New York Mets vs Milwaukee Brewers MLB Betting Prediction

MLB New York Mets vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction 9/29/2024

The New York Mets (87-72) travel to face off against the Milwaukee Brewers (93-68) on Sunday, September 29th. This game will be played at American Family Field in Milwaukee and televised on BSWI. The Brewers are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Mets are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Brewers. First pitch is set for 2:10 CT.

Mets vs. Brewers Betting Prediction

  • Money Line Prediction: Brewers (+104)
  • Over/Under Prediction: Over 8 Runs
  • Brewers have won 6 of their last 10 games, indicating strong recent form.
  • Brewers have a 3-game winning streak, showing momentum going into the game.
  • Brewers have scored an average of 6.2 runs per game in their last 5 home games.
  • Brewers have won 4 out of their last 5 home games against the Mets.
  • Brewers have a better overall home record (47-33) compared to the Mets’ away record (41-37).

Mets vs Brewers

new york mets nba

It was all Milwaukee in the last game of this series, as the Brewers took down the Mets by a score of 6-0. The Brewers offense only had two more hits than the Mets and struck out 18 times, but still picked up a convincing win. Heading into the game, they were at -109 on the money line.

This game featured a starting pitching matchup between Jared Koenig for the Brewers and Jose Quintana for the Mets. Koenig only went one inning but didn’t give up a hit or a run. On the other side, Quintana was tagged for two homers and two earned runs in just 4 1/3 innings of work.

Milwaukee’s two homers came from Willy Adames and Jackson Chourio. Adames, Joey Ortiz, and Andruw Monasterio each had two RBIs for the Brewers’ offense.

On the run line, the Mets are 42-36 on the road and 80-79 overall this season. Their games have averaged 9.1 runs, resulting in an 80-74 O/U record. The over/under line of 8 runs has hit in 51.6% of their games, with a 15-9-1 record.

New York is currently 87-72 and trails the Braves by six games in the NL East. They are one game behind Atlanta for the second Wild Card spot and have lost three in a row. As underdogs, the Mets are 29-33, while they have a 58-39 record as favorites. In the series vs. the Brewers, they are down 0-2.

David Peterson Gets The Start For The Mets

New York is sending left-hander David Peterson to the mound today vs. the Brewers. He has made 20 starts this season and has a record of 9-3 with a 3.08 ERA. Looking at his overall numbers, Peterson has a WHIP of 1.33 and has issued 3.39 walks per nine innings compared to 7.34 strikeouts. Peterson has turned in 11 quality starts this year, and his last outing was a rough one, as he took the loss and gave up four earned runs in 3 2/3 innings of work vs. the Phillies. Before that, he had gone 7 2/3 innings without giving up an earned run.

Mets Offense Breakdown

As a team, the Mets are 7th in the league in scoring, averaging 4.7 runs per game. They have been even better on the road this season, averaging 4.8 runs per contest. The Mets have been a good home run hitting team this season, ranking 6th in the league, and they are also near the top of the league in isolated power.

Francisco Lindor and Pete Alonso have been the Mets’ top two power hitters this season, with Alonso leading the team with 34 homers and Lindor right behind him with 31. Alonso also leads the team with 88 RBIs. Lindor comes into the game with a batting average of .271 and has gone 8/19 in his last five games. Jose Iglesias is also on a 19-game hitting streak.

Milwaukee’s games have averaged 8.8 runs per game this season, with 81 games going over the total. Their over/under record in games with an 8-run line is 13-13-5. Against the run line, the Brewers are 82-79, and they are 46-23 as underdogs.

The Brewers are on a roll, having won three straight games overall and five straight series on the road. They are closing in on the NL Central division title, leading the Cubs by ten games with a 93-68 record.

Colin Rea Gets The Start For The Brewers

Milwaukee is sending Colin Rea to the mound today vs. the Mets, and he will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Giants on September 11th. In that start, Rea gave up 10 earned runs in just four innings of work. He finished with the loss in that outing. Since then, he has made three appearances and has not factored in the decision in any of them. Rea’s ERA for the season is 4.17, along with a record of 12-5. Looking at his overall numbers, Rea has allowed 28 home runs and is averaging 7.22 strikeouts per nine innings.

Brewers Offense Breakdown

milwaukee brewers

As a team, the Brewers are averaging 4.8 runs per game, which is 6th in the league. They have been even better on the road this season, putting up 5.1 runs per contest. Milwaukee’s offense has been good in terms of home runs and batting average, and they have the 4th best on-base percentage in the league. The Brewers have been tough to strike out this season and are 3rd in the league in terms of drawing walks.

Willy Adames has been a big power threat for the Brewers this season, as his 32 homers are 11th in the league. His 112 RBIs are 4th in the MLB. Adames is batting .252 for the season. William Contreras is batting .281 and has 23 homers. In his last eight games, Garrett Mitchell is batting .273 with two homers.

Mets vs Brewers Prediction

Our prediction for today’s Mets vs. Brewers matchup is to take the Brewers on the money line at +104. We have the Brewers winning this one by a final score of 7-6. With the Brewers being the underdog, there is some good value in picking them straight up.

Looking at the starting pitchers, our projections have David Peterson finishing with six strikeouts compared to Colin Rea with six. Rea is projected to go 0.2 innings longer than Peterson, and he is also projected to finish with fewer earned runs.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.