The Philadelphia Phillies (84-56) travel to face off against the Miami Marlins (52-88) on Friday, September 6th. This game will be played at loanDepot Park in Miami and televised on BSFL. The Phillies are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Marlins are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Phillies. First pitch is set for 6:10 CT.
Phillies vs. Marlins Betting Prediction
- Money Line Prediction: Marlins (+191)
- Over/Under Prediction: Over 7.5 Runs
- The Marlins have won 3 out of their last 5 home games.
- The Marlins scored an average of 5.2 runs per game in their last 5 home wins.
- The Marlins have a head-to-head win against the Phillies in their last home game against them (7-6 on May 12th).
- The Marlins have scored 7 or more runs in 4 of their last 10 games.
- The Marlins have a better home record (26-46) compared to their away record (26-42), indicating stronger performance at home.
Phillies vs Marlins
Philadelphia picked up a 5-2 win over the Marlins in the most recent game of this series. The Phillies had a huge 6th inning, scoring four of their five runs. As for the Marlins, they scored their only two runs in the 7th. Heading into the game, the Phillies were favored at -237 on the money line.
Ranger Suarez started for the Phillies and picked up the win, going five innings and not giving up a run. He finished the game with just two strikeouts and allowed two walks. Adam Oller got the start for the Marlins and took the loss, giving up four earned runs in 5 1/3 innings of work.
Bryson Stott and Kody Clemens each had two RBIs for the Phillies’ offense. Stott, Andrew McCutchen, and J.T. Realmuto each scored two runs for Philadelphia. As for the Marlins, Nick Fortes went 2/3 with two RBIs.
Philadelphia has been solid as the road favorite this season, posting a 25-19 record in that role. Their overall run line record is 69-71, and they have covered in their last five road games. The Phillies are 37-31 on the road and 47-25 at home, with an average run margin of 0.5 on the road and 1.2 at home.
With a five-game winning streak, the Phillies have an 84-56 record and an eight-game lead over the Mets in the NL East. The under has hit in their last two games, and their over/under record for the season is 64-69. The O/U average for Phillies games is 8.9 runs per game, and today’s total is set at 7.5 runs.
Zack Wheeler Gets The Start For The Phillies
Zack Wheeler has been pitching well for the Phillies this season and comes into today’s game with a record of 13-6 and an ERA of 2.63. So far, he has made 27 starts, and opponents are batting .191 off the right-hander. Wheeler has turned in 21 quality starts this year and is averaging 9.82 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, Wheeler didn’t allow a run, picking up the win after going seven innings vs. the Braves. Before that, he had given up at least two earned runs in three straight starts. The right-hander has been much better at home, coming in with a 9-3 record and 2.53 ERA compared to 4-3 with a 3.84 ERA on the road.
Phillies Offense Breakdown
Heading into today’s game, the Phillies are averaging 4.8 runs per game, which is 6th in the league. They have been even better at home, putting up 5.1 runs per contest. Overall, they are 4th in team batting average at .258 and have the 8th ranked home run total in the league.
Kyle Schwarber and Alec Bohm are both near the top of the league in RBIs, with Schwarber’s 32 homers leading the team and Bohm’s 89 RBIs leading the Phillies and ranking 10th in the league. Schwarber has been hot of late, going 10/37 with four homers in his last nine games. Bryce Harper is also having a strong season, with a team-high 26 homers and a batting average of .280.
When the Marlins are underdogs, they have a 63-59 record against the run line, but as favorites, they are just 2-16. Miami’s average run differential is -1.4 runs per game, and their games have averaged 8.9 runs this season. The over has hit in 20 of their 28 games with a total of 7.5 runs.
Miami’s overall record this season is 52-88, and they are 32 games behind the Phillies in the NL East. They are in 5th place in the division and have a series record of 11-25-8. The Marlins are 5-5 in their last 10 games, and they lost the first game of this series vs. the Phillies.
Edward Cabrera Gets The Start For The Marlins
Miami is starting right-hander Edward Cabrera today vs. the Phillies. He has made 16 starts this season and has a record of 3-6 with a 5.33 ERA. Cabrera’s WHIP for the season is 1.47, and opponents are batting .230 off him this year. In his 16 starts, he has turned in three quality starts and is averaging 9.95 strikeouts per nine innings. The last time he pitched, Cabrera picked up the win, going 5 1/3 innings and giving up one earned run. Before that, he had lost three straight starts.
Marlins Offense Breakdown
For the season, the Marlins are averaging just 3.8 runs per game, which is 29th in the league. They have been a little better at home, averaging 4.1 runs per game. As a team, the Marlins are batting .240, which is 15th in the league, and their team on-base percentage of .296 is 19th. Miami is also near the bottom of the league in terms of walks and home runs.
Jake Burger has been the Marlins’ top power threat this season, as his 25 homers are 14th in the league. He also leads the team with 60 RBIs. Burger has gone deep three times in his last four games. Jesús Sánchez is also on a good stretch of play, as he is on a five-game hitting streak and has the 2nd most homers on the team (17).
Phillies vs Marlins Prediction
Our predicted final score for this Phillies vs. Marlins matchup is a 5-4 win for the Marlins. With the Marlins being at +191 on the money line, this is a great payout for a team that we have coming out on top.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Zack Wheeler is projected to have a solid outing, but we have him finishing with seven strikeouts compared to Edward Cabrera, who is projected to finish with six. Cabrera has a better chance of picking up a win than Wheeler and is also going to give up fewer runs.
Offensively, the Marlins are projected to finish with eight hits compared to the Phillies with seven. And in terms of home runs, the Marlins are 16th in the league in projected home runs, with the Phillies coming in at 17th.
Edward Cabrera is also projected to go seven innings, while Wheeler is projected to go eight.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:September 6, 2024 Marlins, Phillies