The New York Mets (59-54) travel to face off against the Colorado Rockies (42-72) on Wednesday, August 7th. This game will be played at Coors Field in Denver and televised on None. The Rockies are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Mets are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Rockies. First pitch is set for 7:40 CT.
Mets vs. Rockies Betting Prediction
- Money Line Prediction: Mets (-160)
- Over/Under Prediction: Under 11.5 Runs
- The Mets have scored 6 or more runs in 6 of their last 15 games.
- The Mets have won 4 of their last 5 road games.
- The Mets have a 4-2 record against the Rockies this season.
- The Mets have a higher league rank (7th) compared to the Rockies (14th).
- The Mets have a better away record (29-25) compared to the Rockies’ home record (25-29).
Mets vs Rockies
It was all Colorado in the last game of this series, as the Rockies took down the Mets by a score of 6-3. The Rockies offense only had two more hits than the Mets and struck out six more times, but still picked up a convincing win. Heading into the game, they were at +128 on the money line.
New York had a two-run 4th inning and added their final run in the 5th, but couldn’t get anything else going against the Rockies’ pitching staff. As for the Rockies, they scored one run in the 2nd and broke the game open with a three-run 4th. Their final two runs came in the 8th.
Kyle Freeland only went 4 2/3 innings for the Rockies but gave up just three hits and three earned runs. Justin Lawrence got the win out of the bullpen, and Victor Vodnik got the save. Luis Severino had a rough outing for the Mets, taking the loss.
Overall, the Mets have a 54-59 run line record this season, with a +0.3 run differential per game. They are 28-18 against the run line as underdogs and 26-41 when favored. The Mets are 20-16 in divisional matchups, and they are currently 3rd in the NL East, eight games behind the Phillies.
Heading into today’s game, the Mets’ games have gone under the line in three straight, and their average total runs per game is 9.4. The over/under line for today’s game is set at 11.5 runs, which is higher than their usual line of 8 runs per game.
Paul Blackburn Gets The Start For The Mets
Paul Blackburn will be looking to build off his last outing, where he faced the Angels and picked up the win. In that start, he went 6 innings and gave up just one earned run. Looking at his overall numbers, Blackburn has made 10 starts and has a record of 5-2. His ERA for the season is 4.11, along with a WHIP of 1.18. Opposing batters are hitting .231 off Blackburn this year. Out of his 10 starts, Blackburn has turned in five quality starts. Per nine innings, he is averaging 6.95 strikeouts and 2.53 walks.
Mets Offense Breakdown
Over the past six games, Pete Alonso and J.D. Martinez have each hit one home run, but they have been struggling at the plate, with Martinez going 3/19 and Alonso going 4/20. Jeff McNeil has been hot of late, going 6/14 in his last five games with a home run. McNeil also has a three-game hitting streak coming into today’s game. Francisco Alvarez is also on a four-game hitting streak.
As a team, the Mets are 8th in scoring at 4.8 runs per game. They have been a better offensive team on the road this season, averaging 5.2 runs per contest. Overall, they are 5th in home runs and have the 9th best team batting average in the league.
Colorado’s overall series record is 8-25-3, and they are 4-6 in their last 10 games. They have a 25-29 home record, and their run line record is 58-56. The Rockies have covered the run line in two straight games and have an average run differential of +2.9 in wins.
On the road, the Rockies are 17-43 straight up and have yet to win as favorites this season. They are 42-72 as underdogs. The over/under record for Rockies games this season is 58-54, with an average of 10.0 runs per game. Today’s O/U line is set at 11.5 runs.
Ryan Feltner Gets The Start For The Rockies
Colorado is sending Ryan Feltner to the mound today vs. the Mets, and he is looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Angels. In that start, he went 6 innings and gave up 3 earned runs, 3 homers, and had a total of 7 strikeouts. Feltner finished with a no-decision in the outing. Looking back further, he has made 22 starts this season and has a record of 1-10 with a 4.97 ERA. Opponents are batting .262 vs. Feltner this year. The right-hander has a WHIP of 1.41. Feltner has made nine quality starts this year.
Rockies Offense Breakdown
So far this season, the Rockies are averaging 4.2 runs per game, which is 17th in the league. However, they have been much better at home, averaging 4.9 runs per game. As a team, they are batting .242, which is 13th in the MLB, and their collective BABIP of .30 is the 3rd best mark in the league. The Rockies have been near the bottom of the league in terms of strikeouts and walks.
Ezequiel Tovar and Brenton Doyle have been the Rockies’ top power threats this season, as they are tied for 2nd on the team with 18 homers apiece. Doyle is also the team’s leading hitter at .266, while Tovar is batting .280. Michael Toglia is also tied for 12th in the league with 19 homers but has struggled with a batting average of just .202.
Mets vs Rockies Prediction
Our predicted final score for this one is 5-4 in favor of the Mets, which means there is some solid value in taking them on the money line at -160. If you’re looking for a parlay, we would recommend pairing the Mets with another favorite.
Looking at some potential player props, we have Paul Blackburn finishing with six strikeouts compared to Ryan Feltner with five. Feltner is projected to finish with a higher ERA than Blackburn, and we have him going five innings compared to Feltner’s 5.2.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
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Last updated:August 7, 2024 Mets, Rockies