The San Diego Padres (53-50) travel to face off against the Washington Nationals (47-54) on Wednesday, July 24th. This game will be played at Nationals Park in Washington and televised on MASN. The Padres are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Nationals are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Padres. First pitch is set for 5:45 CT.
Padres vs. Nationals Betting Prediction
- Money Line Prediction: Nationals (+106)
- Over/Under Prediction: Over 8.5 Runs
- The Nationals have scored 5 or more runs in 6 of their last 15 games.
- The Nationals have won 5 of their last 6 home games.
- The Nationals have a 5-5 record in their last 10 games, compared to the Padres’ 4-6 record in their last 10 games.
- The Nationals have a better home record (23-25) compared to the Padres’ away record (27-22).
- The Nationals have scored 5 or more runs in 5 of their last 7 home games.
Padres vs Nationals
San Diego cruised to a 4-0 win over the Nationals in the most recent game of this series. The Padres had a two-run 5th inning and added their final two runs in the 8th. As for the Nationals, they had their best chance to score in the 7th but left the bases loaded. Heading into the game, the Padres were the slight underdogs at -102.
Randy Vásquez pitched well for the Padres in this one, going six innings and striking out six without giving up a run. He picked up a win in the game, while DJ Herz took the loss for the Nationals. Herz went five innings and gave up two earned runs on five hits.
Jurickson Profar and Luis Arraez each homered for the Padres, while Jackson Merrill scored twice and drove in two runs while going 2/4. Manny Machado also had a two-hit game and scored a run for San Diego’s offense.
San Diego is 53-50 overall and has won three straight games. They are 27-22 on the road and 26-28 at home. The Padres trail the Dodgers by 8.5 games in the NL West.
When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, the Padres have a 13-11 O/U record. Their games have averaged 8.8 runs per game this season, and their overall O/U record is 53-49. On the run line, San Diego is 34-15 ATS on the road and 53-50 overall.
Matt Waldron Gets The Start For The Padres
Right-hander Matt Waldron gets the start for the Padres today as he faces the Nationals on the road. He has made 20 starts this season and has a record of 5-9 with a 3.60 ERA. Waldron’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.16, and opponents are batting .226 off him this year. In his last outing, he took the loss, going six innings and giving up one earned run on six hits. Before that, he had given up at least three earned runs in three straight starts. Waldron has a total of 12 homers this season.
Padres Offense Breakdown
So far this season, the Padres offense is averaging 4.5 runs per game, which is 13th in the league. They have been a very good hitting team this season, batting .260 as a team, which is the 2nd best mark in the league. San Diego also does a good job of putting the ball in play, as they have the fewest strikeouts in the league. The Padres are also one of the top home run hitting teams in the league, coming in at 11th in the league.
Jurickson Profar has been the team’s top power threat this season, as his 15 home runs are the best mark on the team and 15th in the league. He is also leading the Padres with 60 RBIs. Over his last five games, Profar is batting just .227. Jake Cronenworth has also struggled of late, going 3/18 in his last five games. Luis Arraez and Luis Campusano have been swinging the bat well of late, with Arraez hitting .294 in his last four games and Campusano going 3/5 in his last two games.
Washington’s overall series record this season is 13-17-2, and they have won two straight series. Against the run line, they are 57-44, including a 30-23 record on the road and a 48-34 record as the underdog. Their games have averaged 8.7 runs, and their over/under record is 48-49.
The Nationals are 47-54 this season and 17 games behind the Phillies in the NL East. They are looking to bounce back after losing the first game of the series vs. the Padres. This season, their games with an over/under line of 8.5 runs have a 14-16 record, and 35.6% of their games have had over/under lines of 8.5 or higher.
Mitchell Parker Gets The Start For The Nationals
Washington is sending left-hander Mitchell Parker to the mound today vs. the Padres. Parker has made 17 starts this season and has a record of 5-5 with a 3.90 ERA. Looking at his overall numbers, Parker has a WHIP of 1.14 and has issued just 2.05 walks per nine innings compared to 7.41 strikeouts. He has made six quality starts this year and is coming off a rough outing vs. the Brewers, where he gave up five earned runs in two-thirds of an inning of work. In that outing, he gave up two homers. Before that, he had not allowed a homer in three straight starts.
Nationals Offense Breakdown
Heading into today’s game, the Nationals are 20th in the league in runs scored, averaging 4.2 runs per game. This is also their home and road splits for the season. As a team, they are batting just .239, and their home run total of 84 is the worst in the league. However, they do have three players who have at least 10 homers this season.
CJ Abrams has been the Nationals’ top run producer this season, with 49 RBIs and a team-leading 15 homers. However, he has struggled at the plate of late, going just 6/31 in his last seven games. Jesse Winker and Luis Garcia Jr. have also gone deep 11 times this season, with Winker batting .258 and Garcia Jr. hitting .275.
Padres vs Nationals Prediction
With the Nationals at +106 to pick up a win at home, this is a great value pick, as we have them winning this one 6-5. Looking at the starting pitchers, Mitchell Parker is projected to finish with four strikeouts, which is better than Matt Waldron, who we have finishing with just four K’s.
If you’re looking for a parlay, you could also look to take the over/under, and if you do, we would recommend taking the over at 8.5. However, we see this being a close game, and with the Nationals at +106, we see this as the best bet.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:July 24, 2024 Nationals, Padres