New York Mets vs Los Angeles Angels MLB Betting Prediction

MLB New York Mets vs Los Angeles Angels Prediction 8/4/2024

The New York Mets (58-52) travel to face off against the Los Angeles Angels (48-63) on Sunday, August 4th. This game will be played at Angel Stadium of Anaheim in Anaheim and televised on BSW. The Angels are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Mets are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Angels. First pitch is set for 3:07 CT.

Mets vs. Angels Betting Prediction

  • Money Line Prediction: Mets (-149)
  • Over/Under Prediction: Under 9.5 Runs
  • The Mets have won 6 of their last 10 games.
  • The Mets have scored 5 or more runs in 7 of their last 15 games.
  • The Mets have a better away record (28-23) compared to the Angels’ home record (25-35).
  • The Mets have won 3 of their last 4 away games.
  • The Mets have outscored the Angels 9-6 in their last two head-to-head games.

Mets vs Angels

new york mets nba

It was a low-scoring game in the most recent game of this Mets and Angels series. New York had a late rally, scoring four runs in the 7th inning, but still fell short with the Angels winning 5-4 at home. Heading into the game, the Angels were at +109 on the money line.

Jose Soriano pitched well for the Angels in this one, going six innings and striking out six without giving up a run. He picked up a win in the game, while Matt Moore got the save. Huascar Brazoban had a rough outing for the Mets, taking the loss.

Zach Neto hit the game’s only home run while going 2/3 with four RBIs and two runs scored. J.D. Martinez also had a two-hit game with four RBIs for the Mets.

This season, the Mets have been a better bet on the run line as the underdog, going 27-18, and their overall run line record is 53-57. Their games have averaged 9.5 runs per game, with 58 of 106 games going over the total. The Mets are 36-29 straight up as favorites and have an average run differential of +0.3 per game.

New York is 6-4 in their last 10 games and has an overall series record of 17-13-7. They are 58-52 overall and trail the Phillies by seven games in the NL East. On the road, the Mets have a 28-23 straight-up record and are 20-16 against NL East teams this season.

Jose Quintana Gets The Start For The Mets

Jose Quintana gets the start for the Mets today and will be looking to build off his last outing, where he picked up the win. In that start, which came on July 29th vs. the Twins, Quintana went 6 innings and gave up just one earned run. Looking back over his last four outings, he has been pretty consistent, giving up no more than one earned run in three of those starts. The only blemish in this stretch was a start vs. the Rockies on July 14th, where he gave up five earned runs. For the season, Quintana’s ERA is 3.89, and he has a record of 6-6.

Mets Offense Breakdown

As a team, the Mets are 7th in the league in scoring, averaging 4.9 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, putting up an average of 5.3 runs per contest. Overall, they are 5th in home runs and have a team batting average of .250, which is 10th in the league. New York’s team OPS of .743 is also 7th in the MLB.

Over the team’s last eight games, Mark Vientos has gone 8/28 with three homers and seven RBIs. Pete Alonso also has three homers in this stretch but is batting just .233. For the season, Alonso is batting .242 with a team-high 23 homers. Francisco Lindor and Brandon Nimmo are also near the top of the team’s home run and RBI leaderboards.

Angels games this season have averaged 8.9 runs per game, and their over/under record is 55-52. The over/under line for today’s game is 9.5 runs, which is unusual, as only 1.8% of their games have had lines that high. Los Angeles is 29-22 against the run line on the road and 32-28 at home, with an overall run line record of 56-37.

With a 48-63 record, the Angels are 10.5 games behind the Mariners in the AL West. They have a series record of 10-23-2 and have lost two straight series. As underdogs, the Angels have a 42-51 record, compared to 6-12 when favored.

Griffin Canning Gets The Start For The Angels

Griffin Canning is looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Rockies, where he gave up six earned runs in six innings of work. In that July 30th start, he gave up two homers. Canning has made 22 starts this season and has a record of 3-10 with an ERA of 5.25. Looking at his home/road splits, Canning is 0-8 on the road with a 6.61 ERA. At home, he is 3-2 with a 4.93 ERA. Opponents are batting .264 off Canning this season, and he has only made five quality starts.

Angels Offense Breakdown

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So far this season, the Angels offense is averaging just 4 runs per game, which is 26th in the league. They have been even worse at home, averaging just 4.1 runs per game. As a team, they are batting .235, which is 17th in the league, and have the 19th ranked home run total in the league.

Logan O’Hoppe and Taylor Ward are both tied for the team lead with 16 home runs this season. O’Hoppe has gone 9/32 in his last eight games, with two homers, and four RBIs. Ward hasn’t been hitting well of late, batting just .225 in his last 10 games, but he does have two homers and 10 RBIs during that stretch.

Mets vs Angels Prediction

Getting the Mets at -149 on the money line is a great value, as we have them winning this one by a score of 5-4. With the over/under sitting at 9.5 runs, there isn’t a lot of wiggle room, as we see this one finishing with a combined nine runs.

Looking at the starting pitchers, Jose Quintana is projected to finish with five strikeouts, and we have Griffin Canning finishing with six. Canning is projected to go just five innings, compared to Quintana, who we have going six.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.