • In their last 15 games, the Braves have scored 5 or more runs in 7 games, showcasing strong offensive performance.
  • The Braves have a 7-3 record in their last 10 games, indicating a positive trend in recent performance.
  • At home, the Braves have a solid record of 35-27, demonstrating their strength when playing at home.
  • In their last 15 games, the Braves have won 4 out of 5 home games, highlighting their recent home-field advantage.
  • The Nationals have a 4-6 record in their last 10 games, showing a weaker recent performance compared to the Braves.

Nationals vs Braves

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Atlanta picked up a 3-2 win over the Nationals in the most recent game of this series. The Braves had a late rally, scoring one run in the 7th and another in the 10th. As for the Nationals, they scored two runs in the 4th and didn’t score another run until putting up one in the top of the 10th.

Chris Sale got the start for the Braves, going seven innings and giving up two earned runs. He finished the game with four strikeouts but issued one walk. Raisel Iglesias got the win out of the bullpen. MacKenzie Gore only went six innings for the Nationals but gave up just one earned run.

Michael Harris II was the difference for the Braves, as he homered in the 10th and scored the game’s go-ahead run. Ramon Laureano also had a three-hit game for Atlanta. For the Nationals, Jacob Young went 2/3 with an RBI.

Washington is 4-6 in their last ten games and trail the Phillies by 16.5 games in the NL East with a 58-71 record. Their series record this season is 16-21-3, and they are currently down 0-1 in their series against the Braves.

On the run line, the Nationals are 73-56, including 39-27 on the road. Their games have averaged 9.0 runs this season, with an over/under record of 64-60. When the total line is set at 8.5 runs, their O/U record is 18-17.

Jake Irvin Gets The Start For The Nationals

Jake Irvin is looking to bounce back from his last outing, where he finished with a no-decision. Against the Phillies on August 18th, the right-hander gave up four earned runs in six innings of work. Looking back over his last four outings, Irvin has finished with a no-decision in three of them. He has made 26 starts this season and has a record of 9-10 with a 3.81 ERA. Out of his 26 starts, Irvin has turned in 14 quality starts and is averaging 7.57 strikeouts per nine innings. For the year, he has allowed 24 homers.

Nationals Offense Breakdown

Washington’s offense has been one of the worst home run hitting teams in the league this season, but they have been able to put up some runs thanks to a strong team batting average and on-base percentage. Overall, they are averaging 4.2 runs per game, which is 17th in the league. The Nationals will need to improve on their collective isolated power, as their current mark of .132 is 24th in the MLB.

Luis Garcia Jr. comes into the game with a team-leading 63 RBIs and is also 2nd on the team with 15 homers. He has been swinging a good bat of late, as he is on a four-game hitting streak and has gone 14/37 in his last 10 games. CJ Abrams has also been a solid run producer this season, as he is 2nd on the team with 60 RBIs and is the team’s leader with 18 homers.

Atlanta has won three straight series and are currently on a two-game winning streak, improving their season record to 69-59. They are five games behind the Phillies in the NL East standings. The Braves have a 21-17 divisional record and are 35-27 at home and 34-32 on the road.

When it comes to the run line, the Braves have a 58-70 record, with a 45-60 mark as favorites and 13-10 as underdogs. Their games have averaged 8.1 runs, and their over/under record is 47-76. Currently, their under streak stands at five games.

Charlie Morton Gets The Start For The Braves

Charlie Morton gets the start for the Braves today and will be looking to build off his last outing, where he gave up just one earned run in 5 1/3 innings of work. In that outing vs. the Angels, he only gave up two hits and issued two walks. Looking back over his last four outings, Morton has been a bit up and down. He has one start in which he gave up eight earned runs and another where he gave up two homers. Morton’s ERA for the season is 4.29, along with a record of 7-7. For the year, he has allowed 19 homers. Per nine innings, Morton is averaging 3.29 walks compared to 9.07 strikeouts.

Braves Offense Breakdown

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Marcell Ozuna has been on a tear of late for the Braves, going 6/18 in his last five games with a home run. He is also on an eight-game hitting streak. For the season, Ozuna is batting .308 and is 4th in the league with 94 RBIs. Matt Olson is 2nd on the team with 64 RBIs but has struggled with a batting average of just .225.

As a team, the Braves are 4th in the league in home runs and are averaging 4.3 runs per game. Their team batting average of .242 is 12th in the league, and they are also near the top of the league in isolated power. Overall, they are 16th in scoring.

Nationals vs Braves Prediction

Our predicted final score for this game is 5-4 in favor of the Braves, which would make a money line bet on the Braves a solid option. However, with a payout of -179, we actually prefer the over/under line, with the line sitting at 8.5 runs.

Looking at the starting pitchers, Charlie Morton is projected to finish with six strikeouts compared to Jake Irvin with just four. However, Morton is predicted to give up just one earned run compared to Irvin, who is projected to allow four.

Offensively, the Nationals are predicted to finish with just eight hits compared to the Braves with eight. However, the Nationals are projected to finish with just four runs, compared to the Braves with five.

Our recommended pick is to take the over at 8.5 runs, as we see this one finishing with a 5-4 win for the Braves.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.