The New York Yankees (52-29) travel to face off against the New York Mets (38-39) on Wednesday, June 26th. This game will be played at Citi Field in New York and televised on AMZP. The Mets are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Yankees are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Mets. First pitch is set for 6:10 CT.
Yankees vs Mets
It was a high-scoring game in the most recent game of this Mets vs Yankees series. New York went into the matchup as +122 underdogs and came away with a 9-7 win. The Mets offense got off to a fast start, scoring four runs in the first and adding two more in the 2nd. As for the Yankees, they scored their first run in the 5th and added six more in the 8th.
Gerrit Cole got the start for the Yankees, going just four innings while giving up six runs and took the loss. David Peterson only went 4 1/3 innings for the Mets but gave up just one run and got the win.
At the plate, Aaron Judge hit the game’s only home run while going 2/3 with five RBIs, but it came in a losing effort. Mark Vientos did the most damage for the Mets, going 2/4 with two homers and two RBIs.
The Yankees are 52-29 overall this season, putting them 1st in the AL East. Currently, they lead the Orioles by two games for the top spot in the division. New York lost the final game of their series vs. the Red Sox and dropped the first game of this series vs. the Mets. So far, they have gone just 10-12 in divisional games.
At home, the Yankees are 24-14 this season, and they have gone 28-15 on the road. New York has dropped three straight games as the road favorite, and they are 17-11 overall in that role. They are 17-6-2 in series this year but have lost three straight series.
The Yankees have been a solid team to bet on the run line this season, going 46-35 overall. They’ve been especially good on the road, where they are 26-17 against the run line. They’ve been even better as the underdog, going 14-4 against the run line. Their average run margin in winning games is 3.8, while it drops to -3.1 in losses.
Today’s over/under line of 8.5 runs is just slightly above the combined run average of 8.7 runs per game when the Yankees play on the road. New York has a 19-14 over/under record when the line is set at 8.5 runs, and 23.5% of their games have had higher lines this season. Overall, the Yankees have a 40-39 over/under record, and the average line for their games is set at 8 runs.
Luis Gil Gets The Start For The Yankees
New York is sending right-hander Luis Gil to the mound today against the Mets. He has made 15 starts this year and has a record of 9-2 with an ERA of 2.77. Gil’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.08. In his 15 starts, he has turned in seven quality starts and is averaging 10.73 strikeouts per nine innings. Gil’s last outing was a rough one, as he took the loss and gave up seven earned runs in 1 1/3 innings of work. Before that, he had won three straight starts.
Yankees Offense Breakdown
Not only do the Yankees lead the league in walks, but they are also the top home run hitting team in the league. As a team, they are averaging 5 runs per game and are batting .250, which is 9th in the league. One thing to watch is their collective batting average on balls in play, as they are just 14th in the league in this category. New York is also near the top of the league in on-base percentage, slugging, and OPS.
Right now, the Yankees have a few hitters on some impressive streaks, with Giancarlo Stanton and Anthony Volpe both having hit safely in eight and 10 straight games, respectively. Aaron Judge and Juan Soto are both on three-game hitting streaks. Judge comes into the game with a league-leading 29 home runs, and he has gone 6/18 with three homers over his last five games. Soto is 2nd on the team with 19 homers and is batting .305 for the season.
The Mets are 38-39 overall and trail the Phillies by 13 games in the NL East. New York has gone 11-10 in divisional games this year. The Mets have won two straight games and are 8-2 across their last 10 games, which is the best mark in the NL East over that span.
At home, the Mets are 19-23 this year, and they are 19-16 on the road. As the home underdog, the Mets have gone 5-10 this season, and they are 18-20 as the underdog overall. New York has won five straight series and has an overall series record of 12-12-3 this year.
The Mets are 36-41 against the run line this season, including a 15-27 mark at home. Their average run differential is 0.0, and they have a run line record of 21-14 on the road. The Mets have covered the run line in three straight games and are 23-15 as underdogs this season.
When the New York Mets play at home, the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs. Their games have averaged 9.4 runs per game, and their over/under record for the season is 39-36. When the line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 10-9. Overall, 55.8% of their games have had lower over/under lines than 8.5 runs.
Sean Manaea Gets The Start For The Mets
Sean Manaea will be looking to bounce back from his last outing, where he finished with a no-decision. Against the Rangers, he gave up three earned runs in 5 2/3 innings of work. Looking back over his last four outings, Manaea has finished with a no-decision in three of them. His ERA for the season is 4.16, along with a record of 4-3. Opposing batters are hitting .229 off the left-hander this season. Manaea has made 14 appearances this year and has three quality starts. Per nine innings, he is averaging 9.21 strikeouts and 3.66 walks.
Mets Offense Breakdown
Brandon Nimmo has been on a tear of late for the Mets, going 7/24 with four homers over his last six games. For the season, he is batting .245 with 12 homers, which is 3rd on the team and 13th in the league. Nimmo’s 46 RBIs are the best mark on the team and 13th in the MLB. Pete Alonso leads the Mets with 16 homers and is 2nd on the team with 43 RBIs. He is batting just .240 for the season.
As a team, the Mets are 8th in the league in scoring at 4.7 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.7 runs per contest. Overall, the Mets are 5th in the league in homers and have the 10th best team batting average in the league. New York also comes into the game with a good team on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
Yankees vs Mets Prediction
With the Mets at +128 on the money line, that is the route we recommend going for this Yankees vs. Mets matchup. Our predicted final score is 6-5 in favor of the Mets, giving us a good amount of value with the Mets on the money line.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Luis Gil finishing with six strikeouts, which is the third-best among starters today. As for Sean Manaea, we have him finishing with six strikeouts, which is ninth among starters.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
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Last updated:June 26, 2024 Mets, Yankees