Washington Nationals vs Miami Marlins MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Nationals vs Miami Marlins Prediction 9/4/2024

The Washington Nationals (62-76) travel to face off against the Miami Marlins (51-87) on Wednesday, September 4th. This game will be played at loanDepot Park in Miami and televised on BSFL. The Nationals are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Marlins are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Nationals. First pitch is set for 5:40 CT.

Nationals vs. Marlins Betting Prediction

  • Money Line Prediction: Marlins (+119)
  • Over/Under Prediction: Over 8.5 Runs
  • Marlins have scored 7 or more runs in 4 of their last 15 games.
  • Marlins have a recent home win against the Cubs with a score of 7-2 on August 25th.
  • Marlins have won 5 of their last 15 games, showing a competitive edge.
  • Marlins have a higher league rank (14th) compared to the Nationals (23rd).
  • Marlins have a better home record (25-45) compared to the Nationals’ away record (30-39).

Nationals vs Marlins

washington nationals nba

Washington cruised to a 6-2 win over the Marlins in the most recent game of this series. The Nationals had a big 4th inning, scoring three of their six runs. As for the Marlins, they scored their only two runs in the 5th. Heading into the game, the Nationals were the slight underdogs at -105.

Patrick Corbin got the win for the Nationals, going 5 2/3 innings and giving up two earned runs. Max Meyer struggled on the mound for the Marlins, taking the loss after going 5 2/3 innings and giving up five earned runs.

Keibert Ruiz and Joey Gallo each homered for the Nationals, while Jacob Young scored three times and drove in a run while going 3/3. Connor Norby had a two-hit game for the Marlins.

Washington is 78-60 against the run line this season, with a 41-28 record on the road. They have covered the run line in two straight games and are 11-12 as favorites. Overall, the Nationals have a 17-23-3 series record and are 4-6 in their last 10 games.

In the NL East, the Nationals are 20 games behind the Phillies, heading into today’s game with a 62-76 overall record. They have won two straight games as favorites and are 12-11 in that role this season.

MacKenzie Gore Gets The Start For The Nationals

Washington is sending left-hander MacKenzie Gore to the mound today vs. the Marlins. He has made 27 starts this season and has a record of 8-11 with a 4.45 ERA. Gore’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.55. In his last outing, he picked up the win, going six innings and giving up two earned runs on six hits. Looking back further, he has given up at least five earned runs in three of his last five starts. Gore’s ERA at home is 5.11 compared to 4.83 on the road.

Nationals Offense Breakdown

Washington’s offense has been pretty average this season, as they are 21st in runs per game (4.2) and 11th in team batting average at .245. However, they have been one of the league’s worst home run hitting teams this season and are also near the bottom of the league in terms of isolated power. Heading into today’s game, they have two players with at least 15 homers and 62 or more RBIs.

Luis Garcia Jr. comes into the game with a batting average of .290 and is the Nationals’ top run producer so far this season. He has 15 homers and 63 RBIs. CJ Abrams has gone deep 18 times this season, but is batting just .242. Over his last six games, Andres Chaparro has two homers but is just 4/20.

When the Marlins are favored, they have a 2-16 run line record, but as underdogs, they are 62-58. Miami’s overall run line record is 64-74, with a -1.4 average run margin per game. They have an over/under record of 75-59 this season, and games with an O/U line of 8.5 runs have gone 25-21.

Miami is in 5th place in the NL East with a 51-87 record, 31 games behind the Phillies. They have lost four straight series at home and are 25-45 at home and 26-42 on the road. The Marlins are 13-27 against NL East teams this season.

Valente Bellozo Gets The Start For The Marlins

Right-hander Valente Bellozo gets the start for the Marlins today as he faces the Nationals at home. Bellozo has made eight starts this season and has a record of 2-2 with an ERA of 4.32. Looking back at his last outing, Bellozo finished with a no-decision against the Rockies, giving up six earned runs in four innings of work. He has allowed at least one homer in each of his last three outings. Bellozo’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.34, and opponents are batting .253 off him this year.

Marlins Offense Breakdown

miami marlins

Over the past three games, Derek Hill has gone 4/14 with three runs and two home runs. This has helped him move into a tie for 1st on the team in RBIs. Hill’s recent power surge has been a nice surprise for the Marlins, as he has just three home runs for the season. Jesus Sanchez is currently on a three-game hitting streak and is 2nd on the team with 17 homers.

As a team, the Marlins are 29th in runs scored at just 3.8 per game. This is a result of their poor home run numbers and team on-base percentage of just .296. Miami’s team batting average is just .241, which is 14th in the MLB.

Nationals vs Marlins Prediction

Our pick for this Nationals vs. Marlins matchup is to take the Marlins on the money line, where they are currently sitting at +119. We have the Marlins winning this one by a score of 6-5, giving us a little bit of wiggle room on the over/under line, which is currently at 8.5 runs.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Valente Bellozo finishing with six strikeouts, which would have him ranked 14th among starters. As for MacKenzie Gore, his six-strikeout projection has him coming in at 20th.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.