The New York Mets (34-37) travel to face off against the Texas Rangers (33-39) on Tuesday, June 18th. This game will be played at Globe Life Field in Arlington and televised on SNY. The Mets are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Rangers are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Mets. First pitch is set for 7:05 CT.
Mets vs Rangers
Thanks to a six-run 2nd inning for the Mets’ offense, they cruised to a 14-2 win over the Rangers in the most recent game of this series. Heading into the game, the Mets were at +116 on the money line.
New York got to Rangers starter Jon Gray, who gave up nine earned runs in just three innings of work and took the loss. As for the Mets, David Peterson put together a good outing, getting the win after going six innings and giving up two earned runs.
Francisco Lindor, Pete Alonso, and Francisco Alvarez each homered for the Mets. Lindor went 4/4 with three RBIs and two runs scored.
The Mets have won six straight games, and they are 34-37 overall this season. In the NL East, they are 13.5 games behind the Phillies for the division lead. So far, they are 11-10 in divisional games. New York won the first game of their series vs. the Rangers.
At home, the Mets are 18-23 this season, and they are 16-14 on the road. New York has won five straight road games, and they are 5-4 as the road favorite this year. The Mets have an overall series record of 10-12-3 and have won three straight series overall.
The Mets have been a profitable team to bet on against the run line on the road this season, as they are 19-11. They have covered the run line in five straight road games and have a run line record of 33-38 overall. The Mets have an average run margin of -0.1 runs per game this season.
The Mets are on the road against the Texas Rangers today, with the over/under line set at 8 runs. New York’s games have averaged 9.3 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 36-33. Their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs, and when the line has been set at 8 runs, their record is 7-4. The over has hit in 40.8% of their games this season, and they are currently on a two-game over streak.
Luis Severino Gets The Start For The Mets
Luis Severino gets the start for the Mets today as he faces the Rangers on the road. So far this season, he has made 13 starts and has a record of 4-2 with an ERA of 3.12. Opponents have a batting average of .211 this season off Severino, and he has turned in six quality starts. In his last outing, Severino finished with a no-decision, going six innings and giving up one earned run on seven hits. Before that, he had won two straight starts. The right-hander has been much better at home this season, coming in with an ERA of 2.68 compared to 4.28 on the road.
Mets Offense Breakdown
At 4.6 runs per game, the Mets have the 11th ranked scoring offense in the league. They have been even better on the road this season, leading the league at 5.8 runs per contest. As a team, the Mets are batting .247, which is the 9th best mark in the league, and are also 8th in home runs. Currently, their team batting average, on-base percentage, and slugging percentage are all right around the league average.
Over his last seven games, J.D. Martinez has gone 10/24 with three homers and nine RBIs. This has pushed his season average up to .242. Martinez is also on a six-game hitting streak. Pete Alonso and Brandon Nimmo are the Mets’ top two home run hitters, and they are also tied for the team lead in RBIs.
Texas is 33-39 overall this season, and they are looking to snap a four-game losing streak today vs. the Mets. The Rangers dropped the first game of this series vs. the Mets and are nine games behind the Mariners and Astros for the AL West lead. So far, they are 9-14 in divisional games.
As the underdog, the Rangers are just 13-20 this season, including having lost three straight as the underdog. They are 20-19 when favored and have gone 16-18 at home. On the road, the Rangers are 17-21 this season. Looking at their overall series record, the Rangers are 10-12-1 and have dropped two straight series at home.
The Rangers have been a run line team this season, going 31-41 overall. They have been particularly bad at covering the run line at home, going 14-20. Their average run margin is -0.2, but they have been outscored by 0.7 runs per game on the road. They have covered the run line in 17 of 38 games as the underdog.
Today’s over/under line of 8 runs for the Texas Rangers’ game against the New York Mets is right in line with the teams’ combined run average of 8.6 runs per game. The Rangers have played to the over in 27 of their 43 games this season, and their games have had an average over/under line of 9 runs. When the line has been set at 8 runs, they have gone over the total in 3 games, under in 6, and pushed in 1. Overall, 70.8% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 8 runs.
Michael Lorenzen Gets The Start For The Rangers
Michael Lorenzen gets the start for the Rangers today and will be looking to build off his last outing, where he gave up just one earned run in seven innings of work. In that outing, he only gave up two hits and issued four walks. Looking back further, Lorenzen has made seven straight quality starts and has a record of 4-3 with a 2.86 ERA for the season. Opponents are batting .211 off the right-hander this year. Lorenzen’s ERA on the road is 2.54 compared to 3.62 at home.
Rangers Offense Breakdown
Corey Seager comes into the game as the Rangers’ leader in home runs, but he has struggled of late, going just 2/17 in his last five games. Adolis Garcia and Marcus Semien are also near the top of the league in home runs, but Garcia is batting just .213 for the season, and Semien is hitting .259. Garcia and Semien are also Texas’ co-leaders in RBIs.
Robbie Grossman has been swinging a hot bat for the Rangers, going 5/12 in his last three games. This has helped him put together a three-game hitting streak. Over his last eight games, Wyatt Langford is batting .286, and he has six RBIs during that stretch.
Mets vs Rangers Prediction
Our prediction for today’s Mets vs. Rangers matchup is to take the Rangers on the money line at -108. We actually have the Rangers winning this one 5-4, and with the payout being close to even, there is some good value on a Rangers win.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Michael Lorenzen finishing with four strikeouts, which would have him finishing with a lower strikeout total than Luis Severino. However, we have Severino finishing with six K’s.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:June 18, 2024 Mets, Rangers