The New York Mets (66-61) travel to face off against the San Diego Padres (72-56) on Thursday, August 22nd. This game will be played at PETCO Park in San Diego and televised on None. The Mets are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Padres are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Twins. First pitch is set for 8:40 CT.

Mets vs. Padres Betting Prediction

• Money Line Prediction: Padres (-154)
• Over/Under Prediction: Over 7.5 Runs

• Padres have scored an average of 5.8 runs per game in their last 15 games.
• Padres have won 7 out of their last 10 home games.
• Padres have a 6-4 record in their last 10 games overall.
• Padres have outscored their opponents by 20 runs in their last 15 games.
• Padres have a better overall record (72-56) compared to the Mets (66-61).

Mets vs Padres

The Mets Are Coming Off A Win

Heading into their last game vs. the Orioles, the Mets closed out the series with a 4-3 win. Leading up to the game, they were the heavy favorite at -142. It got a little tense at the end, as the Orioles pulled to within one run in the 8th, but Edwin Diaz was able to close things out and pick up the save.

Sean Manaea put together a good start for the Mets, going seven innings and giving up just three runs on three hits. He also issued only one walk and struck out nine Orioles batters. Francisco Lindor had a big game at thejson, going 2/4 with a homer and scoring three runs.

The Mets are 66-61 overall, sitting in 3rd place in the NL East, 8.5 games behind the Phillies and 7 games behind the Braves. As underdogs, they have a 23-26 record and have lost three straight games. Against the run line, they are 31-28 on the road and 28-21 as underdogs.

In games with an over/under line of 7.5 runs, the Mets have a 12-13 O/U record. Their season O/U record is 64-59, with an average of 9.3 runs per game. New York has won two straight series and has an overall series record of 21-16-7 this season.

Luis Severino Gets The Start For The Mets

New York is sending Luis Severino to the mound today, and he comes in with a record of 8-6 and an ERA of 3.91. So far this year, he has made 24 starts, and opponents are batting .228 off the right-hander. In his 24 appearances, Severino has turned in 10 quality starts, one shutout, and one complete game. His last outing was a gem, as he went nine innings, didn’t give up a run, and picked up the win. Before that, he had lost three straight starts. So far, he has been much better at home, coming in with a 5-2 record and 3.93 ERA compared to 3-4 with a 4.98 ERA on the road.

Mets Offense Breakdown

Francisco Lindor and Pete Alonso have been two of the Mets’ top power threats this season, as Alonso leads the team with 27 homers, and Lindor is right behind him with 25. Lindor also leads the team with 73 RBIs and has a batting average of .266. Over his last 10 games, Lindor has gone 15/41 with three homers and six RBIs. Mark Vientos is also swinging a hot bat for the Mets, as he has three homers and seven RBIs over his last nine games.

As a team, the Mets are 5th in home runs and are averaging 4.8 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5 runs per contest. Overall, they are 8th in batting average, hitting a combined .249.

The Padres Took The Last Game Of This Series

The Padres will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Twins with an 11-4 loss. San Diego was actually the slight favorite at home going into the game but fell behind big early, as the Twins scored seven times in the 4th.

Matt Waldron took the loss for the Padres, going just 4 1/3 innings, and giving up 10 earned runs. San Diego’s offense scored their only four runs in the 4th and was carried by Jackson Merrill, who went 2/4 with a homer.

San Diego is tied with the Diamondbacks for 2nd place in the NL West with a 72-56 record, four games behind the Dodgers. The Padres have a 26-14-3 series record and won their most recent series vs. the Twins.

As an underdog, the Padres have been a good run line bet with a 34-15 record, but as the favorite, they are 33-46 vs. the run line. The O/U record for Padres games this season is 69-58, and the average O/U line for their games is 8 runs.

Dylan Cease Gets The Start For The Padres

Dylan Cease gets the start for the Padres today and comes in with a record of 12-9 and an ERA of 3.46. Cease has made 26 starts this year and has one complete game shutout. In his last outing, Cease went 5 2/3 innings, giving up three earned runs, and got the win. Looking back over his last three outings, Cease has finished with a no-decision, a loss, and a win. Cease’s ERA for the season is 3.29 at home compared to 4.55 on the road. Opponents are batting .189 this year off Cease.

Padres Offense Breakdown

San Diego comes into the game as the league’s top hitting team, batting .265 as a team. They have also been one of the best home run hitting teams in the league this season, as they are 11th in the league in homers. The Padres are also the league’s top team in terms of fewest strikeouts per game and have the top on-base percentage in the league.

Jurickson Profar and Manny Machado come into the game as the Padres’ top home run hitters, with 20 homers apiece. Profar is also the team’s leader in RBIs, with 76. Profar is batting .289 for the season, while Machado is hitting .268. Over his last six games, Machado has gone 6/22 with two homers.

Mets vs Padres Prediction

Our predicted score for this game is a 6-5 win for the Padres, which would have them winning by one run. However, we are recommending taking the Padres on the money line, as there are some good value at -154.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Dylan Cease finishing with six strikeouts compared to Luis Severino with five. However, Cease is averaging 6th in terms of starters for K’s, and Severino is second to last.

---

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

---

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.