Washington Nationals vs New York Mets MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Nationals vs New York Mets Prediction 7/9/2024

The Washington Nationals (42-49) travel to face off against the New York Mets (44-45) on Tuesday, July 9th. This game will be played at Citi Field in New York and televised on MASN. Both the Nationals and Mets are looking to bounce back from losses in their previous games. First pitch is set for 6:10 CT.

Nationals vs. Mets Betting Prediction

  • Money Line Prediction: Mets (-137)
  • Over/Under Prediction: Over 8.5 Runs
  • The Mets have scored an average of 6.4 runs per game in their last 5 home games.
  • The Mets have won 4 out of their last 5 home games.
  • The Mets have a head-to-head record of 3-1 against the Nationals in their last 4 meetings.
  • The Mets have outscored the Nationals 29-18 in their last 4 head-to-head games.
  • The Nationals have lost 6 out of their last 10 games.

Nationals vs Mets

washington nationals nba

The Mets Took The Last Game Of This Series

Washington closed out their series vs. the Cardinals with a 6-0 loss. Heading into the game, the Nationals were the slight favorite at -118 on the money line. Things really got away from the Nationals in the 4th inning, as the Cardinals scored four runs in the inning. Washington’s offense scored their only run in the 3rd.

Mitchell Parker put together a good start for the Nationals, going seven innings and giving up just one earned run while striking out six. However, the Nationals couldnjson’t get the win, and Parker took the loss. Washington’s offense was held to only eight hits and didn’t have a home run.

Washington is 16.5 games behind the Phillies in the NL East, putting them in 4th place. They have an overall record of 42-49 and have lost two straight games. The Nationals’ series record is 11-16-2.

On the run line, the Nationals have been profitable with a 52-39 record. As underdogs, they are 44-30 on the run line, but as favorites, they are 8-9. The O/U record for Washington games this season is 43-44, with games averaging 8.6 runs. Today’s O/U line of 8.5 runs is lower than usual, as only 33% of their games have had higher total lines.

Jake Irvin Gets The Start For The Nationals

Jake Irvin gets the start for the Nationals today as he faces the Mets on the road. So far this season, he has made 18 starts and has a record of 7-6 with an ERA of 2.80. In his 18 starts, Irvin has turned in 12 quality starts and is averaging 7.98 strikeouts per nine innings. Looking back at his most recent outing, Irvin was excellent, going eight innings and not giving up a run. He finished with eight strikeouts in that outing. Before that, he had given up at least one homer in three straight starts. Irvin has been much better on the road, coming in with a record of 5-1 and 2.47 ERA compared to 2-5 with a 3.94 ERA at home.

Nationals Offense Breakdown

The Nationals offense comes into today’s game averaging 4.2 runs per game, which is 18th in the league. They have been a bit better at home, also averaging 4.2 runs per game. Overall, they are 22nd in the league in home runs and have a team batting average of just .239. However, they do have the league’s top home run hitter in CJ Abrams, who also leads the team with 46 RBIs.

Luis Garcia Jr. has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 13/31 in his last nine games with three homers and nine RBIs. For the season, he is batting .274, which is 4th on the team. The Nationals will also be looking for Jesse Winker to keep swinging a hot bat, as he is 2nd on the team with 10 homers and is batting .268 for the season.

The Mets Took The Last Game Of This Series

New York closed out their series vs. the Pirates with a tough 8-2 loss. Heading into the game, the Mets were the slight favorite at +104 on the money line. Things really got away from the Mets in the 4th inning, as the Pirates scored two runs in the inning. New York’s offense scored their only two runs in the 6th.

Christian Scott got the start for the Mets and took the loss. He only lasted 5 2/3 innings, giving up two earned runs, and took the loss. The Mets’s offense was carried by Brandon Nimmo, who went 2/4 with a homer and two RBIs.

As the underdog, the Mets have a 24-17 record against the run line, but as the favorite, they are just 17-31. Their overall run line record is 41-48, and their games have averaged 9.6 runs per game this season, resulting in a 47-39 over/under record. The over has hit in 50.6% of their games this year.

New York is 44-45 overall and 3rd in the NL East, 13.5 games behind the Phillies. They have a 13-12 record within the division. The Mets have won two straight games and split their most recent series vs. the Pirates, making their series record 13-13-5.

Jose Quintana Gets The Start For The Mets

Jose Quintana gets the start for the Mets today and will be looking to build off his last outing, where he didn’t give up a run. Against the Nationals on July 4th, he went seven innings, giving up just one hit and three walks. He finished with three strikeouts in the outing. Overall, Quintana has made 17 starts and six of them have been quality starts. The left-hander’s ERA is 4.22, and he has a record of 3-5. For the season, opponents are batting .252 off Quintana. At home, his ERA is 3.90 compared to 6.43 on the road.

Mets Offense Breakdown

new york mets

Brandon Nimmo has been swinging a hot bat of late for the Mets, hitting .320 over his last seven games, including one home run and five RBIs. This has helped him move into the team’s top spot in batting average for the season, hitting .252. Nimmo also leads the Mets in RBIs, with 55, which is 13th in the league. Francisco Lindor and Pete Alonso have also been swinging the bat well, with Lindor batting .259 over his last seven games and Alonso going 7/27.

As a team, the Mets are 9th in the league in scoring, averaging 4.8 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.4 runs per contest. Overall, they are the league’s 4th best home run-hitting team and are batting .247, which is 9th in the MLB.

Nationals vs Mets Prediction

The best bet we see for this Nationals vs. Mets matchup is to take the Mets on the money line, where they are sitting at -137. We have the Mets winning this one by a score of 5-4, giving us a little bit of wiggle room with the over/under line sitting at 8.5 runs.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Jose Quintana finishing with five strikeouts, which has him as the sixth-worst among starters today. As for Jake Irvin, he is projected to finish with five strikeouts, which has him as the 19th best among starters.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.