Philadelphia Phillies vs Miami Marlins MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Phillies vs Miami Marlins Prediction 9/5/2024

The Philadelphia Phillies (83-56) travel to face off against the Miami Marlins (52-87) on Thursday, September 5th. This game will be played at loanDepot Park in Miami and televised on MLBN. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. First pitch is set for 5:40 CT.

Phillies vs. Marlins Betting Prediction

  • Money Line Prediction: Marlins (+188)
  • Over/Under Prediction: Over 8 Runs
  • Marlins have won 6 of their last 10 games.
  • Marlins have scored 7 or more runs in 4 of their last 10 games.
  • Marlins have a home record of 26-45, but have won 3 of their last 5 home games.
  • Marlins won their last home game against the Phillies on May 12th with a score of 7-6.
  • Phillies have a road record of 36-31, but have lost 3 of their last 5 road games.

Phillies vs Marlins

philadelphia phillies nba

The Phillies Are Coming Off A Win

To close out their series vs. the Blue Jays, the Phillies picked up a 4-2 win. Leading up to the game, they were the slight favorite at -127 on the money line. It was a big 1st inning for the Phillies, as they got on the board with three runs and added another run in the 2nd inning.

Cristopher Sánchez put together a good start for the Phillies, going seven innings and giving up just two runs on six hits. He only had two strikeouts in the outing and got the win.

Philadelphia has won four straight series and are on a four-game run line win streak on the road. Their overall series record is 24-16-6, and they hold a 83-56 record, leading the NL East by seven games over the Braves. The Phillies are 23-15 against NL East teams this season.

When the over/under line is set at 8 runs, the Phillies have a 17-16-1 O/U record. Their games have averaged 8.9 runs per game, and their season O/U record is 64-68. Against the run line, they are 35-32 on the road, with a +0.4 run margin per game. Straight up, the Phillies are 36-31 on the road and 47-25 at home.

Ranger Suárez Gets The Start For The Phillies

Left-hander Ranger Suárez gets the start for the Phillies today as he faces the Marlins on the road. He has made 22 starts this season and has a record of 11-6 with a 3.02 ERA. Suárez’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.07. In his last outing, he took the loss, giving up four earned runs in four innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts. Suárez has one complete game shutout this season and 11 quality starts. Per nine innings, he is averaging 8.98 strikeouts and just 2.03 walks.

Phillies Offense Breakdown

So far this season, the Phillies are averaging 4.8 runs per game, which is 6th in the league. They have been even better at home, putting up 5.1 runs per contest. Overall, they are the 4th best hitting team in the league, with a combined batting average of .258. Philadelphia’s offense has been very patient at the plate, as they are 7th in the league in walks.

Bryce Harper and Kyle Schwarber have been two of the Phillies’ top power threats this season. Schwarber’s 32 homers is the best mark on the team and 10th in the league, while Harper is right behind him with 26 homers. Harper is also 14th in the league with a batting average of .282. Over his last 10 games, Harper is hitting .382, while Schwarber has gone 11/41 with four homers in that stretch. Schwarber also comes into the game on a three-game hitting streak.

The Marlins Are Coming Off A Win

Heading into their last game vs. the Nationals, the Marlins closed out the series with a 4-3 win. Leading up to the game, they were the slight favorite at +123 on the money line. It was a good start for the Marlins, as they got on the board with a run in the 1st inning and added another run in the 6th.

Valente Bellozo put together a good start for the Marlins, going six innings and not giving up a run. He only had one strikeout in the outing and got the win. The Marlins’s offense was carried by Xavier Edwards, who went 2/5 with a run scored and an RBI.

As underdogs, the Marlins have a 63-58 run line record this season, and their games have averaged 8.9 runs per game. The over has hit in 17 of 29 games with an 8-run total line. Miami is 26-45 at home and 26-42 on the road, and they have a 6-4 record in their last 10 games.

Miami is currently 31 games behind the Phillies in the NL East, with a 52-87 record, and they are 14-27 against divisional opponents. Straight-up, the Marlins are 4-14 as favorites, but they have won three straight games as underdogs.

Adam Oller Gets The Start For The Marlins

Adam Oller is getting the start for the Marlins today at home against the Phillies. In his first start of the season, Oller went 5 2/3 innings, giving up just 1 earned run. He followed that up with a 6-inning outing against the Giants, where he struck out 8 and didn’t allow a run.

Marlins Offense Breakdown

miami marlins

Currently, the Marlins are 29th in the league in runs per game at just 3.8, and things don’t get much better when they are on the road, as they are 28th in the MLB in road games. As a team, they are batting just .240, which is 14th in the league, and they are also near the bottom of the league in on-base percentage and OPS. Miami’s team walk rate is the worst in the league.

Jake Burger has been the Marlins’ top power threat this season, as his 25 homers is 15th in the league. He is also leading the team with 60 RBIs. Jesús Sánchez is on a four-game hitting streak and is batting .245 for the season with 17 homers.

Phillies vs Marlins Prediction

Our recommended bet for this Phillies vs. Marlins matchup is to take the Marlins on the money line, where they are offering a payout of +188. With the Phillies at -229, we see a lot of value in taking the Marlins to win, and our predicted final score is 5-4 in favor of the Marlins.

Looking at the starting pitchers, our projections have Adam Oller finishing with six strikeouts, which would have him as the seventh highest among starters today. As for Ranger Suarez, we have him finishing with six K’s, which would have him as the 10th highest.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.