New York Yankees vs Tampa Bay Rays MLB Betting Prediction

MLB New York Yankees vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction 7/9/2024

The New York Yankees (55-37) travel to face off against the Tampa Bay Rays (44-46) on Tuesday, July 9th. This game will be played at Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg and televised on YES. Both the Yankees and Rays are looking to bounce back from losses in their previous games. First pitch is set for 5:50 CT.

Yankees vs. Rays Betting Prediction

  • Money Line Prediction: Yankees (-127)
  • Over/Under Prediction: Over 8 Runs
  • The Yankees have scored 8 or more runs in 4 of their last 15 games.
  • The Yankees have a better away record (30-18) compared to the Rays’ home record (23-25).
  • The Yankees have won 3 out of their last 4 away games.
  • The Yankees have a higher league rank (3rd) compared to the Rays (9th).
  • The Yankees have scored 10 runs in their last head-to-head away game against the Rays.

Yankees vs Rays

new york yankees nba

The Rays Took The Last Game Of This Series

Led by a big game by Luis Gil at the plate, the Yankees are coming off a 3-0 loss to the Red Sox. Gil went 4 for 4 with a run scored and three RBIs. The Yankees really wasted a good performance by Gil, as they couldnjson’t score a run. New York was the -129 favorite at home going into the game.

Luis Gil started for the Yankees, going 6 2/3 innings, and took the loss. He only gave up one run on four hits and struck out nine. The Yankees’ offense was shut out, and their only bright spot was Gil going 4 for 4.

As underdogs, the Yankees have a 14-4 run line record, but they are 12-6 straight up. Their average run total for games this season is 9.0 runs, and 65.2% of their games have had over/under lines above today’s total of 8 runs.

New York is 55-37 overall and 43-31 when favored. They are currently 2nd in the AL East, three games behind the Orioles, and have a 16-9-3 series record. The Yankees have struggled at home recently, losing two straight series and have a 25-19 home record compared to 30-18 on the road.

Carlos Rodón Gets The Start For The Yankees

New York is sending Carlos Rodón to the mound today vs. the Rays, and he comes in with a record of 9-6 and an ERA of 4.46. Out of his 18 starts, Rodón has turned in 10 quality starts, and his ERA for the season is 5.26 on the road compared to 4.87 at home. Rodón has lost each of his last four starts, most recently giving up three earned runs in 5 1/3 innings of work vs. the Reds. In that outing, he gave up two homers. His ERA for June was 7.41, and it was 4.55 in May.

Yankees Offense Breakdown

Heading into today’s game, the Yankees are the MLB’s top-scoring offense, averaging 5 runs per game. They have also been one of the league’s top power-hitting teams, as they are 2nd in home runs and have a collective isolated power figure of .179. New York’s lineup is also tough to pitch to, as they are the league’s best team in terms of drawing walks.

Collectively, the Yankees are batting .248, which is 8th in the league. Aaron Judge and Juan Soto have been two of the league’s top power hitters this season, with Judge leading the league with 32 homers and Soto’s 21 long balls putting him 6th in the MLB. Judge is also 1st in the league in RBIs, while Soto is 7th.

The Rays Took The Last Game Of This Series

The Rays will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Rangers with a 13-2 loss. Tampa Bay was the +113 underdog on the road going into this matchup. Things started off well for the Rays, as they got on the board with a run in the 1st inning but gave up the lead right away as the Rangers scored three times in the bottom of the first.

Zack Littell had a rough outing, giving up seven earned runs on nine hits and issuing three walks. The Rays also used three other pitchers, and none of them fared well. José Caballero took the loss out of the bullpen and was only able to get one out. The Rays also wasted a good game from Ben Rortvedt, who went 2/3 with a run scored.

For the season, the Rays have a 41-49 record against the run line, with a 16-32 mark at home and 25-17 on the road. Their games have averaged 8.7 runs per game, and their over/under record is 44-42. When the O/U line is set at 8 runs, their record is 10-12.

Tampa Bay is 44-46 overall and 13 games behind the Orioles in the AL East. They have lost three straight games, and their series record this season is 15-11-2. As underdogs, the Rays are 23-17 straight up and 41-49 against the run line.

Ryan Pepiot Gets The Start For The Rays

Tampa Bay is sending right-hander Ryan Pepiot to the mound today vs. the Yankees. He has made 15 starts this season and has a record of 4-5 with an ERA of 4.40. Pepiot’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.12. In his 15 starts, he has turned in five quality starts and is averaging 9.87 strikeouts per nine innings. Pepiot most recently pitched on July 3rd vs. the Royals, where he took the loss, going four innings and giving up two earned runs. Before that outing, he had gone three straight starts without taking the loss.

Rays Offense Breakdown

tampa bay rays

Randy Arozarena and Jose Siri are tied for the team lead in home runs, but both have struggled in terms of batting average so far this season. Arozarena is hitting just .201, and Siri is only slightly better at .202. However, Arozarena has gone 10/34 in his last nine games, including one home run. Yandy Diaz has been a steady contributor this season, batting .270 with eight homers.

Isaac Paredes has been the Rays’ top run producer this season, as his 47 RBIs lead the team. He also has 14 homers, which is 13th in the league. Paredes comes into the game with a batting average of .266.

Yankees vs Rays Prediction

Our prediction for this Yankees vs. Rays matchup is that the Yankees will come out on top by a score of 5-4. With the money line payout for a Yankees win sitting at -127, this is the way we recommend playing this one.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Carlos Rodón finishing with seven strikeouts, which is the third-best among today’s starters. As for Ryan Pepiot, he is projected to finish with four strikeouts, which is the lowest among today’s starters.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.