Baltimore Orioles vs Seattle Mariners MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Orioles vs Seattle Mariners Prediction 7/3/2024

The Baltimore Orioles (54-31) travel to face off against the Seattle Mariners(47-40) on Wednesday, July 3rd. This game will be played at T-Mobile Park in Seattle and televised on RSNW. The Orioles are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Mariners are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Orioles. First pitch is set for 9:10 CT.

Orioles vs. Mariners Betting Prediction

  • Money Line Prediction: Orioles (+103)
  • Over/Under Prediction: Over 7 Runs
  • Orioles have scored 6 or more runs in 6 of their last 15 games.
  • Orioles have a winning record on the road with 25 wins and 14 losses.
  • Orioles have won 5 of their last 7 away games.
  • Orioles have a higher league rank (2nd) compared to the Mariners (6th).
  • Orioles have won 2 out of 3 head-to-head games against the Mariners this season.

Orioles vs Mariners

baltimore orioles nba

Baltimore picked up a 2-0 win over the Mariners in the most recent game of this series. The Orioles had just two more hits than the Mariners and struck out seven more times, but still picked up the win. Heading into the game, they were at -109 on the money line.

Grayson Rodriguez started for the Orioles and went 6 1/3 innings while striking out eight and not giving up a run. He picked up a win in the game, while Craig Kimbrel got the save. George Kirby had a good outing for the Mariners, going 6 1/3 innings and giving up two earned runs.

Anthony Santander and Ryan O’Hearn each had two hits and an RBI for the Orioles’ offense. Colton Cowser also had a two-hit game and scored a run. Josh Rojas was the only Mariners hitter to have more than one hit.

When the Orioles win, they win big, as their average run margin in victories is 3.9. Against the run line, they are 49-36, including a 25-14 record on the road. As the favorite, they are 37-32 vs. the run line, and as the underdog, they are 12-4. Overall, the Orioles have a 44-25 record when favored and 10-6 as underdogs.

With a 54-31 record, the Orioles are one game ahead of the Yankees in the AL East. They have been strong against divisional opponents, going 19-7. This season, Baltimore’s games have averaged 9.0 runs, resulting in a 43-32 over/under record. Heading into today’s game, the Orioles are 5-5 in their last 10 games.

Dean Kremer Gets The Start For The Orioles

Right-hander Dean Kremer is starting for the Orioles today as he faces the Mariners on the road. Through nine starts, Kremer has a record of 3-4 and an ERA of 4.32. Looking at his overall numbers, Kremer has a WHIP of 1.12 and has issued 3.24 walks per nine innings compared to 8.82 strikeouts. Kremer’s last outing was a rough one, as he took the loss after giving up five earned runs in four innings of work. Before that, he had put together back-to-back scoreless outings. At home, his ERA is 6.47, compared to 3.88 on the road.

Orioles Offense Breakdown

So far this season, the Orioles offense has been the best in the league, averaging 5.2 runs per game and leading the MLB with a team slugging percentage of .460. They also have the top team OPS in the league. Baltimore has been especially good on the road, averaging 5.4 runs per game. As a team, they are also the league leaders in home runs.

Gunnar Henderson and Adley Rutschman have been the Orioles’ top power threats this season, with Henderson’s 26 homers leading the team and Rutschman right behind him with 15. Rutschman also leads the team with a batting average of .291. Over his last four games, Heston Kjerstad has gone 5/12 with two homers and eight RBIs. Colton Cowser has also homered twice in his last five games, but he is just 5/20 in that stretch.

Seattle has dropped three straight games and is 13-12-2 in series this season, losing their last four series. They are 47-40 overall and are three games ahead of the Astros in the AL West. The Mariners are 30-21 as favorites and 17-19 as underdogs.

On the run line, the Mariners are 40-47 this season, with a 21-22 record at home and 19-25 on the road. Their games have averaged 7.6 runs, resulting in a 35-47 over/under record. Over 67% of their games have had totals higher than 7 runs, with the O/U record at 7-12-4 when the line is set at 7 runs.

Logan Gilbert Gets The Start For The Mariners

Seattle starter Logan Gilbert has made 17 appearances this season and has a record of 5-4. His ERA is an impressive 2.72, along with a WHIP of .88. Gilbert has turned in 14 quality starts this year and is coming off an outing in which he didn’t give up a run. In that start vs. the Marlins, he went eight innings and gave up just four hits. Gilbert’s last three outings have all been great, as he hasn’t given up more than two earned runs in any of them. The right-hander is averaging 8.17 strikeouts per nine innings.

Mariners Offense Breakdown

seattle mariners

Julio Rodriguez has been a bright spot for the Mariners this season, as he is batting .244 and is 5th on the team with seven home runs. Cal Raleigh and Mitch Garver are the top home run hitters for the Mariners this season, but both have struggled at the plate, with Raleigh batting just .200 and Garver at .172. Raleigh has gone 2/7 in his last seven games with two homers.

As a team, the Mariners are averaging just 3.8 runs per game, which is 27th in the league. They have been even worse at home, averaging only 3.6 runs per contest. Overall, the Mariners have the league’s worst batting average and are also the worst team in the league in terms of striking out.

Orioles vs Mariners Prediction

Getting the Orioles at +103 on the money line is a great value pick in this one. Our predicted final score is 5-4 in favor of the Orioles, giving us a good amount of value on the Orioles to win straight up.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Dean Kremer finishing with five strikeouts compared to Logan Gilbert with five as well. Gilbert is projected to finish with more earned runs than Kremer, and the Orioles are projected to finish with more home runs than the Mariners.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.