The Washington Nationals (42-52) travel to face off against the Milwaukee Brewers (54-40) on Friday, July 12th. This game will be played at American Family Field in Milwaukee and televised on BSWI. Both the Nationals and Brewers are looking to bounce back from losses in their previous games. First pitch is set for 7:10 CT.
Nationals vs. Brewers Betting Prediction
- Money Line Prediction: Nationals (+187)
- Over/Under Prediction: Over 8 Runs
- The Nationals have scored 7 or more runs in 5 of their last 15 games.
- The Nationals have won 3 of their last 5 road games.
- The Nationals have a recent victory against a top team, scoring 14 runs against the Cardinals on July 6th.
- The Nationals have a head-to-head win against the Brewers, scoring 8 runs on June 29th.
- The Nationals have shown the ability to bounce back, winning the game immediately following a loss 4 times in the last 15 games.
Nationals vs Brewers
The Brewers Took The Last Game Of This Series
The Nationals will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Mets with a 7-0 loss. Washington was the +125 underdog on the road going into this matchup. Things really got away from the Nationals in the 5th inning, as the Mets scored five runs in the inning. Washington’s offense scored their only two runs in the 2nd.
MacKenzie Gore got the start for the Nationals and took the loss. He only lasted 4 2/3 innings, giving up four earned runs. Washington’s offense was hot early, as they scored two runs in the 2nd inning but didn’t score again. Lane Thomas went 2/2 with two singles and a run scored.
Washington has struggled lately, losing five in a row and dropping two straight series. Their overall record is 42-52, placing them 19.5 games behind the Phillies in the NL East. The Nationals are 33-44 as underdogs and 9-8 as favorites this season.
On the run line, the Nationals have a 52-42 record and are 44-33 as underdogs. The average total runs in their games this season is 8.6, with a 44-46 over/under record. Today’s O/U line of 8 runs is low compared to their usual lines, as 63.8% of their games have had higher total lines.
Jackson Rutledge Gets The Start For The Nationals
Jackson Rutledge will be making his first start of the season for the Nationals, as he comes into today’s game against the Brewers after a 1-inning relief appearance in his first outing. Rutledge gave up one run on one hit and struck out two in that outing.
Nationals Offense Breakdown
Washington’s offense has been below average this season, averaging just 4.1 runs per game, which is 20th in the league. They have been slightly better at home, averaging 4.2 runs per game. Overall, they are batting .237, which is 13th in the league, and have the 7th fewest strikeouts in the league. The Nationals have been one of the league’s worst power-hitting teams, as their collective ISO of .129 is 23rd in the league.
CJ Abrams has been the Nationals’ top power threat this season, as his 14 homers is 1st on the team and 14th in the league. He is also hitting .271 and has driven in 46 runs. Luis Garcia Jr. has been hot of late, going 14/31 in his last 8 games with three homers. He is also on a three-game hitting streak and is batting .277 for the season.
The Brewers Took The Last Game Of This Series
The Brewers will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Pirates with a 1-0 loss. This was especially tough, as they held the lead going into the 7th inning before the Pirates scored a run in the top of the 7th to take the lead. Milwaukee was the +102 underdog at home going into the game.
Aaron Civale was excellent for the Brewers, going 6 1/3 innings and giving up just one earned run while striking out six. However, he took the loss, as the Brewers couldn’t score a run. Milwaukee’s offense wasted a good performance from Civale, as they only had two hits and didn’t score a run.
Milwaukee has a 54-40 record and is leading the NL Central by five games over the Cardinals. The Brewers are 28-15 at home and 26-25 on the road this season. Their run line record is 49-45, and the average run margin in their games is 3.5 runs.
For the season, the over has hit in 50 of their 90 games, with the average combined run total being 8.8 runs per game. Today’s over/under line is set at 8 runs, which is lower than usual, as 60.6% of their games have had lines over 8 runs.
Freddy Peralta Gets The Start For The Brewers
Freddy Peralta will be looking to build off his last outing, where he faced the Dodgers and finished with a no-decision. In that start, he went four innings, giving up three earned runs, and one homer. Looking back further, Peralta has made 18 starts and has a record of 6-4. His ERA for the season is 3.95, along with a WHIP of 1.15. Peralta’s batting average allowed is .204, and he has turned in seven quality starts this year. Per nine innings, Peralta is averaging 11.39 strikeouts. For the season, he has 124 strikeouts, which ranks ninth in the majors.
Brewers Offense Breakdown
Christian Yelich has been one of the Brewers’ top hitters this season, batting .329 with 11 homers. He has also been hot of late, going 9/27 with three homers over his last eight games. William Contreras is also having a strong season, hitting .292 with 10 homers. Willy Adames has a team-high 14 homers but is batting just .237.
As a team, the Brewers are 10th in scoring at 4.8 runs per game. They are one of the league’s top home run-hitting clubs and are batting a collective .255, which is the 4th best mark in the MLB. Overall, they have the 2nd best on-base percentage in the league.
Nationals vs Brewers Prediction
Our predicted score for this Nationals vs. Brewers matchup is 6-5 in favor of the Nationals. With the Nationals being the underdog, you can get them on the money line at +187, and this is our recommended bet.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Freddy Peralta is predicted to finish with six strikeouts, which has him as the 11th highest today among starting pitchers. As for the Nationals, they are projected to finish with nine strikeouts, which has them as the 20th highest.
Offensively, the Nationals are predicted to finish with 11 hits, while the Brewers are predicted to finish with nine. If you’re looking at the over/under line, the line is currently at eight runs, and we have this game going over.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:July 12, 2024 Brewers, Nationals