The New York Yankees (61-45) travel to face off against the Boston Red Sox (55-48) on Sunday, July 28th. This game will be played at Fenway Park in Boston and televised on ESPN. The Yankees are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Red Sox are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Yankees. First pitch is set for 6:10 CT.
Yankees vs. Red Sox Betting Prediction
- Money Line Prediction: Red Sox (-110)
- Over/Under Prediction: Over 9.5 Runs
- In the last 15 games, the Red Sox have scored 5 or more runs in 10 games, showing strong offensive performance.
- The Red Sox have won 4 out of their last 5 home games, indicating a strong home-field advantage.
- In their last 3 home games against the Yankees, the Red Sox have won 2, scoring an average of 8.67 runs per game.
- The Red Sox have a higher average runs scored per game (6.2) in their last 5 home games compared to the Yankees’ average runs scored per game (5.0) in their last 5 away games.
- The Red Sox have a 4-2 record against the Yankees in their last 6 head-to-head matchups, demonstrating recent success against their opponent.
Yankees vs Red Sox
The most recent game o of this Yankees vs Red Sox series came right down to the end, as the Yankees rallied late for a 11-8 win. Heading into the game, the Yankees were at -101 on the money line.
New York got to Red Sox starter Kutter Crawford, who gave up five earned runs in just 4 2/3 innings of work and took the loss. As for the Yankees, Marcus Stroman only went 3 1/3 innings but gave up just three hits and didn’t give up a run.
Aaron Judge and Juan Soto each homered for the Yankees, while Tyler O’Neill hit two homers and went 3/4 at the plate for Boston.
Heading into today’s game, the Yankees are 61-45 overall and trail the Orioles by one game in the AL East. They have an 18-10-4 series record and are currently tied in their series vs. the Red Sox. The over has hit in three straight games for the Yankees, and their over/under record for the season is 56-46.
On the run line, the Yankees have a 32-24 record on the road and are 17-4 as underdogs. Their straight-up record as underdogs is 15-6. For the season, they are 46-39 in games where they were favored. The over/under line for today’s game is 9.5 runs, and their O/U record in games with that total is 7-3.
Carlos Rodón Gets The Start For The Yankees
Carlos Rodón gets the start for the Yankees today as he faces the Red Sox on the road. He has made 21 starts this season and has a record of 10-7 with an ERA of 4.42. In his 21 appearances, Rodón has a batting average allowed of .236 and has turned in 11 quality starts. Looking back at his last outing, Rodón picked up the win, going seven innings and giving up just one earned run on two hits. Before that, he had given up at least two earned runs in three straight outings. Rodón’s ERA on the road is 5.49 compared to 4.42 at home.
Yankees Offense Breakdown
Not only are the Yankees the best home run hitting team in the league, but they are also the best scoring team in the league, averaging 5 runs per game. This has been even better on the road, as they are averaging 5.4 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .249, which is 7th in the league, and have the 2nd best team on-base percentage in the league.
Aaron Judge and Juan Soto have been two of the league’s top hitters this season, with Judge leading the league with 95 RBIs and Soto not far behind with 74. Judge also has the league’s top home run total at 37, while Soto has 27 homers of his own. Soto has been especially hot of late, going 15/39 in his last nine games with four homers.
As the favorite, the Red Sox have a 31-22 record, but they are 24-26 as the underdog. Overall, Boston is 55-48 and has a 15-12-5 series record. They are currently 3rd in the AL East, 5.5 games behind the Orioles.
For the season, the Red Sox’s games have averaged 9.4 runs, and their over/under record is 50-47. On the run line, they are 29-23 on the road and 19-32 at home. Heading into today’s game, Boston has lost two straight series and has a 4-6 record in their last 10 games.
Tanner Houck Gets The Start For The Red Sox
Tanner Houck gets the start for the Red Sox today and comes in with a record of 8-6 and an ERA of 2.71. So far this season, he has made 20 starts, and opponents are batting .219 off the right-hander. Houck’s last outing came vs. the Rockies, where he finished with a no-decision, giving up four earned runs in six innings of work. Before that outing, he had gone 6 innings without giving up an earned run. Houck has one complete game shutout this season and 14 quality starts. Per nine innings, he is averaging 8.34 strikeouts and just 2.12 walks.
Red Sox Offense Breakdown
As a team, the Red Sox are averaging 4.8 runs per game (8th) and have been even better on the road, putting up 5.1 runs per contest. They are one of the top home run hitting teams in the league and also have the league’s best team BABIP. Overall, they are batting .258, which is the 2nd best mark in the MLB.
Jarren Duran and Tyler O’Neill have been two of the Red Sox’s hottest hitters of late, with Duran batting .345 over his last six games and O’Neill hitting .429 with four homers in his last five games. Duran is also on a 10-game hitting streak. For the season, O’Neill is 2nd on the team with 22 homers, while Rafael Devers is leading the Red Sox with 23 homers and 64 RBIs.
Yankees vs Red Sox Prediction
With the Red Sox at -110 to pick up a win at home, that is the direction we recommend going for today’s Yankees vs. Red Sox matchup. Our predicted final score is 6-5 in favor of the Red Sox, giving us some room to take them on the money line.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Carlos Rodón is projected to finish with seven strikeouts, which is fourth-best among starters today. As for Tanner Houck, he is projected to finish with five K’s, and his Red Sox are lineup to finish with a total of nine hits.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:July 28, 2024 Red Sox, Yankees