The San Diego Padres (37-40) travel to face off against the Philadelphia Phillies (49-24) on Wednesday, June 19th. This game will be played at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia and televised on MLBN. The Phillies are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Padres are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Phillies. First pitch is set for 12:05 CT.
Padres vs Phillies
Philadelphia picked up a 4-3 win over the Padres in the most recent game of this series. The Phillies had a late rally, scoring two runs in the 8th and another two in the 9th. As for the Padres, they scored three runs in the 6th and didn’t score another run after that.
Aaron Nola started for the Phillies and picked up the win, going six innings and giving up three earned runs. He finished the game with six strikeouts but issued a season-high five walks. On the other side, Michael King only went 4 2/3 innings for the Padres, giving up one earned run on six hits.
Kyle Schwarber hit the game’s only home run while going 2/4 with three RBIs. Nick Castellanos also had a two-hit game for Philadelphia and drove in a run.
After dropping the first two games of this series vs. the Phillies, the Padres overall record is 37-40, putting them 4th in the NL West. Currently, they trail the Giants by a half-game for the 3rd spot in the division and are 10 games behind the Dodgers for the division lead.
San Diego has dropped five straight games, and they are just 4-6 across their last ten. The Padres have been about even on the road this year, going 19-19 compared to 18-21 at home. As the underdog, the Padres have lost five straight, and they have dropped nine straight on the road overall.
San Diego has been a solid run line bet on the road this season, going 26-12. Their average run margin in road games is +0.7, and they have covered the run line in their last three road games. The Padres are 20-10 against the run line as an underdog and have an average run margin of +3.8 in their wins.
The San Diego Padres are on the road today against the Philadelphia Phillies, and the over/under line for the game is set at 8.5 runs. The Padres have an over/under record of 38-38 on the season, and their games have averaged a combined 8.7 runs per game. When the over/under line has been set at 8.5 runs this season, the Padres have gone 8-10 in those games. Overall, 59.7% of their games have had lower over/under lines than 8.5 runs.
Matt Waldron Gets The Start For The Padres
Right-hander Matt Waldron gets the start for the Padres today as he faces the Phillies on the road. He has made 14 starts this season and has a record of 4-6 with a 3.65 ERA. Waldron’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.18, and he has turned in five quality starts. In his last outing, Waldron took the loss, giving up two earned runs in seven innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts. One positive note is that Waldron has allowed just six homers this season. He is averaging 8.25 strikeouts per nine innings.
Padres Offense Breakdown
So far this season, the Padres offense is averaging 4.4 runs per game, which is 13th in the league. They have been a better offensive team on the road, averaging 4.7 runs per contest. As a team, the Padres are batting .257, which is the 2nd best mark in the MLB right now. San Diego also has a good team on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
Jurickson Profar and Jake Cronenworth are both in the top 13 in the league in home runs, with Profar leading the Padres with 10 homers and a team-leading 47 RBIs. Profar is also batting .320 for the season and has gone 5/18 in his last five games. Luis Arraez is hitting .318 for the season and has gone 3/15 in his last five games. Fernando Tatis Jr. is also having a strong season at the plate, hitting .273 with 13 homers.
Philadelphia is 49-24 overall and leads the NL East by eight games over the Braves. The Phillies have taken the first two games of this series vs. the Padres, and they are 14-7-4 in series this year. At home, the Phillies are 29-10 this year and 20-14 on the road.
The Phillies have been really good in night games this year, going 32-12. As the favorite, the Phillies are 43-18 and 6-6 as the underdog. Philadelphia’s overall record is backed by a 5-5 mark over their last 10 games.
The Phillies have been a solid run line bet this season, going 39-34 overall. They have been especially good at home, going 21-18 on the run line. Their average run margin for the season is +1.4 runs per game, and they have been a better bet as the favorite, going 33-28 on the run line.
Today’s over/under line of 8.5 runs for the Philadelphia Phillies’ matchup against the San Diego Padres at Citizens Bank Park is slightly higher than their season average of 8.0 runs per game. The Phillies have played in 13 games with over/under lines set at 8.5 runs, and in those games, the over has gone 5-9. Overall, Philadelphia’s games have averaged 8.7 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 32-36.
Ranger Suárez Gets The Start For The Phillies
Ranger Suárez gets the start for the Phillies today as he faces off against the Padres. This year, he has made 14 starts and has a record of 10-1 with an ERA of 1.77. Suárez’s WHIP for the season is .88, and opponents are batting .180 off the left-hander. In his last outing, Suárez went 6 2/3 innings, giving up one earned run on six hits. He finished with a no-decision in that outing. Before that, he had won three straight starts. Suárez has one complete game shutout this year.
Phillies Offense Breakdown
Right now, the Phillies have the 2nd best scoring offense in the league, averaging 5 runs per game. They have been even better at home, putting up 5.4 runs per contest. Overall, they are the league’s top home run hitting team and are also near the top of the league in terms of batting average, on-base percentage, and slugging percentage. Kyle Schwarber has been red hot for the Phillies, hitting six home runs over his last 10 games while batting .400.
As a team, the Phillies have three hitters in the top 3 in terms of RBIs, with Alec Bohm leading the team and 3rd in the league with 60 RBIs. Bohm is also 3rd on the team with a batting average of .305 and has gone deep seven times. Bryce Harper and Kyle Schwarber are also near the top of the league in home runs, with Harper batting .282 and Schwarber at .257.
Padres vs Phillies Prediction
Our prediction for this Padres vs. Phillies matchup is to take the Phillies to pick up the win at home, and we have them winning by a score of 6-5. However, with their money line payout sitting at -170, we recommend taking the over, as we have this game going over 8.5 runs, and you can get the over at -123.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Ranger Suarez finishing with four strikeouts, which is the second-lowest among all starters today. As for Matt Waldron, he is projected to finish with five strikeouts, and the Padres are projected to finish with six as a team.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:June 19, 2024 Padres, Phillies