The Washington Nationals (42-51) travel to face off against the New York Mets (46-45) on Thursday, July 11th. This game will be played at Citi Field in New York and televised on SNY. The Mets are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Nationals are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Mets. First pitch is set for 12:10 CT.
Nationals vs. Mets Betting Prediction
- Money Line Prediction: Mets (-138)
- Over/Under Prediction: Over 8.5 Runs
- The Mets have won 4 out of their last 5 home games.
- The Mets have scored an average of 7.4 runs per game in their last 5 home games.
- The Mets have won 5 out of their last 7 games against the Nationals.
- The Mets have a 6-4 record in their last 10 games, while the Nationals have a 3-7 record in their last 10 games.
- The Mets have outscored the Nationals 34-24 in their last 5 head-to-head matchups.
Nationals vs Mets
New York picked up a 6-2 win over the Nationals in the most recent game of this series. The Mets had a huge 6th inning, scoring four of their six runs. As for the Nationals, they scored their only two runs in the 4th. Heading into the game, the Mets were favored at -203 on the money line.
Luis Severino started for the Mets and picked up the win, going 6 1/3 innings and giving up two earned runs. He finished the game with four strikeouts but issued three walks. Patrick Corbin got the start for the Nationals and took the loss, giving up four earned runs in five innings of work.
Brandon Nimmo and Jose Iglesias each had two RBIs for the Mets’ offense. Mark Vientos and Tyrone Taylor each scored twice and drove in a run. Pete Alonso also had a two-hit game at the plate.
Washington has struggled recently, losing four straight games and falling 18.5 games behind in the NL East. They trail the Mets by five games for the 3rd spot in the division. The Nationals are 16-14 in divisional games this season.
Against the run line, Washington has a 52-41 record, including 28-21 on the road and 44-32 as the underdog. Their O/U record is 44-45, and when the total is 8.5 runs, they have a 14-14 O/U record.
MacKenzie Gore Gets The Start For The Nationals
Left-hander MacKenzie Gore gets the start for the Nationals today as he faces the Mets on the road. He has made 18 starts this season and has a record of 6-7 with an ERA of 3.83. Gore’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.44. In his 18 appearances, he has turned in five quality starts and is averaging 10.72 strikeouts per nine innings. Gore’s last outing came on July 6th, where he finished with a no-decision, giving up five earned runs in 3 1/3 innings of work. He has not won a game since June 9th.
Nationals Offense Breakdown
Heading into today’s game, the Nationals offense is averaging 4.2 runs per game, which is 18th in the league. This is also the 13th best batting average in the league. However, they have struggled in terms of power, as their 77 home runs are 21st in the league, and their team ISO of .130 is also 20th. One thing the Nationals lineup has done well is avoid strikeouts, as they have the 6th fewest strikeouts in the league.
CJ Abrams has been a great find for the Nationals, as he is batting .274 with a team-high 14 homers and 46 RBIs. Over his last six games, Luis Garcia Jr. has gone 11/24, and Keibert Ruiz has also been hot of late, going 8/21 in his last five games. Ruiz is also on a five-game hitting streak.
With two straight wins, the Mets have improved to 46-45 overall and are 15-12 in the NL East. They are 23-25 at home and 23-20 on the road. New York has a 27-23 record as the favorite and 19-22 as the underdog.
When the Mets are underdogs, they have been profitable on the run line at 24-17, but as favorites, they are 19-31. This season, Mets games have averaged 9.6 runs, and their over/under record is 48-40. Today’s total of 8.5 runs is lower than 49.5% of their games this season.
David Peterson Gets The Start For The Mets
David Peterson gets the start for the Mets today and is coming off a short outing vs. the Pirates, where he went just 4 1/3 innings. In that outing, he gave up two earned runs, five hits, and two walks. Peterson finished with a no-decision in the game. Looking back further, he has finished with a no-decision in each of his last three outings. The left-hander has made three straight starts and allowed two earned runs in each outing. Peterson’s ERA for the season is 3.58, and he has a record of 3-0.
Mets Offense Breakdown
Brandon Nimmo has been swinging a hot bat for the Mets of late, going 8/24 over his last six games, including three home runs. This has helped him move into a tie with Pete Alonso and Francisco Lindor for 2nd on the team in homers, as all three players have gone deep 16 times. Nimmo also leads the Mets in RBIs, as his 59 is 10th in the league. As a team, the Mets are 4th in home runs and are averaging 4.8 runs per game.
Overall, the Mets have been a good home run hitting team and have been especially good on the road, averaging 5.4 runs per contest. One thing to watch will be their batting average at home, as they are just 18th in the league at 4.3 runs per game.
Nationals vs Mets Prediction
Our predicted final score for this game is 6-5 in favor of the Mets. With the money line sitting at -138, that is the route we recommend going. As for the starting pitchers, we have David Peterson picking up five strikeouts compared to McKenzie Gore with six.
If you’re looking for a parlay, you could look to the over/under, and our pick would be to take the over at 8.5. Looking at the Nationals’ lineup, they are projected to finish with nine hits compared to the Mets with eight.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:July 11, 2024 Mets, Nationals