Philadelphia Phillies vs Los Angeles Dodgers MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Phillies vs Los Angeles Dodgers Prediction 8/5/2024

The Philadelphia Phillies (66-45) travel to face off against the Los Angeles Dodgers (65-47) on Monday, August 5th. This game will be played at Dodger Stadium in Los Angeles and televised on MLBN. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. First pitch is set for 9:10 CT.

Phillies vs. Dodgers Betting Prediction

  • Money Line Prediction: Dodgers (-132)
  • Over/Under Prediction: Over 8 Runs
  • The Dodgers have won 4 out of their last 5 home games.
  • The Dodgers have scored an average of 5.6 runs per game in their last 5 home games.
  • The Dodgers have a home record of 34-20, while the Phillies have an away record of 28-24.
  • The Dodgers have won 2 out of 3 head-to-head games against the Phillies this season.
  • The Dodgers have a league rank of 2nd in the NL West, while the Phillies are 1st in the NL East, indicating strong competition but favorable home performance for the Dodgers.

Phillies vs Dodgers

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The Phillies Are Coming Off A Win

The Phillies’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Mariners, closing out their series with a 6-0 win. After scoring a run in the 1st inning, the Phillies added another run in the 2nd and then went on to score three more runs in the 8th. Overall, Philadelphia was the -125 favorite on the money line going into the game.

Zack Wheeler put together a great start for the Phillies, going eight innings and not giving up a run. He also issued just one walk and struck out nine Mariners batters. Bryce Harper was hot at the plate, going 3/4 with a homer and two RBIs.

Philadelphia is 66-45 overall and leads the NL East by six games over the Braves. The Phillies have gone 15-10 against other NL East teams this season. They have a 38-21 home record but are just above .500 on the road at 28-24. Against the run line, they are 27-25 on the road and 46-47 as favorites.

When the total has been set at 8 runs, the Phillies have a 16-13-1 over/under record. Their games have averaged 8.8 runs this season, and 45.0% of their games have had higher total lines than today’s 8 runs.

Aaron Nola Gets The Start For The Phillies

Right-hander Aaron Nola gets the start for the Phillies today as he faces the Dodgers on the road. Nola has made 22 starts this season and has a record of 11-4 with a 3.43 ERA. So far, he has made 22 appearances and has a WHIP of 1.09. Nola’s most recent outing came on July 30th vs. the Yankees, where he finished with a no-decision, going 5 2/3 innings and giving up two earned runs. He has finished with a no-decision in each of his last three outings. Nola has allowed just one earned run in three straight starts. Per nine innings, he is averaging 8.58 strikeouts and 2.24 walks.

Phillies Offense Breakdown

Coming into the game, the Phillies are 7th in the league in scoring at 4.9 runs per game. They have been even better at home, averaging 5.3 runs per game. Overall, they are one of the league’s top home run-hitting teams and are batting a collective .255, which is 6th in the MLB right now. The Phillies have three players with at least 23 homers, including Bryce Harper, who is 7th in the league with 25 homers.

Kyle Schwarber has been hot of late for the Phillies, going 11/29 in his last eight games with four home runs. This has pushed his season average to .251, and he is 2nd on the team with 23 homers. Alec Bohm is also swinging a hot bat, as he is on a six-game hitting streak and is batting .295 for the season.

The Dodgers Are Coming Off A Win

Los Angeles closed out their series vs. the Athletics with a 3-2 win on the road. Leading up to the game, they were the heavy favorite at -148. It was a big 1st inning for the Dodgers, as they scored two runs right out of the gates. The Athletics could only score two runs, both of which came in the 3rd.

River Ryan got the start for the Dodgers, going 4 2/3 innings, and got the win. He only struck out four Athletics batters and gave up two runs on five hits. Alex Vesia picked up the save out of the bullpen, and Anthony Banda got the final out of the game.

Los Angeles, leading the NL West with a 65-47 record, has a 4.5-game advantage over the Padres. The Dodgers have won two straight games, finishing their series vs. the Athletics with a win.

Against the run line, the Dodgers are 54-58, with a 25-29 record at home and 29-29 on the road. Their average run differential is +0.9 runs per game, and their overall over/under record is 59-53. For games with an 8-run line, they are 6-10, and 68.8% of their games have had higher total lines this season.

Tyler Glasnow Gets The Start For The Dodgers

Right-hander Tyler Glasnow is starting for the Dodgers today and comes into the game with a record of 8-6 and an ERA of 3.50. He has made 20 starts this season and has a WHIP of .96. Opposing batters are hitting .177 off Glasnow this season. In his last outing, he finished with a no-decision, giving up three earned runs in seven innings of work. Before that, he had given up at least five earned runs in three straight starts. Glasnow has made 12 quality starts this season and is averaging 11.53 strikeouts per nine innings.

Dodgers Offense Breakdown

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Shohei Ohtani has been the Dodgers’ top hitter this season, as he comes into the game batting .306 and is 2nd in the league with 33 home runs. Ohtani also leads the team with 79 RBIs. However, he has struggled a bit of late, hitting just .179 over his last seven games. Teoscar Hernandez has also been a key power bat for the Dodgers, as he is 2nd on the team with 23 homers and has gone 2/7 in his last seven games.

Overall, the Dodgers have been one of the best offensive teams in the league this season. They are 3rd in home runs and are 6th in scoring at 4.9 runs per game. The team’s on-base percentage of .333 is 2nd in the league, and they also have the 4th best slugging percentage in the MLB.

Phillies vs Dodgers Prediction

Our prediction for this Dodgers vs. Phillies matchup is that the Dodgers will pick up a 6-5 win at home. Given that they are at -132 on the money line, this is the way we would recommend playing this one.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we do have Tyler Glasnow finishing with more strikeouts than Aaron Nola. Our projections have Glasnow finishing with six strikeouts compared to Nola with five.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.