The New York Mets (61-56) travel to face off against the Seattle Mariners (62-56) on Sunday, August 11th. This game will be played at T-Mobile Park in Seattle and televised on ESPN. The Mariners are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Mets are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Mariners. First pitch is set for 6:10 CT.
Mets vs. Mariners Betting Prediction
- Money Line Prediction: Mets (+111)
- Over/Under Prediction: Over 7.5 Runs
- The Mets have scored 5 or more runs in 7 of their last 15 games.
- The Mets have won 4 of their last 6 road games.
- The Mets have a higher away win percentage (.534) compared to the Mariners’ home win percentage (.581).
- The Mets have won 3 of their last 4 games against teams with a winning record.
- The Mets have a 4-2 record in their last 6 games against AL West opponents.
Mets vs Mariners
Seattle cruised to a 4-0 win over the Mets in the most recent game of this series. The Mariners had a huge 1st inning, scoring three of their four runs. As for the Mets, they had their best chance to score in the 7th, but could only muster one run.
Logan Gilbert pitched well for the Mariners in this one, going seven innings and striking out six without giving up a run. He picked up a win in the game, while Sean Manaea struggled on the mound for the Mets, taking the loss.
At the plate, Francisco Lindor was the only Mets hitter to have more than one hit. He went 2/4 with a double. Justin Turner and Randy Arozarena each had two hits and two RBIs for the Mariners.
On the road, the Mets have a 31-27 run line record, with a +0.4 run differential per game. As underdogs, they are 28-20 against the run line. The Mets have an over/under record of 11-13 in games with a total of 7.5 runs, and their season over/under record is 58-55.
New York is currently 3rd in the NL East, 8 games behind the Phillies, and they have a 61-56 overall record. The Mets have won two straight series and have a 19-14-7 series record for the season. Heading into today’s game, their under streak is at 7 games.
Luis Severino Gets The Start For The Mets
New York is sending Luis Severino to the mound today, and he comes in with a record of 7-5 and an ERA of 4.06. So far, he has made 22 starts, and opponents are batting .231 this season. In his 22 appearances, Severino has turned in nine quality starts and is averaging 7.06 strikeouts per nine innings. The right-hander most recently faced the Rockies, where he gave up four earned runs in five innings of work. He took the loss in that outing. Before that, he had given up at least two homers in three straight starts.
Mets Offense Breakdown
Francisco Lindor has been the Mets’ top run producer this season, as his 67 RBIs are the best mark on the team. He is also 2nd on the team with 22 home runs and comes into the game with a five-game hitting streak. Over his last seven games, he has gone 9/30. Pete Alonso has also been a big power threat for the Mets, as his 25 homers are the best mark on the team and 3rd in the league. However, he is batting just .242 for the season and has gone 6/26 in his last seven games.
Overall, the Mets are 6th in home runs and are averaging 4.8 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.1 runs per contest. As a team, the Mets are batting .249 and are among the league leaders in on-base percentage, slugging percentage, and OPS.
Seattle is tied with the Astros for the AL West division lead, and they have won three straight games coming into today’s matchup. This season, the Mariners are 19-13 in divisional games and 36-26 at home.
When favored, the Mariners have a 43-35 straight-up record, but they are 31-47 vs. the run line in those games. Their games have averaged 8 runs per game this season, and the under has hit in 13 of 22 games with a total of 7.5 runs.
Luis Castillo Gets The Start For The Mariners
Seattle is starting right-hander Luis Castillo today vs. the Mets, and he comes into the game with a record of 9-11 and an ERA of 3.48. So far this year, he has made 24 starts, and opponents are batting .234 off him. Castillo has turned in 16 quality starts and is averaging 8.79 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, he took the loss, giving up three earned runs in six innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts.
Mariners Offense Breakdown
For the season, the Mariners are averaging just 3.9 runs per game, which is 28th in the league. They have been even worse at home, averaging only 3.5 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting just .217, which is the worst mark in the league. The Mariners are also the worst team in the league in terms of striking out, averaging 10 per game.
Cal Raleigh has been the team’s most productive hitter this season, leading the team with 71 RBIs and 24 home runs. Julio Rodriguez is batting .263 for the season and has gone deep 11 times. Randy Arozarena has 16 homers but is batting just .222 for the year. Arozarena has gone 7/24 in his last seven games, but he is currently on a seven-game homerless streak.
Mets vs Mariners Prediction
Our predicted score for this Mets vs. Mariners matchup is 5-4 in favor of the Mets. With the Mets’ money line sitting at +111, we see this as a great value pick and would recommend taking the Mets to win straight up.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Luis Severino is projected to finish with six strikeouts, which is good for eighth among starters. As for Luis Castillo, he is projected to finish with six strikeouts, and we have him finishing with the highest ERA among today’s starting pitchers.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:August 11, 2024 Mariners, Mets