The Philadelphia Phillies (58-31) travel to face off against the Atlanta Braves (48-39) on Sunday, July 7th. This game will be played at Truist Park in Atlanta and televised on BSSE. The Braves are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Phillies are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Braves. First pitch is set for 12:35  CT.

Phillies vs. Braves Betting Prediction

• Money Line Prediction: Phillies (+147)
• Over/Under Prediction: Over 8.5 Runs

• The Phillies have won 10 of their last 15 games, demonstrating strong recent form.
• In their last 15 games, the Phillies have scored an average of 5.2 runs per game, indicating a potent offense.
• The Phillies have a better away record (25-17) compared to the Braves’ home record (28-17), showing they perform well on the road.
• In their last 3 head-to-head games against the Braves, the Phillies have won 2, suggesting they have the upper hand in recent matchups.
• The Phillies have a league-leading 58 wins, indicating overall strong performance and consistency throughout the season.

Phillies vs Braves

The most recent game o of this Phillies and Braves series came right down to the end, as the Phillies rallied late but still fell short with the Braves winning 5-1 at home. Heading into the game, the Braves were favored at -121 on the money line.

Spencer Schwellenbach pitched well for the Braves in this one, going six innings and giving up just one run. He finished the game with six strikeouts but didn’t issue a walk. On the other side, Ranger Suarez got the start for the Phillies and went five innings, giving up five earned runs on six hits.

Ozzie Albies and Marcell Ozuna each homered for the Braves, while Jarred Kelenic scored twice and drove in two runs while going 2/4. Albies, Kelenic, and Austin Riley each had two RBIs for Atlanta’s offense.

Philadelphia has been a solid favorite this season with a 50-24 record, but as underdogs, they are 8-7. Against the run line, the Phillies are 47-42, and their games have averaged 8 runs per game, resulting in a 40-44 over/under record. The over/under line of 8.5 runs is lower than their average total.

The Phillies hold a nine-game lead over the Braves in the NL East with a 58-31 record. They have won two straight series on the road and are 25-17 away from home. This season, they have gone 15-9 in divisional games and have a 38-15 record in night games.

Michael Mercado Gets The Start For The Phillies

Michael Mercado will be making his 3rd appearance of the season and his 2nd start. He started his season with a 1-inning relief appearance against the Tigers, and then picked up a win in his first start, going 5 innings and giving up 2 hits and 2 walks.

Phillies Offense Breakdown

As a team, the Phillies are 5th in the league in scoring at 5 runs per game. They have been even better at home, averaging 5.3 runs per game. Overall, they are one of the league’s best home run-hitting clubs, and they also have the 3rd best team batting average in the league. The Phillies have been very good at avoiding strikeouts and are among the league leaders in walks.

Over his last five games, Trea Turner has gone 9/22 with four homers and nine RBIs. For the season, Bryce Harper is hitting .303 with a team-high 20 homers, and Alec Bohm has a team-high 70 RBIs to go along with his 11 homers and a batting average of .297.

Atlanta has a 48-39 overall record and is nine games behind the Phillies in the NL East. Their run line record is 41-46, and their average run differential in wins is +3.7 runs per game.

When the over/under line is 8.5 runs, the Braves’ O/U record is 8-16. The average combined run total in their games this season is 8.0 runs, and their overall series record is 16-11-2.

Reynaldo López Gets The Start For The Braves

Braves starter Reynaldo López has made 15 appearances this year and has a record of 6-2. His ERA for the season is an impressive 1.83, along with a WHIP of 1.15. So far, López has turned in eight quality starts and is averaging 9.36 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, he finished with a no-decision, going 4 1/3 innings and giving up two earned runs on four hits. Before that, he had won three straight starts. The right-hander has been particularly tough at home, coming in with a record of 3-0 and a 1.43 ERA.

Braves Offense Breakdown

Marcell Ozuna has been one of the league’s top run producers this season, as his 72 RBIs are 3rd in the MLB. He also has a team-high 23 home runs and is batting .298 for the season. Ozuna has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 6/22 with two homers in his last six games. Ozzie Albies has also been swinging a hot bat, going 10/24 in his last six games.

As a team, the Braves are averaging 4.3 runs per game, which is 15th in the league. They have been a very consistent offense, as they are averaging 4.3 runs per game both at home and on the road. Overall, the Braves are 12th in home runs and have the league’s 13th best batting average.

Phillies vs Braves Prediction

Our pick for this Phillies vs. Braves matchup is to take the Phillies on the money line at +147. We actually have the Phillies winning this game by a final score of 5-4. If you’re looking for a parlay, we would recommend taking the over, as we have the teams combining for nine runs, and with the line sitting at 8.5, there is a bit of wiggle room.

Looking at some of the starting pitcher projections, we have Reynaldo Lopez picking up six strikeouts compared to Michael Mercado with five. However, we have Mercado finishing with a lower ERA and giving up fewer hits than Lopez.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.