The New York Yankees (60-44) travel to face off against the Boston Red Sox (54-47) on Friday, July 26th. This game will be played at Fenway Park in Boston and televised on NESN. Both the Yankees and Red Sox are looking to bounce back from losses in their previous games. First pitch is set for 6:10 CT.

Yankees vs. Red Sox Betting Prediction

• Money Line Prediction: Red Sox (+107)
• Over/Under Prediction: Over 9.5 Runs

• The Red Sox have scored an average of 5.6 runs per game in their last 15 games, compared to the Yankees’ 3.4 runs per game in the same period.
• In their last 15 home games, the Red Sox have a winning record of 8-7, while the Yankees have a losing record of 6-9 in their last 15 away games.
• The Red Sox have won 4 out of their last 5 head-to-head games against the Yankees, including a recent home series where they won 2 out of 3 games.
• The Red Sox have a higher batting average of .275 in the last 15 games compared to the Yankees’ .230.
• The Red Sox have hit 20 home runs in their last 15 games, while the Yankees have only hit 12 home runs in the same period.

Yankees vs Red Sox

The Red Sox Took The Last Game Of This Series

The Yankees will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Mets with a 12-3 loss. New York was actually the heavy favorite at -171 at home but fell behind big early, as the Mets scored six times in the 4th.

Offensively, the Yankees only had three fewer hits than the Mets but scored just three runs. All of their runs came in the 1st and 3rd innings. Gleyber Torres had a big game, going 2/5 with a homer and two RBIs. However, the rest of the Yankees lineup really struggled, and Gerrit Cole took the loss, going 5 2/3 innings and giving up six earned runs on eight hits.

On the run line, the Yankees have a 54-50 record this season, with a 31-23 mark on the road and 23-27 at home. As underdogs, they are 16-4 on the run line, but as favorites, they are 38-46. Their average run margin in wins is 4.1, while it’s -3.4 in losses.

Overall, the Yankees are 60-44 and trail the Orioles by two games in the AL East. They have lost the first two games of their series against the Mets and have a 4-6 record in their last 10 games. The over/under record for their games this season is 54-46, with an average of 8.9 runs per game.

Nestor Cortes Gets The Start For The Yankees

New York is sending left-hander Nestor Cortes to the mound today vs. the Red Sox. He has made 21 starts this year and has a record of 4-9 with a 3.99 ERA. Cortes’ WHIP for the season is currently 1.16. In his 21 appearances, he has turned in nine quality starts and is averaging 8.35 strikeouts per nine innings. Looking back at his last outing, Cortes took the loss vs. the Rays, giving up six earned runs in 4 1/3 innings of work. He has lost each of his last three starts.

Yankees Offense Breakdown

Heading into today’s game, the Yankees are 2nd in the league in home runs and are averaging 4.9 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.2 runs per contest. New York is also the top walking team in the league and have the 3rd best on-base percentage in the league. One thing to keep an eye on is their batting average on balls in play, as they are just 15th in the league in this category.

Juan Soto has been on fire for the Yankees, going 13/25 in his last six games with three homers. For the season, he is batting .311 with 26 homers and 72 RBIs. Aaron Judge is also having a big season, as he is leading the league with 35 homers and is batting .307.

The Red Sox Took The Last Game Of This Series

Boston closed out their series vs. the Rockies with a 20-7 loss. Heading into the game, the Red Sox were the slight favorite at -145 on the money line. Things really got away from the Red Sox in the 3rd inning, as the Rockies scored 10 runs in the inning. Boston’s offense scored their only seven runs in the 2nd.

Nick Pivetta got the start for the Red Sox and took the loss. He only lasted 2 2/3 innings, giving up seven earned runs. Offensively, the Red Sox had 11 hits but only scored seven runs. Jarren Duran and Rafael Devers each had three hits and scored a run. Duran also had three RBIs and a homer.

Overall, the Red Sox are 54-47 and trail the Yankees by 2 games in the AL East. They have a 15-12-5 series record and are 47-54 on the run line. As underdogs, they are 28-21, but as favorites, they are 19-33.

At home, the Red Sox are 24-25, and their games have averaged 9.2 runs, resulting in a 48-47 over/under record for the season. In games with a 9.5 run total, the over is 5-7. The Red Sox have a run margin of +0.3 runs per game this season.

Brayan Bello Gets The Start For The Red Sox

Red Sox starter Brayan Bello finished with a no-decision in his last outing, going six innings and giving up three earned runs vs. the Dodgers. He allowed one homer in that outing. Before that, he had picked up the win in three straight starts. Bello’s record for the season is 10-5, and he has an ERA of 5.27. Opposing batters are hitting .267 off the right-hander this season. Bello’s WHIP for the season is 1.44. Out of his 18 starts, he has turned in six quality starts and is averaging 8.66 strikeouts per nine innings.

Red Sox Offense Breakdown

Heading into today’s game, the Red Sox are 3rd in team batting average at .257 and are averaging 4.8 runs per game, which is 9th in the league. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.1 runs per contest. Boston is also one of the league’s top home run-hitting teams, as their 121 homers is 7th in the MLB.

Jarren Duran and Tyler O’Neill have been two of the Red Sox’s hottest hitters of late. Duran has gone 17/39 in his last nine games, including three homers, and has driven in 10 runs during that stretch. O’Neill has four homers in his last seven games while batting .355.

Yankees vs Red Sox Prediction

With the Red Sox getting +107 on the money line, that is the way we recommend playing this one. We have the Red Sox winning this game 6-5 and with the Red Sox getting the win, there is no need to play the over or under.

Looking at the starting pitchers, Brayan Bello is projected to go six innings, and we have him finishing with five strikeouts. As for Nestor Cortes, he is projected to finish with six strikeouts.

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All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

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* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.