Philadelphia Phillies vs Arizona Diamondbacks MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Phillies vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction 8/9/2024

The Philadelphia Phillies (69-46) travel to face off against the Arizona Diamondbacks (63-53) on Friday, August 9th. This game will be played at Chase Field in Phoenix and televised on None. The Phillies are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Diamondbacks are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Phillies. First pitch is set for 8:40 CT.

Phillies vs. Diamondbacks Betting Prediction

  • Money Line Prediction: Diamondbacks (+132)
  • Over/Under Prediction: Over 8.5 Runs
  • Diamondbacks have won 8 of their last 10 games, indicating strong recent form.
  • Diamondbacks have scored an average of 7.2 runs per game in their last 10 home games.
  • Diamondbacks have a 5-1 record in their last 6 home games.
  • Diamondbacks have outscored their opponents by 20 runs in their last 5 home games.
  • Diamondbacks have a 31-26 home record, while the Phillies have a 25-31 away record.

Phillies vs Diamondbacks

philadelphia phillies nba

Philadelphia rallied for four runs in the 6th inning in the most recent game of this Phillies vs. Diamondbacks series. The Phillies scored one run in the 1st inning but didn’t score another run until putting up four in the top of the 6th, picking up a 6-4 win. Heading into the game, the Phillies were at +109 on the money line.

Kolby Allard got the win for the Phillies out of the bullpen, while Carlos Estevez got the save. Jordan Montgomery took the loss for the Diamondbacks.

J.T. Realmuto, Bryce Harper, Weston Wilson, and Edmundo Sosa each had two RBIs for the Phillies’ offense. Jake McCarthy was the only Diamondbacks hitter to have more than one RBI, as he went 3/5 with a home run.

Philadelphia leads the NL East by eight games over the Mets and has an overall record of 69-46. They have won three straight games, including the first game of this series against Arizona. The Phillies are 38-21 at home and 31-25 on the road, and as the favorite, they have a 58-35 record.

This season, the Phillies’ games have averaged 8.9 runs, and their over/under record is 53-56. The over/under line for today’s game is 8.5 runs, and their O/U record in games with that line is 8-12. So far, 33 of their games have had higher O/U lines than today’s, making up 28.7% of their total games.

Zack Wheeler Gets The Start For The Phillies

Zack Wheeler gets the start for the Phillies today as he faces the Diamondbacks on the road. So far this season, he has made 22 starts and has a record of 11-5 with a 2.77 ERA. Wheeler’s WHIP for the season is currently .98, and he has turned in 16 quality starts. In his last outing, Wheeler was fantastic, going eight innings and not giving up a run. He finished with nine strikeouts in that outing. Before that, he had given up at least two homers in three straight starts. The right-hander has been much better on the road, coming in with a 4.01 ERA compared to 2.78 at home.

Phillies Offense Breakdown

As a team, the Phillies are 5th in the league in scoring at 4.9 runs per game. They have been even better at home, averaging 5.3 runs per game, which is the best mark in the league. Overall, they are 6th in home runs and have the 5th best team batting average in the league. The Phillies have also been very good at avoiding strikeouts and are 5th in the league in walks.

Kyle Schwarber has been on a tear of late, going 15/32 with five homers over his last eight games. This has helped him move into the team lead in home runs, and he is also 13th in the league in RBIs. Alec Bohm has also been swinging a hot bat, as he is on a 10-game hitting streak and is batting .296 for the season.

Arizona has a 63-53 overall record and is 3rd in the NL West, 3.5 games behind the Dodgers. They trail the Padres by a game for the second spot in the division. The Diamondbacks have won seven straight series, but they lost the first game of the current series against the Phillies.

When playing as the underdog, Arizona has a 29-32 straight-up record and a 37-24 run line record. Their games have averaged 9.9 runs, and their over/under record is 63-48. Against the run line, the Diamondbacks are 34-25 on the road and 25-32 at home.

Ryne Nelson Gets The Start For The Diamondbacks

Ryne Nelson will be looking to bounce back from his last outing, where he gave up four earned runs in five innings of work. In that outing vs. the Pirates, he gave up two homers. Looking back over his last four outings, Nelson has allowed a homer in each of those starts. Nelson finished with a no-decision in each of his last two outings. Before that, he had picked up the win in two straight starts. Nelson’s ERA for the season is 4.65, along with a record of 8-6. Out of his 19 starts, he has seven quality starts and is averaging 7.02 strikeouts per nine innings.

Diamondbacks Offense Breakdown

arizona diamondbacks

Arizona comes into today’s game as the MLB’s top-scoring team at 5.2 runs per game. They have been even better at home, also averaging 5.2 runs per contest. The Diamondbacks have been a very good home run hitting team this season and are also one of the league’s best hitting teams in terms of batting average. Arizona’s offense is led by Ketel Marte, who is batting .295 for the season and has gone deep 29 times.

Christian Walker is also a power threat in the lineup, as he has 23 homers this season and is batting .254. Over his last five games, Jake McCarthy has gone 7/15 with a home run and four RBIs. However, Ketel Marte has struggled during this stretch, going just 3/19.

Phillies vs Diamondbacks Prediction

There is a lot of value on picking the Diamondbacks to win this one straight up with the money line sitting at +132. Our predicted final score is 6-5 in favor of the Diamondbacks, and with the payout, this is the route we would recommend.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we do have Ryne Nelson finishing with just four strikeouts, which is fourth worst among today’s starters. As for Zack Wheeler, he is projected to finish with six K’s, which is right in the middle of the pack.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.