The Baltimore Orioles (53-31) travel to face off against the Seattle Mariners (47-39) on Tuesday, July 2nd. This game will be played at T-Mobile Park in Seattle and televised on MASN. Both the Orioles and Mariners are looking to bounce back from losses in their previous games. First pitch is set for 8:40 CT.
Orioles vs. Mariners Betting Prediction
- Money Line Prediction: Orioles (-116)
- Over/Under Prediction: Over 7.5 Runs
- Orioles have scored an average of 6.2 runs per game in their last 5 road games.
- Orioles have a road record of 24-14, compared to the Mariners’ home record of 28-14.
- Orioles have won 4 of their last 5 games against the Mariners, including a 6-3 win on May 19th.
- Orioles have a higher league rank (2nd) compared to the Mariners (6th).
- Orioles have scored 7 or more runs in 5 of their last 10 games.
Orioles vs Mariners
The Mariners Took The Last Game Of This Series
Baltimore closed out their series vs. the Rangers with a tough 11-2 loss. Heading into the game, the Orioles were the heavy favorite at -174. Things really got away from the Orioles in the 4th inning, as the Rangers scored three runs in the inning. Baltimore’s offense scored their only two runs in the 2nd.
Cole Irvin got the start for the Orioles and took the loss. He only lasted 3 2/3 innings, giving up five earned runs. Offensively, the Orioles had seven hits but only scored two runs. Ryan O’Hearn was hot at the plate, going 3/4 with a run scored.
Baltimore is tied with the Yankees for the AL East lead, both teams holding a 53-31 record. The Orioles are 19-7 against divisional opponents and have an overall series record of 18-6-3. Their average run margin in winning games is 3.9, and their run line record is 48-36.
This season, Orioles games have averaged 9.1 runs, and their over/under record is 43-31. The over has hit in their last two games, and 73.8% of their games have had higher totals than today’s line of 7.5 runs. Heading into today’s game, Baltimore is 4-6 in their last 10 games, coming off a series win against the Rangers.
Grayson Rodriguez Gets The Start For The Orioles
Right-hander Grayson Rodriguez gets the start for the Orioles today as he faces the Mariners on the road. Rodriguez has made 14 starts this year and has a record of 9-3 with a 3.72 ERA. So far, he has turned in seven quality starts and is averaging 9.73 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, Rodriguez picked up the win, going seven innings and giving up two earned runs on four hits. Before that, he had given up seven earned runs in back-to-back starts. Rodriguez has been much better at home, coming in with a 2.23 ERA compared to 5.9 on the road.
Orioles Offense Breakdown
As a team, the Orioles are averaging a league-best 5.2 runs per game this season and also lead the MLB in home runs. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.5 runs per contest. Overall, they are batting .255 as a team, which is 6th in the league.
Adley Rutschman and Gunnar Henderson have been two of the Orioles’ top hitters this season. Rutschman is batting .294 with 15 homers and 55 RBIs, while Henderson is hitting .288 and has gone deep 26 times. Henderson has been hot of late, batting .393 over his last seven games. Anthony Santander is also among the league leaders in home runs but is batting just .230.
The Mariners Took The Last Game Of This Series
Seattle closed out their series vs. the Twins with a 5-3 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 8th inning before the Twins scored two runs in the top of the 8th. The Mariners were the -106 favorite at home going into the game.
Luis Castillo put together a good start for the Mariners, going five innings and giving up just three runs on six hits. He only had three strikeouts in the outing and took the loss. Seattle’s offense was carried by Luke Raley, who went 3/5 with a double, a run scored, and an RBI.
Seattle is 28-14 at home and leads the AL West with a 47-39 record, three games ahead of the Astros. They have struggled against the run line, going 40-46, and their games have averaged 7.7 runs with a 35-46 O/U record. The Mariners have lost four straight series and two games in a row as underdogs.
George Kirby Gets The Start For The Mariners
George Kirby is coming off a strong outing vs. the Rays in which he picked up the win. In that start, he went six innings and gave up just one earned run. Looking at his overall numbers, Kirby has made 17 starts, and his record for the season is 7-5. The right-hander has an ERA of 3.35 and WHIP of .97. Opposing batters are hitting .219 off Kirby this season. Out of his 17 starts, Kirby has turned in 10 quality starts. Per nine innings, he is averaging 8.7 strikeouts and just 0.82 walks.
Mariners Offense Breakdown
Seattle’s offense has been one of the worst in the league this season, averaging just 3.9 runs per game, which is 27th in the league. They are also near the bottom of the league in batting average and on-base percentage. The Mariners have been able to draw a lot of walks this season and have the 10th most home runs in the league.
Cal Raleigh has been one of the league’s top power hitters this season, as his 14 home runs are the best mark on the team and 13th in the league. However, he is batting just .202 for the season. Julio Rodriguez has been a little better in terms of batting average, hitting .247, and is 3rd on the team with 29 RBIs. Over his last six games, Raleigh has gone 5/20 with two homers, while Mitch Garver has also gone deep twice in this stretch, but is batting just .158.
Orioles vs Mariners Prediction
Our pick for this Orioles vs. Mariners matchup is to take the Orioles on the money line, with the payout being -116. We have the Orioles winning this one by a final score of 5-4.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Grayson Rodriguez is projected to finish with six strikeouts, which is fifth-best among all starters today. As for George Kirby, he is projected to finish with five K’s, which has him coming in 11th.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:July 2, 2024 Mariners, Orioles