New York Mets vs St. Louis Cardinals MLB Betting Prediction

MLB New York Mets vs St. Louis Cardinals Prediction 8/5/2024

The New York Mets (58-53) travel to face off against the St. Louis Cardinals (57-55) on Monday, August 5th. This game will be played at Busch Stadium in St. Louis and televised on SNY. Both the Mets and Cardinals are looking to bounce back from losses in their previous games. First pitch is set for 4:15 CT.

Mets vs. Cardinals Betting Prediction

  • Money Line Prediction: Cardinals (-101)
  • Over/Under Prediction: Over 9 Runs
  • The Cardinals have scored an average of 5.2 runs per game in their last 15 games.
  • The Cardinals have a home record of 5-3 in their last 8 home games.
  • The Cardinals have won 4 out of their last 5 games against teams with a winning record.
  • The Cardinals have a higher league rank (8th) compared to the Mets (7th) in their respective divisions.
  • The Cardinals have outscored their opponents by 20 runs in their last 15 games.

Mets vs Cardinals

new york mets nba

The Cardinals Took The Last Game Of This Series

The Mets will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Angels with a 3-2 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 9th inning before the Angels scored two runs in the bottom of the 9th. New York was the -152 favorite on the money line going into the game.

Jose Quintana had a good start for the Mets, going five innings and giving up just three hits and one earned run. However, the Mets couldnjson’t close things out, and Jose Quintana took the loss. New York’s offense scored their only two runs in the 2nd inning.

As the road team, the Mets have a 28-24 run line record this season, with an average run margin of 0.4. Overall, their run line record is 53-58. The Mets’ over/under record is 58-49, with their games averaging 8 runs per game this season.

New York is currently 3rd in the NL East with a 58-53 record, trailing the Phillies by eight games. They have a 20-16 record in divisional games this season. The Mets have dropped two straight games on the road and are 28-24 away from home. Straight up, they are 36-30 as the favorite and 13-12 as the road favorite.

Sean Manaea Gets The Start For The Mets

Sean Manaea gets the start for the Mets today as he faces the Cardinals on the road. He has made 21 starts this season and has a record of 7-4 with a 3.50 ERA. Manaea’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.20, and opponents are batting .211 off the left-hander this year. In his last outing, Manaea was dominant, going seven innings and not giving up a run. He finished with 11 strikeouts in that outing. Before that, he had given up at least one homer in three straight starts. This season, Manaea has allowed a total of 12 homers.

Mets Offense Breakdown

Heading into today’s game, the Mets are 8th in the league in scoring at 4.8 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.2 runs per contest. Overall, they are one of the league’s best home run-hitting teams, and they also have a collective batting average of .249, which is the 10th best mark in the league. As a team, they are also 8th in slugging percentage and 7th in OPS.

Francisco Lindor is currently on a four-game hitting streak and is batting .256 for the season with 22 homers and 64 RBIs. Pete Alonso leads the team with 23 homers but is batting just .241. Over his last eight games, J.D. Martinez is hitting .333 with two homers, and Alonso has also gone deep three times in this stretch.

The Cardinals Took The Last Game Of This Series

The Cardinals will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Cubs with a 6-2 loss. This was especially tough, as it was the Cubs who handed the Cardinals the loss. St. Louis was the +124 underdog on the road going into this matchup.

Miles Mikolas had a rough outing, giving up four earned runs on eight hits and issuing two walks. The Cardinals also wasted a big game from Masyn Winn, who homered in the 3rd inning, going 1/4.

St. Louis has a 57-55 record and is 5.5 games behind the Brewers in the NL Central. They’ve won two straight at home and have an 18-14-3 series record this season. The Cardinals are 37-19 vs. the run line as underdogs and 19-37 as favorites, with an overall run line record of 56-56.

For the season, Cardinals games have averaged 8.7 runs, and their over/under record is 55-54. When the O/U line is 9, their record is 8-8-1, and 77.7% of their games have had O/U lines lower than 9 runs.

Andre Pallante Gets The Start For The Cardinals

Cardinals starter Andre Pallante will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Rangers, as he took the loss in that start. Against the Rangers, he gave up three earned runs in five innings of work. Looking at his overall numbers, Pallante has made 10 starts, and his ERA for the season is 4.04. Opponents have a batting average of .241 vs. Pallante this season. Out of his 19 appearances, he has turned in three quality starts. Per nine innings, Pallante is averaging 7.07 strikeouts and 3.32 walks.

Cardinals Offense Breakdown

st. louis cardinals

So far this season, the Cardinals are averaging 4.2 runs per game, which is 22nd in the league. Their batting average of .245 is 11th in the MLB, and they have been pretty good at avoiding strikeouts, as their team strikeout numbers are 12th in the league. St. Louis has been better at home this season, averaging 4.4 runs per game.

Both Alec Burleson and Nolan Gorman are among the league leaders in home runs, and Burleson’s 64 RBIs are the best mark on the team. Gorman is 3rd on the team in RBIs and is batting just .199 this season. Masyn Winn has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 11/45 in his last 10 games with four homers.

Mets vs Cardinals Prediction

With the Cardinals at -101 on the money line, we see this as a great value pick, as they are projected to pick up a 6-4 win over the Mets. Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Andre Pallante finishing with five strikeouts compared to Sean Manaea with just four.

Offensively, the Cardinals are projected to finish with nine hits compared to the Mets, who we have finishing with seven. If you’re looking for a parlay, you could look to pair the Cardinals with the under, as the line is currently sitting at nine runs.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.