The Washington Nationals (38-41) travel to face off against the San Diego Padres (43-41) on Wednesday, June 26th. This game will be played at PETCO Park in San Diego and televised on None. The Padres are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Nationals are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Padres. First pitch is set for 3:10 CT.
Nationals vs Padres
San Diego picked up a 9-7 win over the Nationals in the most recent game of this series. The Padres offense got off to a fast start, scoring two runs in the first and adding three more in the 2nd. On the other side, the Nationals got on the board with four runs in the 3rd and added their final three runs in the 5th.
Jurickson Profar and Manny Machado each homered for the Padres, while Donovan Solano went 2/4 with two RBIs. CJ Abrams also had a three-hit game and scored a run for San Diego.
Adam Mazur only went five innings for the Padres but gave up just one hit and no earned runs. He finished the game with five strikeouts but issued one walk. Robert Suarez got the save. MacKenzie Gore had a rough outing for the Nationals, taking the loss.
Washington is on the road today, and they are looking to snap a two-game losing streak, as they have dropped the first two games of this series vs. the Padres. Overall, the Nationals are 38-41, which has them 4th in the NL East, 14 games behind the Phillies for the division lead. So far, they have gone 14-10 in divisional games.
At home, the Nationals are 17-19 this season compared to a 21-22 mark on the road. As the underdog, Washington is 30-34 this year and 8-7 when favored. The Nationals’ overall series record is 11-13-1, and they have won two straight series on the road.
Washington has been a solid play on the run line this season, with a 47-32 record. The Nationals have been especially good as the underdog, going 40-24 on the run line. Their average run margin in winning games is +3.3, while it is -3.4 in losing games.
Washington has been a solid over bet this season, with a 36-40 O/U record. The Nationals have seen a combined average of 8.4 runs per game this season, and their games have averaged an over/under line of 8 runs. When the line has been set at 7.5 runs, Washington has gone over 10 times and under 7 times. Overall, 75.9% of their games have had higher over/under lines than today’s 7.5-run total, and the over has hit in their last two games.
DJ Herz Gets The Start For The Nationals
DJ Herz is getting the start for the Nationals on the road against the Padres. Herz has been solid in his last two outings, picking up a win against the Marlins and then taking a no-decision vs. the Rockies. In his last start, Herz struck out 13 batters in 6 innings.
Nationals Offense Breakdown
Washington’s offense comes into the game averaging 4.1 runs per game, which is 19th in the league. They have been a bit better on the road, averaging 4.2 runs per contest. So far, they are batting a combined .237, and as a team, they have the 21st home run total in the league. CJ Abrams has been a bright spot for the Nationals, as he is batting .283 for the season and has gone 15/29 in his last seven games.
Not only is Abrams swinging a hot bat right now, but he also leads the Nationals with 12 home runs and is 2nd on the team with 40 RBIs. Joey Meneses has driven in the most runs for the team this season but is batting just .243 for the year. As a team, the Nationals are 23rd in OPS and have the league’s 23rd worst Isolated Power number.
With an overall record of 43-41, the Padres are 2nd in the NL West, trailing the Dodgers by 8.5 games. The Padres have won two straight games, and they are 6-4 across their last 10. In the NL West, they are 8.5 games behind the Dodgers and have gone 14-15 in divisional games this year.
At home, the Padres are 23-22 this season and 20-19 on the road. As the favorite, the Padres have gone 27-24 and 16-17 as the underdog. San Diego has been good at home as the favorite, going 19-16 this year. The Padres’ overall series record is 14-10-3.
When the Padres win, they win big, with an average run margin of 3.6 runs per game. But when they lose, they lose big, with an average run margin of -3.3 runs per game. Overall, their run line record is just above .500 at 43-41, but they have been a much better bet on the road, going 27-12 against the run line. As a favorite, they are just 20-31, but as an underdog, they are 23-10.
The Padres have been trending towards the over, with their combined run average sitting at 8.9 runs per game. Their over/under record is 44-39, and their over streak is at 6 games. The over/under line for today’s game is set at 7.5 runs, and their games have averaged 8 runs per game when the line is set at 7.5 runs. Their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs per game, and they have had 50 games with over/under lines set at 7.5 runs. This season, 59.5% of their games have had over/under lines set at 7.5 runs or higher.
Dylan Cease Gets The Start For The Padres
Dylan Cease will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing as he gets the start for the Padres today. Against the Brewers on June 21st, Cease gave up four earned runs in 4 2/3 innings of work. He finished with a no-decision in that outing. Cease has made 16 starts this season and has a record of 6-6 with a 4.14 ERA. Looking back over his last four starts, Cease has finished with a no-decision in three of them. The right-hander has allowed at least one homer in three straight outings.
Padres Offense Breakdown
San Diego’s offense has been one of the league’s best so far this season, as they are 2nd in team batting average and 4th in on-base percentage. They are also among the league leaders in home runs and have the 8th best team slugging percentage in the league. Overall, the Padres are averaging 4.6 runs per game, which is 11th in the MLB.
Jurickson Profar has been the Padres’ top power threat this season, as his 11 homers is 3rd on the team and 14th in the league. He is also 8th in the MLB with 54 RBIs. Profar comes into the game on a nine-game hitting streak. Manny Machado is also swinging a hot bat right now, going 14/38 in his last 10 games. He has two homers and eight RBIs in that stretch.
Nationals vs Padres Prediction
Our prediction for today’s Nationals vs. Padres game is to take the Padres to win at home with a predicted final score of 5-4. However, with the Padres being -191 on the money line, we recommend taking the over at 7.5 runs, where you can get a line of -116.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Dylan Cease finishing with six strikeouts, which has him as the seventh best starter in terms of K’s. As for the Nationals starter, DJ Herz is projected to finish with five strikeouts, which has him 14th among starters.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
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Last updated:June 26, 2024 Nationals, Padres