New York Mets vs San Diego Padres MLB Betting Prediction

MLB New York Mets vs San Diego Padres Prediction 8/25/2024

The New York Mets (68-62) travel to face off against the San Diego Padres (73-58) on Sunday, August 25th. This game will be played at PETCO Park in San Diego and televised on WPIX. The Mets are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Padres are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Mets. First pitch is set for 3:10 CT.

Mets vs. Padres Betting Prediction

  • Money Line Prediction: Padres (-119)
  • Over/Under Prediction: Over 8.5 Runs
  • Padres have scored 7 or more runs in 6 of their last 15 games, showing strong offensive potential.
  • Padres have a home record of 36-32, indicating they perform well at home.
  • Padres have won 5 of their last 7 home games, demonstrating recent home-field advantage.
  • Padres have a better overall record (73-58) compared to the Mets (68-62), indicating a stronger season performance.
  • Padres have a recent head-to-head win against the Mets, scoring 7-0 on August 23rd.

Mets vs Padres

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New York cruised to a 7-1 win over the Padres in the most recent game of this series. The Mets had a huge 4th inning, scoring all four of their runs. As for the Padres, they scored their only run in the 5th. Heading into the game, the Mets were at +121 on the money line.

David Peterson pitched well for the Mets in this one, going 7 1/3 innings and giving up just one run. He finished the game with two strikeouts and two walks. On the other side, Michael King only went five innings for the Padres, giving up one earned run on three hits.

Francisco Lindor and Harrison Bader each homered for the Mets, while Kyle Higashioka went 2/4 with an RBI for the Padres. Lindor, Bader, and Lindor each scored two runs for New York’s offense.

On the season, the Mets have an over/under record of 24-16 in games with an 8.5 run total. Their overall over/under record is 66-60, and their games have averaged 9.3 runs per game. Against the run line, the Mets are 30-22 as underdogs and 31-47 as favorites.

New York has won two straight series and has an overall series record of 21-16-7. They are 68-62 overall and trail the Phillies by 7.5 games in the NL East. On the road, the Mets are 33-29 this season.

Jose Quintana Gets The Start For The Mets

New York is sending left-hander Jose Quintana to the mound today vs. the Padres. Quintana has made 25 starts this year and has a record of 6-9 with an ERA of 4.57. Looking at his overall numbers, Quintana has a WHIP of 1.32 and has issued 3.49 walks per nine innings compared to 7.12 strikeouts. Quintana has turned in eight quality starts this year and is coming off a rough outing vs. the Orioles, where he gave up seven earned runs in five innings of work. In that outing, he gave up two homers. He took the loss in that start.

Mets Offense Breakdown

Francisco Lindor has been on a tear of late, going 13/37 in his last nine games with four homers and nine RBIs. He also has a five-game hitting streak coming into today’s game. For the season, Lindor is batting .269 with 27 homers and 78 RBIs, which is 1st on the team and 15th in the league. Pete Alonso is also tied with Lindor for the team lead in homers, and he comes into the game with 71 RBIs.

As a team, the Mets are 4th in home runs and are averaging 4.8 runs per game (10th). They have been even better on the road, averaging 5 runs per contest. Overall, they are batting .248, which is 9th in the league.

San Diego is 73-58 overall and 4.5 games behind the Dodgers in the NL West. They are looking to bounce back after losing two of the first three games in the series vs. the Mets.

When favored, the Padres are 46-36 straight up and 41-22 against the run line on the road. Their games have averaged 9.0 runs, resulting in a 71-59 over/under record. Today’s O/U line is 8.5 runs.

Martín Pérez Gets The Start For The Padres

Martín Pérez gets the start for the Padres today and will be looking to build off his last outing, where he didn’t factor into the decision. Against the Twins, he went 4 2/3 innings, giving up three earned runs on seven hits. Before that outing, he had picked up the win, going 5 1/3 innings and giving up just one earned run. Perez has made 20 appearances this year and has a record of 3-5, along with an ERA of 4.67 and WHIP of 1.50. For the season, he has allowed 18 home runs. Perez’s ERA on the road is 6.43, compared to 4.54 at home.

Padres Offense Breakdown

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San Diego comes into the game as the league’s top hitting team, averaging 4.7 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5 runs per contest. The Padres are also near the top of the league in home runs and have the best team batting average in the MLB.

Jurickson Profar and Manny Machado are tied for the team lead with 20 homers, which is 15th best in the league. Profar is also the team’s top hitter in terms of RBIs, with 77. Machado has gone 9/29 over his last eight games, including two homers. Luis Arraez is batting .304 for the season and has gone deep four times.

Mets vs Padres Prediction

Our prediction for this Mets vs. Padres matchup is that the Padres will come away with a 6-5 win. Given that the Padres are predicted to win and have a higher payout than the Mets, we recommend taking the Padres on the money line.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Martin Perez finishing with five strikeouts compared to Jose Quintana with just three. Perez is also projected to give up fewer hits than Quintana, and you could look to take the Padres with a run line if you wanted to get more value.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.