Baltimore Orioles vs New York Yankees MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Orioles vs New York Yankees Prediction 6/20/2024

The Baltimore Orioles (48-25) travel to face off against the New York Yankees (51-25) on Thursday, June 20th. This game will be played at Yankee Stadium in New York and televised on MLBN. The Orioles are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Yankees are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Orioles. First pitch is set for 3:05 CT.

Orioles vs Yankees

baltimore orioles nba

Baltimore rallied for two runs in the 9th inning in the most recent game of this Orioles vs. Yankees series. The Orioles scored one run in the 1st inning but didn’t score another run until putting up three in the top of the 9th, picking up a 7-6 win. Heading into the game, the Orioles were at +124 on the money line.

New York wasted a good outing from Gerrit Cole, as he gave up just two earned runs in four innings of work for the Yankees. Clay Holmes took the loss.

Cade Povich only went 4 2/3 innings for the Orioles but gave up just one hit and one earned run. He finished with five strikeouts but issued five walks. Craig Kimbrel got the win out of the bullpen, and Dillon Tate got the save.

With a record of 48-25, the Orioles are 2nd in the AL East and trail the Yankees by 1.5 games. Baltimore has been really good against other teams in the AL East, putting together an 18-7 record. The Orioles will look to pick up a game on the Yankees today, as they are 1.5 games behind them and are 25-14 at home and 23-11 on the road.

So far, the Orioles have been really good as the favorite, going 39-20 this year. As for their record as the underdog, they are 9-5 and 7-4 as the underdog on the road. Baltimore’s overall series record is 16-4-3, and they have won three straight series.

When the Orioles win, they win big, with an average run margin of 3.8 runs per game. They’ve been a solid bet on the run line this season, going 45-28 overall. They’ve been especially good on the road, where they’ve covered the run line in 23 of 34 games. As the underdog, they’ve been even better, going 11-3 on the run line.

When the Orioles are on the road, the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs per game, which is slightly lower than their season average of 8.7 runs per game. Overall, the over/under record for the Orioles this season is 36-27, and when the line is set at 8.5 runs, they have gone 12-8. So far this season, 49.3% of their games have had lower over/under lines than 8.5 runs.

Cole Irvin Gets The Start For The Orioles

Baltimore is sending left-hander Cole Irvin to the mound today vs. the Yankees. He has made 11 starts this season and has a record of 6-3 with a 3.03 ERA. Looking at his overall numbers, Irvin has a WHIP of 1.23 and has issued just 1.71 walks per nine innings. In his 13 appearances, Irvin has turned in four quality starts. The most recent outing for Irvin came on June 13th, where he took the loss, giving up three earned runs in 5 2/3 innings of work. Before that, he had gone three straight outings without giving up a home run.

Orioles Offense Breakdown

As a team, the Orioles are the top-scoring team in the league, averaging 5.1 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.2 runs per contest. Baltimore is also the league’s top home run-hitting team, and they have the best isolated power mark in the league. As a team, they are batting .249, which is 8th in the league.

Adley Rutschman and Gunnar Henderson have been the Orioles’ top power threats this season, as Rutschman has 14 homers and Henderson has gone deep 22 times, which is 2nd in the league. Rutschman is also 6th in the league with 53 RBIs, while Henderson is 8th in the league with 49 RBIs. Henderson has also gone 7/26 in his last six games, while Santander has four homers in his last six games but is batting just .250 in that stretch.

The Yankees are 51-25 overall, good for 1st place in the AL East. They hold a 1.5-game lead over the Orioles for the division lead. New York is 10-11 in division games this season and are 6-4 over their last 10 games overall.

At home, the Yankees are 23-11 this season, and they have been really good on the road, going 28-14. So far, they have been really good as the favorite, putting up a mark of 39-20. As for playing as the underdog, the Yankees are 12-5 this season. Currently, they have an overall series record of 17-4-2.

When it comes to the run line, the Yankees have been a solid bet this season, going 45-31 overall. They have been especially good on the run line on the road, going 26-16. As the favorite, they are just above .500 on the run line at 31-28, but as the underdog, they have been excellent, going 14-3.

The New York Yankees are playing at home against the Baltimore Orioles today, and the over/under line for the game is set at 8.5 runs. The Yankees’ games have averaged 8.5 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 36-38. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 17-13. So far this season, 23.7% of their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs or higher.

Luis Gil Gets The Start For The Yankees

Luis Gil gets the start for the Yankees today and is facing the Orioles at home. He has made 14 starts this season and has a record of 9-1 with a 2.02 ERA. Looking at his home/away splits, Gil is 5-0 at home with a 1.70 ERA compared to 4-1 on the road with a 2.75 ERA. Gil has been pitching well recently, as he has allowed just one earned run in each of his last two outings. In his most recent start, he went five innings and got the win vs. the Red Sox. One of his best starts of the season came on May 29th vs. the Angels, where he went eight innings and gave up just one earned run.

Yankees Offense Breakdown

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As a team, the Yankees are 2nd in the league in scoring at 5.1 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.3 runs per contest. Overall, they are 2nd in home runs and have a team batting average of .252. New York’s offense has been very disciplined at the plate, as they are 2nd in team on-base percentage and 2nd in walks.

Not only do the Yankees have the league’s top home run hitter in Aaron Judge, but they also have Juan Soto and Giancarlo Stanton, who are both among the league leaders in homers. Judge and Soto are also near the top of the league in RBIs. Over his last six games, Stanton is hitting .375 with two homers and seven RBIs.

Orioles vs Yankees Prediction

Getting the Yankees at -150 on the money line is a great value, as we have them winning this one by a score of 6-5. With the Yankees being at home, we like them to pick up the win and would take them on the money line.

Looking at some potential player props, Luis Gil is projected to finish with five strikeouts, which would have him as the third-best among all starters today. As for Cole Irvin, he is projected to finish with four strikeouts, which would have him in the middle of the pack.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.