Washington Nationals vs Philadelphia Phillies MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Nationals vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction 8/16/2024

The Washington Nationals (55-67) travel to face off against the Philadelphia Phillies (71-50) on Friday, August 16th. This game will be played at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia and televised on MASN. The Phillies are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Nationals are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Phillies. First pitch is set for 5:40 CT.

Nationals vs. Phillies Betting Prediction

  • Money Line Prediction: Phillies (-272)
  • Over/Under Prediction: Over 9 Runs
  • The Phillies have scored an average of 5.6 runs per game over their last 15 games.
  • The Phillies have won 5 of their last 7 home games.
  • The Phillies have a 71-50 record, ranking 1st in the NL East, while the Nationals are 55-67 and rank 4th in the NL East.
  • The Phillies have a +18 run differential in their last 15 games.
  • The Phillies have won their last 2 games against the Nationals, scoring a total of 24 runs and allowing only 8.

Nationals vs Phillies

washington nationals nba

Philadelphia cruised to an easy 13-3 win over the Nationals in the most recent game of this series. The Phillies had a huge 4th inning, scoring five of their thirteen runs. As for the Nationals, they scored their only three runs in the 5th. Heading into the game, the Phillies were favored at -271 on the money line.

Zack Wheeler pitched well for the Phillies in this one, going six innings and giving up just one run. He finished the game with six strikeouts but issued three walks. Mitchell Parker got the start for the Nationals, giving up nine earned runs in just three innings of work.

At the plate, the Phillies were led by Weston Wilson, who went 4/5 with a home run. He scored three times and drove in three runs. Trea Turner also had a three-hit game for Philadelphia.

Washington is 16.5 games behind the Phillies in the NL East with a 55-67 overall record. They’ve lost two straight games, including the first game of this series. Their series record is 16-19-3, and they are 4-6 in their last ten games.

When the over/under line is set at 9 runs, the Nationals have a 13-13-3 O/U record. Their games have averaged 9.1 runs this season, and their overall O/U record is 62-55. On the run line, they are 36-26 on the road and 59-43 as underdogs straight up.

Patrick Corbin Gets The Start For The Nationals

Left-hander Patrick Corbin gets the start for the Nationals today as he faces the Phillies on the road. This year, he has made 24 starts and has a record of 2-12 with a 5.98 ERA. Corbin’s WHIP for the season is 1.56, and he has given up a total of 19 home runs. Looking back at his last outing, Corbin finished with a no-decision after giving up four earned runs in four innings of work. Before that, he had lost three straight starts. Corbin’s last win came on June 2nd. He has a 7.69 ERA on the road compared to 5.39 at home.

Nationals Offense Breakdown

Washington’s offense has been a below-average unit this season, averaging 4.3 runs per game, which is 17th in the league. They have been even worse at home, averaging just 4.2 runs per contest. The Nationals have the league’s worst home run total and are near the bottom of the league in both slugging percentage and isolated power.

Luis Garcia Jr. comes into the game batting .290 this season and is 2nd on the team with 14 home runs. He is also the team’s top run producer, with 59 RBIs. CJ Abrams also has 59 RBIs and is tied with Garcia for the team lead in homers. Abrams is batting just .251 this season. Keibert Ruiz has two homers in his last four games but is just 4/17 in that stretch.

Philadelphia has a series record of 19-15-6 this season and an overall record of 71-50. They have won two straight games and lead the NL East by seven games over the Braves. The Phillies are 60-38 as the favorite and 11-12 as the underdog this season.

When the total has been set at 9 runs, the Phillies’ O/U record is 5-11-1. Their average run total per game is 9 runs, and their over/under record is 57-58. The Phillies’ average run margin in winning games is 4.0, but it is -3.7 in losing games.

Aaron Nola Gets The Start For The Phillies

Right-hander Aaron Nola gets the start for the Phillies today as he faces the Nationals at home. Nola has made 24 starts this season and has a record of 11-6 with a 3.60 ERA. Looking at his overall numbers, Nola has a WHIP of 1.15 and has pitched one shutout this year. Nola’s last outing came against the Diamondbacks, and he took the loss, giving up three earned runs in five innings of work. Before that, he had given up four earned runs in back-to-back starts. So, Nola will be looking to bounce back today.

Phillies Offense Breakdown

philadelphia phillies

Heading into today’s game, the Phillies are 6th in the league in runs scored at 4.9 runs per game. They have been even better at home, averaging 5.4 runs per game. Overall, they are 7th in the league in home runs and have the 4th best team batting average in the MLB. Alec Bohm has been the Phillies’ top hitter this season, batting .297 with 13 homers and a team-leading 84 RBIs. Kyle Schwarber and Bryce Harper have also been key run producers for the Phillies, as Schwarber is 2nd on the team with 78 RBIs and Harper is 3rd at 73.

Harper and Bohm have been swinging the bat well of late, with Harper going 8/22 in his last six games and Bohm going 7/23. Schwarber has struggled in his last six games, going just 2/24. Weston Wilson is on a four-game hitting streak and went 4/5 in his most recent game.

Nationals vs Phillies Prediction

Given that the Phillies are such heavy favorites on the money line, we recommend taking the over in this one, with the line sitting at 9 runs. Our predicted final score is 6-4 in favor of the Phillies, giving us some wiggle room on the over/under line.

Looking at some potential player props, we have Aaron Nola finishing with five strikeouts, which would have him finishing 17th among starters. As for Patrick Corbin, we have him finishing with five K’s, which would have him 15th.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.