Philadelphia Phillies vs Atlanta Braves MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Phillies vs Atlanta Braves Prediction 8/21/2024

The Philadelphia Phillies (73-52) travel to face off against the Atlanta Braves (67-58) on Wednesday, August 21st. This game will be played at Truist Park in Atlanta and televised on NSPPH. The Braves are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Phillies are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Braves. First pitch is set for 6:20 CT.

Phillies vs. Braves Betting Prediction

  • Money Line Prediction: Phillies (+100)
  • Over/Under Prediction: Over 8 Runs
  • Phillies have scored 5 or more runs in 7 of their last 15 games.
  • Phillies have a 4-2 record in their last 6 road games.
  • Phillies have won 3 out of their last 4 games against the Braves.
  • Phillies have a higher league rank (2nd) compared to the Braves (6th).
  • Phillies have a better away record (31-29) compared to the Braves’ home record (33-26).

Phillies vs Braves

philadelphia phillies nba

Atlanta picked up a 3-1 win over the Phillies in the most recent game of this series. The Braves offense only had seven hits but took advantage of a good outing from Reynaldo Lopez, who gave up just one run in five innings of work. As for the Phillies, they scored their only run in the 4th inning and finished the game with five hits.

Marcell Ozuna was the difference for the Braves, as he homered and scored three times. Whit Merrifield also had a two-hit game and scored a run for Atlanta. For the Phillies, Alec Bohm went 2/4 with an RBI.

Grant Holmes got the win for the Braves out of the bullpen, while Raisel Iglesias closed things out. Zack Wheeler had a good outing for the Phillies, giving up just two earned runs in six innings of work.

Philadelphia is currently leading the NL East with a 73-52 record, six games ahead of the Braves. However, they have lost two games in a row and are down 1-0 in their current series against Atlanta. The Phillies have a 19-13 record against NL East teams this season.

For run line bets, the Phillies have a 12-11 record as underdogs, and their overall run line record is 61-64. The average run total in their games is 0.8, and their over/under record for games with an 8-run line is 17-14-1. The O/U record for the season is 58-61, with games averaging 8.9 runs per game.

Aaron Nola Gets The Start For The Phillies

Right-hander Aaron Nola gets the start for the Phillies today as he faces the Braves on the road. Nola has made 25 starts this season and has a record of 11-6 with a 3.45 ERA. Coming into the game, his WHIP is 1.16, and opponents are batting .236 off him this season. Nola’s most recent outing came against the Nationals, where he finished with a no-decision, going 6 2/3 innings and not giving up a run. Before that, he had lost three straight starts. Nola’s ERA on the road is 4.57 compared to 3.49 at home.

Phillies Offense Breakdown

As a team, the Phillies are averaging 4.9 runs per game, which is 8th in the MLB. They have been even better at home, averaging 5.3 runs per contest. Overall, they are the league’s 4th best hitting team, with a team batting average of .257. Philadelphia also has the 7th most home runs in the league.

Kyle Schwarber has been a big power threat for the Phillies this season, as his 28 home runs are the best mark on the team and 9th in the MLB. However, he is batting just .248 for the season and has only hit one home run in his last 10 games. Alec Bohm has been hot of late, going 12/38 in his last 10 games and is currently on a six-game hitting streak.

Atlanta has won three straight games and taken the first game of this series vs. the Phillies, bringing their overall record to 67-58. They trail the Phillies by six games in the NL East standings. The Braves have a 33-26 home record and are 34-32 on the road this season.

When favored, the Braves are 57-46 straight up but 45-58 vs. the run line. Their games have averaged 8.2 runs per game this season, and the under has hit in 47 of their 73 games with an over/under line of 8 runs. Heading into today’s game, the under has hit in two straight games for the Braves.

Max Fried Gets The Start For The Braves

Max Fried will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Giants, as he gets the start for the Braves vs. the Phillies today. In that start, which came on August 15th, Fried took the loss, going 5 1/3 innings and giving up three earned runs. Looking back over his last three starts, Fried has given up at least three earned runs in each outing. Fried’s record for the season is 7-7, and he has an ERA of 3.62. Opponents are batting .229 off Fried this season. Per nine innings, he is averaging 3.33 walks compared to 8.51 strikeouts.

Braves Offense Breakdown

atlanta braves

So far this season, the Braves are averaging 4.3 runs per game, which is 16th in the league. They have been a better offensive team on the road, averaging 4.5 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .241, which is 13th in the league, and have the 4th most home runs in the league. Atlanta’s offense has been led by Marcell Ozuna, who is hitting .309 for the season and has gone 15/35 in his last nine games.

Ozuna also leads the Braves with 37 homers and 94 RBIs, which is 3rd and 4th in the MLB, respectively. Matt Olson is 2nd on the team with 21 homers but is batting just .228 for the season.

Phillies vs Braves Prediction

Our pick for this Phillies and Braves matchup is to take the Phillies on the money line at +100. We have the Phillies winning this one by a score of 5-4. Getting them at even money is a great payout for a team that we have winning this one outright.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we have both Aaron Nola and Max Fried projected to go six innings, with Nola finishing with more strikeouts. However, we have Nola finishing with a better ERA than Fried, who we have giving up four earned runs.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.