The New York Mets (43-44) travel to face off against the Pittsburgh Pirates (42-46) on Sunday, July 7th. This game will be played at PNC Park in Pittsburgh and televised on SNY. The Mets are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Pirates are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Mets. First pitch is set for 12:35Â CT.
Mets vs. Pirates Betting Prediction
- Money Line Prediction: Pirates (+112)
- Over/Under Prediction: Over 9 Runs
- The Pirates have scored an average of 5.2 runs per game in their last 5 home games.
- The Pirates have won 3 out of their last 4 home games against the Mets.
- The Pirates have a higher home win percentage (47.7%) compared to the Mets’ away win percentage (46.3%).
- The Pirates have outscored their opponents by a total of 10 runs in their last 3 home wins.
- The Pirates have a recent win against the Mets with a dominant score of 14-2 on July 5th.
Mets vs Pirates
It was all New York in the last game of this Mets vs. Pirates series. The Mets took down the Pirates by a score of 5-2, picking up a win as -132 favorites. Heading into the game, the Mets had lost the first two games of the series.
Pittsburgh got on the board first in this one, scoring one run in the 4th inning. The Mets responded with three runs in the 5th and added two more in the 6th. As for the Pirates, they scored their final run in the 6th.
Luis Torrens and Brandon Nimmo each had three hits and scored a run for the Mets. Oneil Cruz was the only Pirates hitter to have more than one hit, going 1/3 with a home run.
Currently, the Mets are 3rd in the NL East with a 43-44 record, trailing the Phillies by 14 games. Their overall series record is 13-13-4, and they are tied in their current series vs. the Pirates. The Mets’ run line record is 24-17 on the road, with a scoring margin of +0.4 runs per game.
For the season, the over/under record for Mets games is 46-38, with games averaging 9.6 runs per game. When the total line is set at 9 runs, the O/U record is 4-3-3. This line has been set for 10 of their games, which is 11.5% of their total games played.
Sean Manaea Gets The Start For The Mets
Sean Manaea gets the start for the Mets today as he faces the Pirates on the road. So far this season, he has made 16 starts and has a record of 5-3 with a 3.67 ERA. Manaea’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.27. Looking at his overall numbers, Manaea has turned in four quality starts and is averaging 8.75 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, Manaea finished with a no-decision, giving up one earned run in seven innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts.
Mets Offense Breakdown
As a team, the Mets are averaging 4.8 runs per game, which is 8th in the league. They have been even better on the road this season, averaging 5.6 runs per contest. New York is also one of the league’s top home run hitting teams, coming in 4th in the league. Overall, they are batting .247, which is 9th in the league.
Brandon Nimmo has been the Mets’ most consistent hitter this season, leading the team with 52 RBIs and a .367 on-base percentage. He is also 3rd on the team with 13 homers. Pete Alonso is the team’s top power threat, with 18 homers, which is 9th in the league. Francisco Lindor has also been a solid power threat, as his 15 homers is 12th in the league. Over his last 10 games, Lindor is batting .250 with two homers.
As underdogs, the Pirates have a 25-27 record, and their overall run line record is 47-41. The Pirates have an average run margin of 3.2 in wins and -3.5 in losses this season. They are 5-5 in their last 10 games and are looking to snap a two-game losing streak today.
Pittsburgh’s overall series record is 11-13-4, and they have dropped two straight series heading into today’s game. The over/under line for today’s game is set at 9 runs, with the Pirates’ O/U record standing at 41-46 for the season. The average total in their games has been 8.5 runs, and their O/U record in games with a 9-run total is 3-6-1.
Luis L. Ortiz Gets The Start For The Pirates
Luis L. Ortiz is getting the start for the Pirates today and has made 23 appearances this season. He has a record of 4-2 and an ERA of 3.27. The right-hander most recently pitched on July 2nd out of the bullpen, where he went 2 innings, giving up one earned run, and finished with a no-decision. In his outing before that, he picked up the win, going 6 innings and giving up just one earned run. Ortiz has made one quality start this year and is averaging 7.69 strikeouts per nine innings. For the year, he has allowed three homers at home and 1.0 per nine innings.
Pirates Offense Breakdown
Oneil Cruz and Bryan Reynolds have been swinging the bat well of late for the Pirates, with Reynolds hitting .333 and Cruz batting .400 over their last seven games. Reynolds has three homers in that stretch and has gone deep 16 times this season, which is the best mark on the team and 11th in the league. His 54 RBIs are also 14th in the MLB. Cruz has 13 homers and 39 RBIs this season. Both players come into the game on four-game hitting streaks.
As a team, the Pirates are averaging just 4.1 runs per game, which is 22nd in the league. They are also near the bottom of the league in batting average, on-base percentage, and slugging. Overall, they are 16th in home runs and have been striking out 9 times per game. At home, they are averaging just 4 runs per contest.
Mets vs Pirates Prediction
Our prediction for today’s Mets vs. Pirates game is to take the Pirates on the money line, with the payout sitting at +112. We actually have the Pirates winning this one by a score of 6-5.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Luis L. Ortiz is projected to finish with five strikeouts, and his team, the Pirates, are projected to finish with 11 as a team. As for Sean Manaea, we have him finishing with six strikeouts, and the Mets finishing with eight.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:July 9, 2024 Mets, Pirates