The New York Yankees (49-22) travel to face off against the Boston Red Sox (35-34) on Friday, June 14th. This game will be played at Fenway Park in Boston and televised on NESN. The Red Sox are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Yankees are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Royals. First pitch is set for 5:30 CT.
Yankees vs Red Sox
The Yankees will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Royals with a 4-3 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 8th inning before the Royals scored three runs in the bottom of the 8th. New York was the -163 favorite on the money line going into the game.
Nestor Cortes was excellent for the Yankees, going seven innings and giving up just two earned runs, and striking out two. However, the Yankees couldnjson’t close things out, and Clay Holmes took the loss out of the bullpen. The Yankees also wasted a big game from Anthony Rizzo, who homered in the 2nd inning, going 1/3.
The Yankees come into today’s game vs. the Red Sox with an overall record of 49-22, and they lead the AL East by 2.5 games over the Orioles. This season, they have gone just 8-8 in divisional games. The Yankees are starting this series on the road, and they are 27-12 on the road compared to 22-10 at home.
As the favorite, the Yankees have gone 37-17 this year, and they are 16-8 as the favorite on the road. New York has been good as the underdog, putting together a mark of 12-5 this year. The Yankees have been really good overall in series, going 17-3-2, and they have won six straight series on the road.
When the Yankees are on the road, they have been a solid play on the run line at 25-14. Their average run margin in road games is 2.0 runs per game. They have been a better run line bet as the underdog, going 14-3, compared to 29-25 as the favorite. Their average run margin in winning games is 3.8 runs per game.
Today’s over/under line for the New York Yankees’ game against the Boston Red Sox is set at 9.5 runs. The Yankees have played in 69 games this season, and only four of them have had an over/under line of 9.5 runs or higher. Their games have averaged 8.3 runs per game, and their over/under record for the season is 33-36.
Luis Gil Gets The Start For The Yankees
New York is sending Luis Gil to the mound today, and he comes in with a record of 8-1 and an ERA of 2.04. So far, he has made 13 starts, seven of which were quality starts. Per nine innings, Gil is averaging 10.8 strikeouts, and his total for the season is 90. The right-hander has been especially tough at home, going 5-0 with a 1.7 ERA. On the road, his record is 3-1 with a 2.91 ERA. Gil’s last outing came at home, where he finished with a no-decision, giving up three earned runs in 5 2/3 innings of work.
Yankees Offense Breakdown
So far this season, the Yankees are averaging 5.1 runs per game, which is 3rd in the majors. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.3 runs per contest. As a team, they are 2nd in home runs and have the 2nd best team on-base percentage in the league. Overall, they are batting .254 (4th) and have the 2nd best slugging percentage in the league.
Right now, Aaron Judge and Juan Soto are the league’s top two home run hitters, and both are hitting over .300. Judge has gone 4/27 with four homers over his last seven games, and Gleyber Torres is currently on a six-game hitting streak.
The Red Sox’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Phillies, closing out their series with a 9-3 win. After allowing three runs to the Phillies in the top of the 4th, the Red Sox responded with four runs of their own. Boston went on to add another four runs in the 2nd inning.
Tanner Houck put together a good start for the Red Sox, going six innings and giving up just three runs on eight hits. He only had three strikeouts in the outing and got the win.
Boston is 35-34 overall and trails the Yankees by 13 games in the AL East. The Red Sox will host the Yankees today with an overall record of 5-8 in AL East matchups. They have won two straight games, closing out their series vs. the Phillies with two consecutive wins.
At home, the Red Sox are 16-19 this year and 19-15 on the road. So far, they have gone 19-14 as the favorite compared to 16-20 as the underdog. Boston’s overall series record is 9-9-4 this season.
Despite a losing run line record at home, the Red Sox have been a profitable run line bet on the road this season. They have covered the run line in 20 of their 34 road games, including their last two as the underdog. Boston’s average run margin in its wins is +4.5, while it drops to -3.6 in losses.
When the Red Sox play at Fenway Park, games have averaged 8.6 runs per game. The over/under record for the Red Sox is 30-34, and their games have averaged 8 runs per game. When the over/under line is set at 9.5 runs, the Red Sox have gone 1-4. The over has hit in two straight games for Boston.
Brayan Bello Gets The Start For The Red Sox
Brayan Bello will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the White Sox, as he gets the start for the Red Sox today. Against the White Sox, he gave up five earned runs in 4 2/3 innings of work. In that outing, he gave up three home runs. Bello’s record for the season is 6-3, and he has an ERA of 4.78. Looking at his home/away splits, Bello has a record of 4-2 on the road with an ERA of 5.71. At home, his record is 2-1, and his ERA is 3.59.
Red Sox Offense Breakdown
Heading into today’s game, the Red Sox are 9th in the league in scoring at 4.6 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 4.9 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .250, which is the 6th best mark in the league. One of the reasons they have been a good offensive team this season is that they are one of the best teams in the league at avoiding strikeouts.
Rafael Devers is the Red Sox’s top power threat this season, as his 13 homers are the best on the team and 8th in the league. He is also 2nd on the team with 32 RBIs and has a batting average of .286. Over his last nine games, Devers has gone 11/33 with three homers. Jarren Duran has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 15/42 in his last 10 games and has a four-game hitting streak.
Yankees vs Red Sox Prediction
Our pick for this Yankees vs. Red Sox game is to go with the Red Sox on the money line, where they are offering a payout of +142. With the Red Sox predicted to win this one 6-5, there is some value in taking them on the money line.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Brayan Bello is actually projected to finish with more strikeouts than Luis Gil. Bello is predicted to finish with eight K’s, while Gil is projected to finish with six.
Offensively, the Yankees are predicted to finish with more runs than the Red Sox, but the Red Sox are predicted to finish with more hits.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:June 14, 2024 Red Sox, Yankees