Philadelphia Phillies vs Arizona Diamondbacks MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Phillies vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction 8/10/2024

The Philadelphia Phillies (69-47) travel to face off against the Arizona Diamondbacks (64-53) on Saturday, August 10th. This game will be played at Chase Field in Phoenix and televised on NSPPH. The Diamondbacks are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Phillies are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Diamondbacks. First pitch is set for 7:10 CT.

Phillies vs. Diamondbacks Betting Prediction

  • Money Line Prediction: Diamondbacks (-112)
  • Over/Under Prediction: Over 8.5 Runs
  • Diamondbacks have won 8 of their last 10 games.
  • Diamondbacks have scored an average of 6.6 runs per game in their last 15 games.
  • Diamondbacks have a home record of 32-26, while the Phillies have an away record of 31-26.
  • Diamondbacks have won 5 of their last 6 home games.
  • Diamondbacks have outscored their opponents by 15 runs in their last 15 games.

Phillies vs Diamondbacks

philadelphia phillies nba

Despite coming in as the slight underdogs on the road, the Diamondbacks picked up a 3-2 win over the Phillies in the most recent game of this series. Arizona’s offense got off to a fast start, scoring one run in the first and adding two more in the 3rd. On the other side, the Phillies got on the board with one run in the 7th and added their final run in the 8th.

Ryne Nelson started for the Diamondbacks and picked up the win, going 7 1/3 innings and giving up two earned runs. He finished the game with nine strikeouts but issued one walk. As for the Phillies, Zack Wheeler got the start and went six innings, giving up two earned runs on seven hits.

Adrian Del Castillo was the difference for the Diamondbacks’ offense, as he went 3/4 with a home run and two RBIs. Joc Pederson also homered for Arizona, going 1/2. Bryce Harper hit a home run for the Phillies, going 1/4.

Philadelphia has a 69-47 overall record and is currently leading the NL East by 8 games over the Mets. As favorites, they are 58-36 straight up, including a 21-17 record on the road. Against the NL East, they have a 15-10 record this season.

On the run line, the Phillies are 58-58, with a +0.9 run margin per game. Their games have averaged 8.8 runs per game this season, and the O/U record for games with an 8.5 run total is 8-13. Today’s O/U line of 8.5 runs is set lower than usual, as only 33 of their games have had that total, making up 28.4% of their games.

Aaron Nola Gets The Start For The Phillies

Right-hander Aaron Nola gets the start for the Phillies today as he faces the Diamondbacks on the road. Nola has made 23 starts this year and has a record of 11-5 with a 3.54 ERA. Coming into the game, he has a WHIP of 1.10 and has turned in 15 quality starts. Nola’s most recent outing came against the Dodgers, where he took the loss, giving up four earned runs in six innings of work. Before that, he had gone three straight outings without taking the loss. Nola has been tough to beat on the road, going 6-2 with a 4.50 ERA compared to 5-3 with a 3.79 ERA at home.

Phillies Offense Breakdown

As a team, the Phillies are averaging 4.9 runs per game, which is 8th in the majors. They have been even better at home, averaging 5.3 runs per game. Overall, they are one of the league’s top home run-hitting teams and are also batting a collective .256, which is 5th in the league. Philadelphia’s team on-base percentage, slugging percentage, and OPS are all 6th in the league.

Kyle Schwarber has been on a tear of late, going 12/25 in his last six games with five homers and 10 RBIs. For the season, he is batting .261 with 27 homers, which is 7th in the MLB. Alec Bohm is also having a strong season for the Phillies, as he is batting .298 with 12 homers and 78 RBIs. He is currently on an 11-game hitting streak.

Arizona has been on a roll, winning seven straight series and going 8-2 in their last 10 games. They are currently 3rd in the NL West with a 64-53 record, 3.5 games behind the Dodgers.

Against the run line, the Diamondbacks are 60-57 overall, with a 34-25 record on the road and 38-24 as the underdog. Their games have averaged 9.8 runs per game, resulting in a 63-49 over/under record for the season.

Zac Gallen Gets The Start For The Diamondbacks

Right-hander Zac Gallen is starting for the Diamondbacks today and comes into the game with a record of 9-5 and an ERA of 3.75. Gallen has made 19 starts this year and has pitched well at home, going 6-3 with a 3.72 ERA. He has a total of nine quality starts and is averaging 8.58 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, Gallen finished with a no-decision, giving up five earned runs in seven innings of work. Before that, he had won three straight starts.

Diamondbacks Offense Breakdown

arizona diamondbacks

Arizona comes into the game as the top-scoring team in the league, averaging 5.1 runs per game. They have been even better at home, averaging 5.2 runs per game. As a team, they are batting .258 (4th) and have the league’s top home run hitter in Ketel Marte, who has gone deep 29 times this season. Marte is also 8th in the league with 80 RBIs.

Over his last nine games, Marte has five home runs but is hitting just .235 during that stretch. Christian Walker is also a power threat in the lineup, as he is 2nd on the team with 23 homers this season. He is batting .254 for the year.

Phillies vs Diamondbacks Prediction

Our predicted final score for this one is a 6-5 win for the Diamondbacks. With the Diamondbacks at home, we would recommend taking them on the money line, where the payout is at -112.

Looking at some of the starting pitcher projections, we have Zac Gallen finishing with six strikeouts compared to Aaron Nola with five. We also have Gallen finishing with fewer earned runs than Nola.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.