The New York Yankees (50-22) travel to face off against the Boston Red Sox (35-35) on Saturday, June 15th. This game will be played at Fenway Park in Boston and televised on FOX. The Yankees are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Red Sox are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Yankees. First pitch is set for 6:15 CT.
Yankees vs Red Sox
New York cruised to an easy 8-1 win over the Red Sox in the most recent game of this series. The Yankees had a huge 1st inning, scoring two of their eight runs. As for the Red Sox, they scored their only run in the 4th. Heading into the game, the Yankees were favored at -151 on the money line.
Luis Gil got the win for the Yankees, going five innings and giving up just one run. He finished the game with six strikeouts but issued four walks. Brayan Bello had a rough outing for the Red Sox, taking the loss after going just 4 2/3 innings and giving up four earned runs.
Alex Verdugo was the only Yankees hitter to have more than one hit, as he went 3/5 with a home run. Jose Trevino also had a two-hit game for New York. As for the Red Sox, Xander Bogaerts went 2/4.
The Yankees are 50-22 overall this season, and they lead the AL East by 3.5 games over the Orioles. So far, they have gone just 9-8 in divisional games. New York is on the road today, and they are 28-12 on the road compared to 22-10 at home.
As the favorite, the Yankees have gone 38-17 this year, and they are 12-5 as the underdog. New York has been really good on the road as the favorite, putting together a mark of 17-8. The Yankees have an overall series record of 17-3-2, and they have won six straight series on the road.
When the Yankees win, they win big, with an average run differential of 3.8 runs per game. They’ve also been profitable on the run line in those games, going 44-28 overall and 26-14 on the road. They’ve been especially good against the run line as the underdog, going 14-3. Their average run differential on the road is 2.2 runs per game, compared to 1.5 runs per game at home.
The Yankees have played to an over/under record of 33-37 this season, with the average line set at 8 runs. When the line has been set at 9 runs, the Yankees have gone 0-6-2, and their games have averaged 8.3 runs per game. Their current under streak is at 2 games.
Carlos Rodón Gets The Start For The Yankees
Carlos Rodón gets the start for the Yankees today as he faces the Red Sox on the road. He has made 14 starts this season and has a record of 9-2 with a 2.92 ERA. Rodón has been pitching well recently, as he has won his last four starts. In his most recent outing, he went seven innings, giving up just one earned run and picking up the win. Rodón has been especially tough on the road, coming in with a record of 5-2 and an ERA of 3.83. At home, his ERA is 2.37.
Yankees Offense Breakdown
As a team, the Yankees are averaging 5.1 runs per game, which is the best mark in the league. They are also one of the top home run-hitting teams in the league and have a team batting average of .255, which is 4th in the MLB. New York’s offense has been even better on the road this season, averaging 5.4 runs per game.
Heading into the game, Aaron Judge and Juan Soto are the top two home run hitters in the league, with Judge leading the league with 63 RBIs. Soto is also near the top of the league in RBIs, as his 54 is the 4th best mark in the league. Soto is hitting .319 for the season, and Judge is right behind him at .301. Judge has been hot of late, going 11/31 in his last eight games with four homers.
Boston is at an even 35-35 overall and trails the Yankees by 14 games in the AL East. So far, they are just 5-9 in AL East games. The Red Sox are looking to bounce back today, as they lost the series opener vs. the Yankees. Currently, they are 5-8 as the home underdog this year.
At home, the Red Sox are 16-20 this year and 19-15 on the road. As the favorite, Boston has gone 19-14 and 16-21 as the underdog. Heading into today’s game, they are 9-9-4 in series this year. Over their last ten games, the Red Sox are 5-5.
When betting the run line, the Red Sox have been a better bet on the road this season, going 20-14 compared to 12-24 at home. They’ve been a favorite in 33 games and an underdog in 37, and they’ve been a better bet as an underdog, going 20-17. Their average run differential is +0.4 runs per game, and they have a +1.3 run differential on the road compared to -0.4 at home.
When the Red Sox play at home, the over/under line is set at 9 runs. Boston’s games have averaged 8.6 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 30-35. The average over/under line for Red Sox games this season is 8 runs, and when the line is set at 9 runs, their over/under record is 4-1-2. Only 12.9% of their games have had over/under lines set at 9 runs or higher.
Cooper Criswell Gets The Start For The Red Sox
Through 10 starts, Cooper Criswell has a record of 3-3 and an ERA of 4.12 for the Red Sox. His WHIP for the season is currently 1.21. In his 10 starts, Criswell has given up a total of six home runs. Looking back at his last outing, Criswell took the loss, going 4 1/3 innings and giving up three earned runs on five hits. Before that, he had won two straight starts. Criswell’s ERA at home is 3.52, compared to 5.49 on the road.
Red Sox Offense Breakdown
Over the past seven games, David Hamilton has gone 9/30 for the Red Sox, including two home runs and four RBIs. As a team, the Red Sox are 10th in scoring, averaging 4.5 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 4.9 runs per contest.
Heading into today’s game, the Red Sox have a few hitters on some nice streaks, with Connor Wong leading the way on a seven-game hitting streak. Jarren Duran is also swinging a hot bat, as he has a five-game hitting streak. Duran is batting .273 for the season and has gone deep five times. Rafael Devers is the team’s home run leader with 13 and is hitting .284 overall.
Yankees vs Red Sox Prediction
With the Red Sox paying out at +145 on the money line, we see this as a great value pick for today’s game. Our predicted final score is 6-5 in favor of the Red Sox, making the money line a much better payout compared to the over/under line, which is sitting at 9 runs.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we do have Carlos Rodón finishing with more strikeouts than Cooper Criswell, but Criswell is projected to have a better ERA. However, with the payout on a Yankees win at -171, we would recommend looking at some Yankees player props. For example, they are projected to finish with the third most home runs on the day.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:June 15, 2024 Red Sox, Yankees