The Philadelphia Phillies (69-48) travel to face off against the Arizona Diamondbacks (65-53) on Sunday, August 11th. This game will be played at Chase Field in Phoenix and televised on None. The Diamondbacks are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Phillies are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Diamondbacks. First pitch is set for 3:10 CT.

Phillies vs. Diamondbacks Betting Prediction

• Money Line Prediction: Diamondbacks (+109)
• Over/Under Prediction: Over 9 Runs

• Diamondbacks have won 10 out of their last 15 games.
• Diamondbacks have scored an average of 7.2 runs per game in their last 15 games.
• Diamondbacks have a home record of 33-26, while the Phillies have an away record of 31-27.
• Diamondbacks have won 2 out of 3 home games against the Phillies in their most recent series.
• Diamondbacks have a league rank of 5th, while the Phillies are ranked 1st in their division, indicating a strong competitive matchup.

Phillies vs Diamondbacks

It was all Arizona in the last game of this series, as the Diamondbacks took down the Phillies by a score of 11-1. The Diamondbacks offense only had four more hits than the Phillies and struck out nine times, but still picked up a convincing win. Heading into the game, they were favored at -119 on the money line.

Philadelphia’s only run came in the 5th inning, as they were held in check by Zac Gallen for most of the game. Gallen only went 4 1/3 innings but gave up just one hit and one earned run. Kevin Ginkel got the win out of the bullpen for the Diamondbacks.

At the plate, Jake McCarthy had a huge game for Arizona, going 2/4 with two homers and four RBIs. Corbin Carroll also had a two-hit game and drove in three runs. Ketel Marte only had one hit, but it was a home run.

Philadelphia has a 31-27 road record and is 21-17 as the road favorite. Overall, they have a 58-59 run line record with an average run differential of +0.8 runs per game. The Phillies are looking to end a two-game losing streak today and maintain their 7.5-game lead in the NL East over the Braves.

The Phillies have the 4th best record in the NL at 69-48 and are 4.5 games behind the Dodgers for the best record. Their over/under record is 54-57, and when the O/U line is 9 runs, their record is 5-10-1. This season, only 14.5% of their games have had over/under lines of 9 runs or higher.

Cristopher Sánchez Gets The Start For The Phillies

Through 22 starts, Cristopher Sánchez has a record of 8-7 and an ERA of 3.27 for the Phillies. This year, he has one complete game shutout and 12 quality starts. Sánchez has a WHIP of 1.26 and is coming off a strong outing vs. the Dodgers, where he got the win, going six innings and giving up just one earned run. Before that, he had lost three straight starts. Sánchez has been much better at home, coming in with a 6-3 record and 2.52 ERA compared to 2-4 with a 5.23 ERA on the road.

Phillies Offense Breakdown

As a team, the Phillies are averaging 4.8 runs per game, which is 8th in the league. They have been even better at home, averaging 5.3 runs per contest. Overall, they are the league’s 7th best home run hitting team and have the 6th best team batting average in the MLB. Philadelphia’s lineup has been very patient this season, as they are 5th in walks and have the 6th best on-base percentage in the league.

Kyle Schwarber has been on a tear for the Phillies, going 8/20 with four homers over his last five games. Schwarber’s 27 homers this season is 7th in the league, and he is 2nd on the team with 73 RBIs. Alec Bohm comes into the game on a 12-game hitting streak, and his 78 RBIs is the best mark on the team and 12th in the MLB.

Arizona is 8-2 in their last 10 games and have won seven straight series. They have a 20-13-4 series record this season. As underdogs, the Diamondbacks are 30-32 straight up and 38-24 against the run line. Their games have averaged 9.9 runs per game, and their over/under record is 64-49.

Overall, the Diamondbacks are 65-53 and trail the Dodgers by 3.5 games in the NL West. At home, they are 33-26, and on the road, they are 32-27. Arizona has covered the run line in their last two home games and has a 27-32 run line record at home. The O/U line for today is set at 9 runs.

Merrill Kelly Gets The Start For The Diamondbacks

Merrill Kelly and the Diamondbacks are hosting the Phillies today. Kelly has started the year with a pair of wins, going 6 innings in his first start and then 5 innings in his last outing. He has 13 strikeouts in 11 innings of work, and he has given up just 1 home run so far this season.

Diamondbacks Offense Breakdown

Arizona has been the best offensive team in the MLB this season, averaging 5.2 runs per game. They have been even better at home, averaging 5.3 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .260, which is 3rd in the league, and are also near the top of the league in home runs. The Diamondbacks have also done a good job of putting the ball in play, as they have the 8th fewest strikeouts in the league.

Over his last nine games, Ketel Marte has gone deep six times while driving in nine runs. For the season, he is batting .299 with a team-high 81 RBIs and 30 home runs, which is 4th in the league. Christian Walker is 2nd on the team with 23 homers and is batting .254 for the season.

 

Phillies vs Diamondbacks Prediction

 

We are going to be taking the Diamondbacks on the money line at +109. With this payout, we see this as a great value pick, as we actually have the Diamondbacks winning this one 6-5.

Looking at the starting pitchers, Merrill Kelly actually has the highest projected innings total among all starters today. As for Cristopher Sanchez, his projected strikeout total is just five, which ranks near the bottom of all starters.

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All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

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* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.