The Washington Nationals (61-76) travel to face off against the Miami Marlins (51-86) on Tuesday, September 3rd. This game will be played at loanDepot Park in Miami and televised on BSFL. The Marlins are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Nationals are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Cubs. First pitch is set for 5:40 CT.
Nationals vs. Marlins Betting Prediction
- Money Line Prediction: Marlins (-113)
- Over/Under Prediction: Over 8.5 Runs
- The Marlins have won 3 of their last 4 home games.
- The Marlins have scored 7 or more runs in 4 of their last 7 games.
- The Marlins have a winning streak of 2 games.
- The Nationals have lost 3 consecutive games.
- The Nationals have a 4-6 record in their last 10 games.
Nationals vs Marlins
The Marlins Took The Last Game Of This Series
The Nationals will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Cubs with a 14-1 loss. Washington was actually the slight favorite at +110 on the money line going into the game but fell behind big early, as the Cubs scored three times in the 3rd and added another three runs in the 7th. Things really got away from the Nationals in the 8th, as the Cubs scored seven runs in the inning. Washington’s offense scored their only run in the 2nd.
Mitchell Parker got the start for the Nationals and took the loss. He only lasted six innings, giving up three earned runs on seven hits. The Nationals also issued three walks and hit a batter. Parker struck out eight Cubs but took the loss.
Washington has lost three straight games and is 12 games behind the Mets in the NL East. The Nationals are 29-39 on the road and 32-37 at home this season. As the underdog vs. the run line, they have a 66-48 record.
For the season, the Nationals’ over/under record is 66-66, and their games have averaged 8.9 runs. The O/U record in games with an 8.5 run total is 18-19, and today’s total is set at 8.5 runs.
Patrick Corbin Gets The Start For The Nationals
Left-hander Patrick Corbin gets the start for the Nationals today as he faces the Marlins on the road. He has made 27 starts this season and has a record of 4-12 with a 5.50 ERA. Corbin’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.51. In his 27 appearances, he has turned in eight quality starts. Corbin’s ERA at home is 4.73, compared to 7.42 on the road. So far, he has given up 20 homers and is averaging 6.9 strikeouts per nine innings. Corbin’s last outing came on August 27th, where he didn’t give up a run in six innings of work, picking up the win.
Nationals Offense Breakdown
So far this season, the Nationals offense has been pretty average in terms of batting average, on-base percentage, and slugging percentage. They are 21st in the league in scoring at 4.2 runs per game and have the 25th ranked home run total in the league. However, they do have two of the league’s top home run hitters in CJ Abrams and Luis Garcia Jr. Abrams is batting just .244 this season, but he does have 18 homers, and Garcia Jr. is hitting .290 with 15 homers.
Over his last seven games, Jacob Young has gone 8/22, and he is currently on a three-game hitting streak. However, Andres Chaparro is batting just .174 over his last seven games and has gone deep twice during that stretch. Dylan Crews has also homered twice in his last six games, but he is batting just .240.
The Marlins Are Coming Off A Win
Kyle Stowers and the Marlins’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Giants, closing out their series with a 7-5 win. Stowers went only 1/4, but his one hit was a home run, and the Marlins scored four times in the 2nd inning. Miami was the +227 underdog going into this matchup.
Darren McCaughan got the start for the Marlins, going four innings and giving up three earned runs on five hits. He only had two strikeouts in the outing and took the loss. Miami’s bullpen was excellent, though, as they didn’t give up a run over the final five innings. Xzavion Curry picked up the save, and Calvin Faucher got the win out of the bullpen.
As underdogs, the Marlins have a 47-73 record this season, and their run line record as underdogs is 62-58. Miami’s overall series record is 11-25-7, and they have won two straight games heading into today’s matchup against the Nationals.
Overall, the Marlins are 51-86 and are 5th in the NL East, 30 games behind the Phillies. Miami’s average combined run total this season is 8.9 runs per game, and their over/under record is 75-58. When the O/U line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 25-20, and 19.0% of their games have had O/U lines of 8.5 or higher.
Max Meyer Gets The Start For The Marlins
Max Meyer will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing against the Rockies, as he gets the start for the Marlins today. Against the Rockies, he took the loss, giving up four earned runs in five innings of work. Looking back over his last three starts, Meyer has given up at least four earned runs in each outing. Meyer’s ERA for the season is 5.43, along with a record of 3-4. Out of his 10 starts, he has three quality starts and is averaging 7.19 strikeouts per nine innings. For the year, Meyer has allowed 12 homers and is averaging 3.16 walks per nine innings.
Marlins Offense Breakdown
Heading into today’s game, the Marlins offense is averaging just 3.8 runs per game, which is 29th in the league. They have been even worse on the road, averaging only 3.5 runs per contest. Miami’s team batting average is .241, and they are also near the bottom of the league in on-base percentage and slugging. The Marlins are hoping that Jake Burger and Jesús Sánchez can keep up their strong home run numbers, as Burger leads the team with 25 homers, and Sánchez is right behind him with 17.
Over his last six games, Kyle Stowers has gone 8/21 with two homers and eight RBIs. Derek Hill has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 5/18 in his last five games, including three homers. Josh Bell is currently on a seven-game hitting streak, and Bryan De La Cruz and Xavier Edwards are both on five-game streaks.
Nationals vs Marlins Prediction
Our prediction for today’s Nationals vs. Marlins game is to take the Marlins on the money line at -113. We have the Marlins winning this one by a final score of 6-5. At -113, the Marlins are a solid payout, and we have Max Meyer finishing with seven strikeouts and picking up the win.
Looking at Patrick Corbin, we have him finishing with just five strikeouts and getting the loss. If you’re looking for a player prop bet, you could look at Corbin’s strikeout total and take the under.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:September 3, 2024 Marlins, Nationals