The New York Mets (33-37) travel to face off against the Texas Rangers (33-38) on Monday, June 17th. This game will be played at Globe Life Field in Arlington and televised on SNY. The Mets are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Rangers are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Mariners. First pitch is set for 7:05 CT.
Mets vs Rangers
The Mets’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Padres, closing out their series with an 11-6 win. After allowing one run to the Padres in the top of the first, the Mets responded with four runs of their own. New York went on to add another three runs in the 4th inning.
Tylor Megill got the start for the Mets, going five innings and giving up just two runs on five hits. He only had five strikeouts in the outing and got the win.
With an overall record of 33-37, the Mets are 4th in the NL East, trailing the Phillies by 13.5 games. New York will be looking to pick up a win today as they are on a five-game winning streak, and they closed out their series vs. the Padres with three straight wins. So far, they are 11-10 in divisional matchups.
At home, the Mets are 18-23 this season, and they have gone 15-14 on the road. As the road underdog, the Mets are an even 10-10 this year, and they have won four straight on the road as the underdog. New York’s overall series record is 10-12-3, and they have won three straight series overall and two straight on the road.
The Mets have been a strong run line bet on the road this season, going 18-11 overall and covering in four straight games. They have been a better run line bet as the underdog, going 19-15, compared to 13-23 as the favorite. The Mets’ average run differential in winning games is +2.9, while it is -3.1 in losing games.
When the Mets are on the road this season, the over/under line has been set at 8.5 runs, and their games have averaged 9.2 runs per game. Overall, the Mets’ over/under record is 35-33, and when the line is set at 8.5 runs, they are 8-7. So far this season, 20.0% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 8.5 runs, while 58.6% have had lower lines.
David Peterson Gets The Start For The Mets
David Peterson and the Mets are on the road to take on the Rangers today. Peterson has started the year with a pair of wins, with his most recent outing being a 5-inning win over the Marlins. In that game, he struck out 8 batters and gave up just 2 hits. He also picked up a win against the Nationals, going 6 2/3 innings.
Mets Offense Breakdown
So far this season, the Mets are averaging 4.5 runs per game (12th) and have been even better on the road, where they are averaging 5.5 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .243, which is the 12th best mark in the league, and are 9th in home runs. New York’s offense has been pretty good at avoiding strikeouts, as they are 7th in the league in this category.
Starling Marte has been a good addition to the Mets’ lineup, as he is batting .281 and has gone deep seven times. Pete Alonso leads the team with 15 homers and 37 RBIs, but is batting just .232 for the season. However, he has been hot of late, going 9/18 with three homers over his last five games. J.D. Martinez is also on a five-game hitting streak, going 9/18 in that stretch.
The Rangers will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Mariners with a 5-0 loss. Texas was the +124 underdog on the road going into this matchup. Things started off well for the Rangers, as Dane Dunning didn’t give up a run in the first two innings but ran into trouble in the 3rd and took the loss. He only lasted 4 2/3 innings, giving up two earned runs, and took the loss.
Offensively, the Rangers only had two fewer hits than the Mariners but didn’t score a run. Both of their hits were singles and came in the 2nd inning. Texas also wasted a big game from Adolis Garcia, who went 2-4 with a run scored.
Texas will host the Mets today with an overall record of 33-38, which has them 2nd in the AL West. They are 8.5 games behind the Mariners for the division lead. The Rangers lost all three games of their most recent series vs. the Mariners.
At home, the Rangers are 16-17 this season and 17-21 on the road. As the favorite, Texas has gone 20-18 and 13-20 as the underdog. The Rangers’ overall series record is 10-12-1, and they have dropped two straight series at home.
When the Rangers win, they win big, with an average run margin of 4.0 runs. But when they lose, they lose big, with an average run margin of -3.6 runs. As a result, their run line record is just 31-40, with a run line record of 14-19 at home and 17-21 on the road. They are 14-24 against the run line as the favorite and 17-16 as the underdog.
The Texas Rangers are playing at home against the New York Mets today, and the over/under line for the game is set at 8.5 runs. The Rangers have had an over/under record of 26-43 this season, and their games have had an average combined run total of 8.5 runs. When the over/under line has been set at 8.5 runs, the Rangers have gone 8-16 in those games. So far this season, 38.0% of their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs.
Jon Gray Gets The Start For The Rangers
Texas is sending Jon Gray to the mound today vs. the Mets, and he has made 11 starts this year. Gray’s ERA is 2.17, and his record for the season is 2-2. In his 13 appearances, he has turned in five quality starts. Gray’s most recent outing came vs. the Dodgers, where he went three innings, giving up one earned run, and finished with a no-decision. Before that, he had gone 2 1/3 innings out of the bullpen vs. the Giants. Gray has given up at least one homer in three straight outings.
Rangers Offense Breakdown
For the season, the Rangers are averaging 4.2 runs per game, which is 18th in the league. However, they have been a better offensive team on the road, averaging 4.5 runs per game. As a team, they are batting .238, which is 15th in the league, and are 17th in home runs. Texas has been good at avoiding strikeouts this season, as they are 6th in the league in fewest strikeouts.
Corey Seager and Adolis Garcia are the team’s top home run threats, but Seager has struggled of late, going just 1/15 in his last four games. Garcia and Marcus Semien are the team’s top run producers, with both players having 40 RBIs this season. Garcia is batting just .216 for the season, while Semien is hitting .261.
Mets vs Rangers Prediction
Our prediction for this game is that the Rangers will pick up a 5-4 win over the Mets, and with the money line sitting at -126, that is the way we would recommend playing this one.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Jon Gray is projected to finish with six strikeouts compared to David Peterson at six as well. However, Peterson is projected to go eight innings, while Gray will go just five.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:June 17, 2024 Mets, Rangers