Washington Nationals vs Baltimore Orioles MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Nationals vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction 8/14/2024

The Washington Nationals (55-65) travel to face off against the Baltimore Orioles (70-50) on Wednesday, August 14th. This game will be played at Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore and televised on MASN. The Nationals are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Orioles are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Nationals. First pitch is set for 5:35 CT.

Nationals vs. Orioles Betting Prediction

  • Money Line Prediction: Orioles (-182)
  • Over/Under Prediction: Over 9 Runs
  • The Orioles have scored 6 or more runs in 8 of their last 15 games.
  • The Orioles have a 7-3 record in their last 10 home games.
  • The Orioles have won 4 out of their last 5 home games against teams with a losing record.
  • The Orioles have a 5-3 record in their last 8 games against teams from the NL East.
  • The Orioles have outscored their opponents by 20 runs in their last 15 games.

Nationals vs Orioles

washington nationals nba

It was all Washington in the last game of this series, as the Nationals took down the Orioles by a score of 9-3. The Nationals offense only had two more hits than the Orioles and struck out five more times, but still picked up a convincing win. Heading into the game, they were at +162 on the money line.

This game featured a starting pitching matchup between Jake Irvin for the Nationals and Trevor Rogers for the Orioles. Irvin went six innings and gave up just two hits and two earned runs, picking up a win in the game. Rogers lasted just five innings and gave up five earned runs, taking the loss.

Washington’s two-through-five hitters did the most damage, as James Wood, CJ Abrams, Andres Chaparro, and Jacob Young each had two RBIs. Wood, Abrams, and Ildemaro Vargas each scored three times for the Nationals’ offense.

Washington is 55-65 overall this season and 14.5 games behind the Phillies in the NL East. They are 16-20-2 in series this year and have a 6-4 record in their last 10 games. As underdogs, the Nationals are 45-55 straight up and 68-52 against the run line.

For games with a total line of 9 runs, Washington has a 13-12-3 O/U record. Their games have averaged 9.1 runs per game this season, and 60% of their games have had lower total lines than today’s 9 runs. The O/U line for today’s game vs. the Orioles is set at 9 runs, and the Nationals are on a two-game over streak.

DJ Herz Gets The Start For The Nationals

Washington is sending DJ Herz to the mound today vs. the Orioles. He has made 11 starts this year and has a record of 2-4 with an ERA of 4.41. Herz’s WHIP for the season is 1.35. The last time he pitched, he finished with a no-decision, going 2 2/3 innings vs. the Giants. In that outing, he gave up two earned runs, four hits, and four walks. Before that, he had given up at least one homer in three straight starts. Herz has made one quality start this year and is averaging 11.57 strikeouts per nine innings.

Nationals Offense Breakdown

Washington’s offense has been one of the worst home run-hitting teams in the league this season, and they are also near the bottom of the league in isolated power. As a team, they are averaging 4.3 runs per game, which is 16th in the league. The Nationals are batting .244 as a team, which is 11th in the league.

CJ Abrams and Luis Garcia Jr. are the Nationals’ top home run hitters this season, and they are also the team’s top two hitters in terms of RBIs. Abrams has 17 homers and a batting average of .254, while Garcia Jr. is batting .291 with 14 homers. In his last five games, Garcia Jr. has gone 6/17 with a homer and six RBIs.

Currently, the Orioles are a half-game behind the Yankees in the AL East, with a 70-50 record. They have a 26-13 record against divisional opponents. Baltimore has an overall series record of 23-11-4 this season and an average run margin of 0.7 runs per game.

On the run line, the Orioles have been better as underdogs, with a 16-7 record, compared to 49-48 as favorites. Their games have averaged 9.4 runs this season, and when the over/under line is set at 9 runs, their O/U record is 15-12-3.

Dean Kremer Gets The Start For The Orioles

Through 16 starts, Dean Kremer has a record of 4-9 and an ERA of 4.70. This year, he has made four quality starts, and his ERA at home is 6.07 compared to 4.67 on the road. Kremer has lost each of his last four starts, most recently coming out of the game early against the Blue Jays. In that outing, he went 4 1/3 innings, giving up five earned runs, six hits, four walks, and a home run. Kremer has given up at least one homer in each of his last four starts.

Orioles Offense Breakdown

baltimore orioles

As a team, the Orioles are the top power-hitting team in the league, leading all clubs with 185 home runs. They are also near the top of the league in runs per game, averaging 5 runs per contest. This is also the top mark in the league. Baltimore has been even better on the road this season, averaging 5.3 runs per game.

Anthony Santander has been one of the league’s top power threats this season, as his 36 home runs are the 3rd most in the league. However, he is hitting just .243 for the season and has gone 6/33 (.182) over his last eight games. Gunnar Henderson has been the team’s top hitter this season, batting .287 with 29 homers.

Nationals vs Orioles Prediction

Our predicted final score for this game is 6-5 in favor of the Orioles. However, with the payout for an Orioles win being -182, we recommend taking the over, as we have the run line at 11 combined runs.

Looking at some potential player props, we see that Dean Kremer is projected to finish with four strikeouts, which would have him finishing in the bottom five among starters. As for the Nationals, their starter, DJ Herz, is projected to finish with seven strikeouts, which is the highest among all starters today.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.