The San Diego Padres (37-39) travel to face off against the Philadelphia Phillies (48-24) on Tuesday, June 18th. This game will be played at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia and televised on NSPPH. The Phillies are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Padres are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Phillies. First pitch is set for 5:40 CT.
Padres vs Phillies
Philadelphia cruised to a 9-2 win over the Padres in the most recent game of this series. The Phillies had a huge 3rd inning, scoring seven of their nine runs. As for the Padres, they scored their only two runs in the 5th. Heading into the game, the Phillies were favored at -196 on the money line.
Randy Vásquez got the start for the Padres, going just 4 1/3 innings while giving up six runs and took the loss. Cristopher Sánchez put together a good outing for the Phillies, getting the win after going seven innings and giving up just one earned run.
Philadelphia got a huge performance from Kyle Schwarber, as he went 2/3 with two homers and four RBIs. Alec Bohm also had a three-hit game and drove in three runs. As for the Padres, Manny Machado went 2/4 with an RBI.
The Padres are 37-39 overall this season, and they are looking to snap a four-game losing streak today on the road vs. the Phillies. San Diego is 4th in the NL West, trailing the Dodgers by nine games. So far, they have gone 14-15 in divisional games.
San Diego has lost four straight as the underdog, and they are 11-10 as the road underdog this year. The Padres have dropped eight straight on the road, and they are 18-21 at home. San Diego’s overall series record is 13-9-3, and they are 5-5 over their last 10 games.
San Diego has been a solid bet on the run line this season, going 38-38 overall. They’ve been especially good on the run line on the road, going 25-12. They’ve been favored in 47 games, going 19-28 on the run line, while they’ve been the underdog in 29 games, going 19-10 on the run line. Their average run differential is +0.1 runs per game.
The San Diego Padres are on the road today against the Philadelphia Phillies, and the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs. The Padres have an over/under record of 38-37 this season, and their games have averaged 8.7 runs per game. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 8-9. In total, 13 of their games have had an over/under line set at 8.5 runs, accounting for 17.1% of their games this season. The over has hit in their last two games.
Michael King Gets The Start For The Padres
Right-hander Michael King gets the start for the Padres today as he faces the Phillies on the road. He has made 14 starts this season and has a record of 5-4 with a 3.58 ERA. King’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.23. Looking at his overall numbers, King has turned in six quality starts and is averaging 10.3 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, King finished with a no-decision, giving up two earned runs in five innings of work. Before that, he had gone three straight outings without giving up a homer.
Padres Offense Breakdown
As a team, the Padres are batting .259, which is the best in the league. They also have the top on-base percentage in the league and are near the top of the league in terms of home runs. San Diego is averaging 4.4 runs per game and has been a better team on the road this season, averaging 4.7 runs per contest.
Jurickson Profar and Jake Cronenworth have been two of the Padres’ top power threats this season, as they both have 10 home runs, which is 2nd on the team and 13th in the league. Profar’s 46 RBIs are the best mark on the team and 11th in the MLB. Over his last eight games, Jackson Merrill is hitting .321 with four homers and six RBIs.
With an overall record of 48-24, the Phillies lead the NL East by eight games over the Braves. So far, they have gone 12-6 in divisional games. The Phillies took the first game of their series vs. the Padres and have lost three straight series.
At home, the Phillies are 28-10 this season, and they have gone 20-14 on the road. Philadelphia has been really good in night games, going 32-12 this season. As the favorite, the Phillies are 42-18, and they are 27-8 as the favorite at home. So far, they are 14-7-4 in series this year.
The Phillies have been a solid run-line bet this season, going 39-33 overall. They have been particularly good at home, going 21-17 on the run line. Their average run differential is +1.4 runs per game, and they have been a better bet as the favorite, going 33-27.
The Phillies have been playing in high-scoring games this season, with their games averaging 8.7 runs per game. Their over/under record for the season is 32-35, and their games have had an average line of 8 runs. However, their games have gone over the line of 8.5 runs in 18.1% of their games this season, and their over/under record for games with a line of 8.5 runs is 5-8. Their games have gone over the line in their last two games.
Aaron Nola Gets The Start For The Phillies
Aaron Nola will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Red Sox, as he gets the start for the Phillies today. Against the Red Sox, he took the loss, giving up eight earned runs in just 3 2/3 innings of work. Before that outing, he had won two straight starts and had given up a total of just two earned runs in those outings. Nola’s ERA for the season is 3.48, along with a record of 8-3. Out of his 14 starts, he has turned in nine quality starts and has one complete game shutout. Per nine innings, Nola is averaging 7.98 strikeouts and just 2.45 walks.
Phillies Offense Breakdown
As a team, the Phillies are batting .256, which is the 3rd best mark in the league right now. They are also one of the top-scoring teams in the league, averaging 5.1 runs per game. At home, they have been even better, leading the league with an average of 5.5 runs per contest. Not only do the Phillies hit for a good average, but they also have a lot of power, as they are 6th in the league in home runs.
Alec Bohm and Kyle Schwarber have been swinging hot bats for the Phillies coming into the game. Bohm is 11/18 in his last four games, while Schwarber has three homers in his last five games. For the season, Schwarber is 7th in the league with 16 homers, and Bryce Harper is 8th with 15.
Padres vs Phillies Prediction
Our pick for this Padres vs. Phillies matchup is to take the Phillies on the money line at -156. We have the Phillies winning this one by a score of 5-4, giving us some wiggle room with the over/under line sitting at 8.5 runs.
Looking at the starting pitchers, our projections have Aaron Nola finishing with four strikeouts, which is actually the third lowest among all starters today. As for Michael King, he is projected to finish with five K’s, which has him coming in at 18th.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:June 18, 2024 Padres, Phillies