The New York Mets (44-44) travel to face off against the Pittsburgh Pirates (42-47) on Monday, July 8th. This game will be played at PNC Park in Pittsburgh and televised on SN PT. The Mets are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Pirates are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Mets. First pitch is set for 11:35  CT.

Mets vs. Pirates Betting Prediction

• Money Line Prediction: Mets (-106)
• Over/Under Prediction: Over 8.5 Runs

• The Mets have won 9 of their last 15 games, showing strong recent form.
• The Mets have scored an average of 6.1 runs per game over their last 15 games, indicating a potent offense.
• In their last series against the Pirates, the Mets won 2 out of 3 games, demonstrating a favorable head-to-head performance.
• The Mets have a winning record on the road in their last 15 games, with 8 wins and 7 losses.
• The Mets have scored 5 or more runs in 10 of their last 15 games, showcasing consistent offensive production.

Mets vs Pirates

New York rallied for two runs in the 8th inning and added two more in the 9th to pick up a 3-2 win over the Pirates in the most recent game of this series. The Mets had just three hits in the game and struck out nine times but still picked up the win. Heading into the game, they were favored at -130 on the money line.

Pittsburgh wasted a good outing from Luis L. Ortiz, as he gave up just two hits and no earned runs in six innings of work for the Pirates. Aroldis Chapman took the loss. Edwin Díaz got the win out of the bullpen for the Mets as Sean Manaea went six innings, giving up two hits and no earned runs.

Offensively, the Mets were led by Francisco Lindor, who went 3/4 with two RBIs. Lindor scored the game’s first run in the 1st inning but didn’t score another run until the Mets’ two-run 8th. Ke’Bryan Hayes had a two-hit game for the Pirates.

As favorites, the Mets have a 25-23 straight-up record, while their run line record is 17-31. On the road, they are 23-19 straight-up and 24-18 against the run line. New York’s over/under record for games with an 8.5 run total is 13-8. Overall, Mets games have averaged 9.6 runs per game this season, resulting in a 46-39 over/under record.

New York is currently 13 games behind the Phillies in the NL East, with an even 44-44 record. They have won two straight games and are 5-5 in their last 10. The Mets’ series record this season is 13-13-4.

Christian Scott Gets The Start For The Mets

Right-hander Christian Scott is starting for the Mets today as he faces the Pirates on the road. Through six starts, he has a record of 0-2 and an ERA of 4.32. Scott has made three quality starts this year and is coming off an outing in which he gave up four earned runs in 5 2/3 innings of work. In that outing, he gave up two homers. Scott has not allowed more than two homers in any other outing this year. Opponents are batting .240 off Scott this year, and his WHIP is 1.14.

Mets Offense Breakdown

So far this season, the Mets are one of the league’s best home run hitting teams, and they are also near the top of the league in terms of isolated power. Overall, they are averaging 4.8 runs per game, which is 9th in the MLB. At home, they have been a bit worse, averaging just 4.2 runs per game (20th). However, on the road, they are the top-scoring team in the league, averaging 5.5 runs per contest.

Brandon Nimmo has been the Mets’ best run producer this season, as his 53 RBIs are the best on the team. He also comes into the game with a solid on-base percentage of .368. Pete Alonso and Francisco Lindor have been the Mets’ top power threats, with Alonso’s 18 homers leading the team, and Lindor’s 15 homers being the 2nd most on the team. Over his last six games, Lindor has gone 7/24 with two homers.

As underdogs, the Pirates have a 25-28 record this season, and they are currently in 3rd place in the NL Central, five games behind the Cardinals. Pittsburgh’s overall series record is 11-13-4, and they have lost two straight series heading into today’s game against the Mets.

Against the run line, the Pirates are 26-18 on the road and 22-23 at home. Their overall run line record is 48-41, and they have a 36-17 record as underdogs. The average combined run total in Pirates games this season is 8.5 runs, and their O/U record is 41-47. Heading into today’s game, their under streak is at 2 games.

Mitch Keller Gets The Start For The Pirates

Mitch Keller will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Cardinals, as he gets the start today vs. the Mets. In that start, which came on July 2nd, Keller took the loss after giving up five earned runs in five innings of work. Looking back further, he has allowed at least four earned runs in three of his last four starts. Keller’s ERA for the season is 3.48, along with a record of 9-5. Opponents have hit .248 off Keller this season. Out of his 17 starts, Keller has nine quality starts and one complete game.

Pirates Offense Breakdown

The Pirates offense has been one of the worst in the league this season, averaging just 4.1 runs per game (23rd). They have been even worse at home, averaging only 3.9 runs per game. As a team, they are batting just .230, and their on-base percentage of .299 is also near the bottom of the league.

Bryan Reynolds has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 9/29 in his last seven games, including three homers. For the season, he is batting .281 with a team-high 16 homers and 54 RBIs. Oneil Cruz is also a power threat in the lineup, as he has 13 homers this season.

Mets vs Pirates Prediction

Our predicted final score for today’s Mets vs. Pirates game is 5-4 in favor of the Mets. We are recommending taking the Mets on the money line, as they are paying out at -106.

Looking at the starting pitchers, Mitch Keller has a higher projected strikeout total than the Mets’ starter, Christian Scott. However, Keller is projected to give up more earned runs than Scott.

If you’re looking for a parlay, you could look to pair the Mets with a player prop. One option could be to take Keller’s strikeout total and take the over, as he is projected to finish with six K’s.

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All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

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* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.