The Washington Nationals (38-40) travel to face off against the San Diego Padres (42-41) on Tuesday, June 25th. This game will be played at PETCO Park in San Diego and televised on MASN. The Padres are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Nationals are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Padres. First pitch is set for 8:40 CT.
Nationals vs Padres
San Diego picked up a 7-6 win over the Nationals in the most recent game of this series. The Padres had a three-run 2nd inning and then scored four more in the 10th, picking up the win as -189 favorites.
Washington had a chance to win the game in the 9th, as they scored three runs to tie it up, but Hunter Harvey gave up four runs in the 10th and took the loss. Patrick Corbin started for the Nationals, going seven innings and giving up three earned runs.
Matt Waldron got the win for the Padres out of the bullpen, going six innings and giving up two earned runs. He came into the game after Adrian Morejon left with an injury after just one inning of work. Donovan Solano had a two-hit game for San Diego, scoring twice and driving in two runs.
Washington is 38-40 overall and trails the Phillies by 14 games in the NL East. The Nationals are 14-10 against other teams in their division. So far, they have struggled on the road, going just 21-21 compared to 17-19 at home.
As the road favorite, the Nationals have gone 4-2 this year, and they are 8-6 overall as the favorite. Washington has been the underdog in most of their games, and they are 30-34 in those matchups. The Nationals have won two straight series on the road, and their overall series record is 11-13-1.
The Nationals are 47-31 against the run line this season, including a 27-15 mark on the road. They have covered the run line in 20 of 36 games at home, but have been a better bet as the underdog, going 40-24. Washington’s average run margin this season is -0.1 runs per game, and they have covered the run line in 7 of 14 games as the favorite.
The Washington Nationals are on the road today against the San Diego Padres. The over/under line for the game is set at 7.5 runs. The Nationals and their opponents have combined to average 8.3 runs per game this season. Washington has gone over the total in 35 of their 75 games this season, and their games have had an average over/under line of 9 runs. When the line has been set at 7.5 runs, the over has gone 9-7 in their games. The over/under line has been set at 7.5 runs in 60 of their 77 games this season, which is 76.9% of their games.
MacKenzie Gore Gets The Start For The Nationals
Left-hander MacKenzie Gore gets the start for the Nationals today as he faces his former team, the Padres. He has made 15 starts this year and has a record of 6-6 with a 3.49 ERA. Gore’s WHIP for the season is 1.39, and opponents are batting .259 off him this year. In his last outing, Gore took the loss, giving up four earned runs in five innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts. Gore has been much better on the road, coming in with a 2.23 ERA compared to 4.65 at home.
Nationals Offense Breakdown
Washington’s offense has been one of the worst in the league this season, as they are averaging just 4.1 runs per game, which is 21st in the MLB. They are also near the bottom of the league in home runs and OPS. The team’s batting average of .236 is also below the league average. However, they do have a few hitters who have been swinging the bat well of late, including CJ Abrams, who is 12/26 in his last six games with one home run.
Joey Meneses is the Nationals’ top run producer so far this season, as he has 40 RBIs and is also leading the team in home runs (12). Lane Thomas and Jesse Winker are also among the team’s top home run hitters, with 8 and 3 homers, respectively. Thomas is also on a five-game hitting streak.
With an overall record of 42-41, the Padres are 2nd in the NL West, trailing the Dodgers by 8.5 games. This season, they are 14-15 in divisional matchups. The Padres got their series vs. the Nationals off on the right foot with a win in the first game and are 5-5 over their last 10 games.
At home, the Padres are 22-22 this season while going 20-19 on the road. As the underdog, the Padres have won two straight games and are 15-17 as the underdog overall. When favored, the Padres are 27-24 this year.
San Diego is 42-41 against the run line this season, but they have been much better on the road, going 27-12. They are 15-29 against the run line at home, where they have an average run margin of -0.3 runs per game. As an underdog, they are 22-10 against the run line this season, and they have covered the run line in three straight games as the underdog.
The San Diego Padres have been involved in a lot of high-scoring games this season, as their games have averaged 8.8 runs per game. Their over/under record is 43-39, and when the line is set at 7.5 runs, they are 13-13. Overall, 60.2% of their games have had higher over/under lines than today’s line of 7.5 runs. The over has hit in each of their last five games.
Adam Mazur Gets The Start For The Padres
Adam Mazur is set to make his 4th start of the season for the Padres, and it will be at home against the Nationals. He has yet to earn a win this season, as he has a loss and two no-decisions. Mazur has yet to make it through 5 innings in a start this season, and his last outing was a no-decision vs. the Brewers, where he went 4 2/3 innings and gave up 3 runs on 5 hits.
Padres Offense Breakdown
Over the Padres’ last five games, Jake Cronenworth has gone 10/22 with two homers and three RBIs. He also has nine runs scored in this stretch. Jurickson Profar has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 8/20 with two homers and seven RBIs. Profar is currently on an eight-game hitting streak.
Profar and Cronenworth are two of the Padres’ biggest power threats this season, with Profar leading the team with 10 homers and Cronenworth right behind him with 12. As a team, the Padres are 9th in home runs and are averaging 4.5 runs per contest. So far, they have been an elite hitting team, batting .260, which is the 2nd best mark in the league.
Nationals vs Padres Prediction
Our prediction for this Nationals vs. Padres matchup is to take the Padres on the money line at -121. We actually have the Padres winning this one by a score of 6-5, so there is a little bit of value on the money line as opposed to taking the over or under.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Adam Mazur of the Padres finishing with six strikeouts compared to MacKenzie Gore of the Nationals with five. If you’re looking for a player prop bet, Mazur is a good option, as we have him finishing with the 11th most strikeouts among today’s starters.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
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Last updated:June 28, 2024 Nationals, Padres