The New York Mets (59-53) travel to face off against the Colorado Rockies (41-72) on Tuesday, August 6th. This game will be played at Coors Field in Denver and televised on SNY. The Mets are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Rockies are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Padres. First pitch is set for 7:40 CT.
Mets vs. Rockies Betting Prediction
- Money Line Prediction: Rockies (+133)
- Over/Under Prediction: Under 11.5 Runs
- The Rockies have scored 20 runs in their last home game, showing strong offensive potential at home.
- The Rockies have won 4 out of their last 5 home games, indicating a strong home-field advantage.
- The Rockies have scored an average of 8.4 runs per game in their last 5 home games.
- The Rockies defeated the Mets 8-5 in their most recent head-to-head game.
- The Rockies have a higher home win percentage (45.3%) compared to the Mets’ away win percentage (54.7%).
Mets vs Rockies
The Mets Are Coming Off A Win
The Mets’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Cardinals, closing out their series with a 6-0 win. After going on to score four runs in the 2nd inning, the Mets added another run in the 6th to put things out of reach. New York was the slight underdog at -109 going into the game.
Sean Manaea put together a good start for the Mets, going seven innings and not giving up a run. He also issued just three hits and struck out 10 Cardinals batters. Jeff McNeil was hot at the plate, going 2/4 with a homer and scoring two runs. The Mets also had three other players with two hits.
As the Mets head into their series vs. the Rockies, their overall series record for the season is 18-14-7. They are seven games behind the Phillies in the NL East with a 59-53 record. New York is 20-16 against divisional opponents this year and they closed out their series vs. the Cardinals with a win, taking the series 1-0.
This season, the Mets have gone 54-58 on the run line, including a 29-24 record on the road. Their games have averaged 9.4 runs, and the under has hit in their last two games. The over/under line for today’s game is 11.5 runs, which is significantly higher than their usual totals, as 99.1% of their games have had lower over/under lines than today’s total.
Luis Severino Gets The Start For The Mets
The Mets are sending Luis Severino to the mound today, and he comes into the game with a record of 7-4 and an ERA of 3.93. So far, he has made 21 starts, and opponents are batting .226 this season. In his 21 appearances, Severino has turned in nine quality starts and is averaging 6.99 strikeouts per nine innings. Looking back at his last outing, Severino took the loss, giving up six earned runs in three innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts. The right-hander didn’t allow a run in either of those outings.
Mets Offense Breakdown
As a team, the Mets are averaging 4.8 runs per game, which is 7th in the league. They have been even better on the road, putting up 5.2 runs per contest. Overall, they are the league’s 5th best home run hitting team and have a team batting average of .249. New York’s team OPS of .741 is also 8th in the league.
Over his last five games, Jeff McNeil is hitting .429, and he also has one home run during this stretch. Overall, he has gone deep 16 times this season, which is 3rd on the team. Pete Alonso and Francisco Lindor are the team’s top home run hitters, with 23 and 22 homers, respectively. Lindor is batting .253 for the season, and Alonso is batting .241.
The Rockies Took The Last Game Of This Series
The Rockies will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Padres with a 10-2 loss. Colorado was the +191 underdog on the money line going into this road game. Things started off well for the Rockies, as they got on the board with a run in the 1st inning but gave up the lead right away as the Padres scored three times in the bottom of the first.
Colorado started Cal Quantrill, and he took the loss, going 4 1/3 innings and giving up three earned runs on five hits. The Rockies also had a rough 8th inning, as the Padres scored three more runs to put things out of reach. Jacob Stallings had a good day at the plate, going 2/4 with a homer and scoring twice.
Colorado’s overall record against the run line is 57-56, with a 29-24 mark at home and 28-32 on the road. Their games have averaged 10.0 runs per game, resulting in a 58-53 over/under record. The over/under line for today’s game is 11.5 runs, which is the sixth time this season the line has been set at that number.
The Rockies are currently 5th in the NL West with a 41-72 record, 25 games behind the Dodgers. They are 13.5 games out of the final Wild Card spot. Colorado won the final game of their series vs. the Padres after dropping the first two games.
Kyle Freeland Gets The Start For The Rockies
Colorado starter Kyle Freeland will be looking to build off his last outing, where he gave up just one earned run in seven innings of work. In that outing, which came against the Angels, he only gave up six hits and didn’t issue a walk. Looking back further, Freeland has turned in a quality start in six of his last seven outings. Freeland’s overall record is 3-4, and his ERA for the season is 5.64. At home, he is 1-0 with a 1.97 ERA compared to 2-4 with a 12.12 ERA on the road.
Rockies Offense Breakdown
So far this season, the Rockies are averaging 4.2 runs per game, which is 17th in the MLB. They have been a better offensive team at home, averaging 4.9 runs per game. As a team, they are batting .242, which is 11th in the league, and they have the 13th best slugging percentage in the league. The Rockies have been good at putting the ball in play, as their team BABIP of .30 is the 3rd best mark in the league.
Both Brenton Doyle and Michael Toglia come into the game with 19 home runs, which is the 12th best mark in the MLB. Doyle is the team’s leading hitter, batting .266, while Toglia is batting just .204. Ezequiel Tovar is hitting .280 and is 2nd on the team with 52 RBIs. Tovar and Doyle are currently on hitting streaks of 3 and 4 games, respectively.
Mets vs Rockies Prediction
Our prediction for today’s Mets vs. Rockies game is to take the Rockies on the money line, where they are offering a payout of +133. We have the Rockies winning this one by a final score of 6-5.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Luis Severino finishing with six strikeouts, and as for Kyle Freeland, he is predicted to finish with five K’s.
Offensively, the Mets are projected to finish with eight hits, compared to the Rockies, who we have finishing with nine. The Mets are also projected to hit more home runs than the Rockies.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:August 6, 2024 Mets, Rockies