The Philadelphia Phillies (85-56) travel to face off against the Miami Marlins (52-89) on Saturday, September 7th. This game will be played at loanDepot Park in Miami and televised on NSPPH. The Phillies are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Marlins are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Phillies. First pitch is set for 3:10 CT.

Phillies vs. Marlins Betting Prediction

• Money Line Prediction: Marlins (+198)
• Over/Under Prediction: Over 8.5 Runs

• Marlins have a winning record at home in their last 15 games, with 5 wins and 4 losses.
• Marlins scored an average of 5.0 runs per game in their last 5 home wins.
• Marlins have a recent head-to-head win against the Phillies, scoring 5 runs on August 13th.
• Marlins have scored 7 or more runs in 4 of their last 15 games, showing potential for high-scoring games.
• Phillies have a slightly worse away record (38-31) compared to their home record (47-25), indicating they are less dominant on the road.

Phillies vs Marlins

Philadelphia cruised to a 16-2 win over the Marlins in the most recent game of this series. The Phillies had a huge 2nd inning, scoring four of their runs and adding three more in the 5th. As for the Marlins, they scored their only two runs in the 4th. Heading into the game, the Phillies were favored at -281 on the money line.

Zack Wheeler pitched well for the Phillies in this one, going six innings and giving up just one run. He finished the game with seven strikeouts but issued five walks. On the other side, Austin Kitchen got the start for the Marlins and gave up six runs in just two innings of work.

Trea Turner and Kyle Schwarber each homered for the Phillies, while Bryce Harper went 3/5 with two RBIs. Kody Clemens also had a three-hit game and drove in three runs.

Philadelphia is on a roll, having won six straight games and four straight series. They are 72-41 when favored this season and have a 24-16-6 series record. The Phillies are 38-31 on the road and 47-25 at home, with an average run margin of +0.9 runs per game.

The Phillies’ over/under record this season is 65-69, and their games have averaged 8.9 runs per game. Today’s total of 8.5 runs is lower than usual, as only 29.8% of their games have had higher totals. Heading into today’s game, Philadelphia is 3-0 ATS as the favorite and has covered the run line in six straight road games, bringing their road run line record to 37-32.

Aaron Nola Gets The Start For The Phillies

Right-hander Aaron Nola gets the start for the Phillies today as he faces the Marlins on the road. Nola has made 28 starts this year and has a record of 12-6 with an ERA of 3.29. So far, he has turned in 18 quality starts, one shutout, and one complete game. Nola’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.15. In his last outing, he finished with a no-decision, giving up two earned runs in six innings of work. Before that, he had gone three straight outings without giving up an earned run. Per nine innings, Nola is averaging 8.46 strikeouts and just 2.25 walks.

Phillies Offense Breakdown

Philadelphia comes into the game as one of the league’s top offenses, averaging 4.9 runs per game, which is 5th in the MLB. They have been even better at home, averaging 5.1 runs per game. The Phillies have been a good home run-hitting team this season, and they also have the league’s 3rd best team batting average. Collectively, they have been tough to strike out and have done a good job of drawing walks.

Over his last five games, Kyle Schwarber has gone 11/24 with five homers and 10 RBIs. Schwarber’s 33 homers this season are 9th in the league and the best mark on the Phillies. He is also 1st on the team in RBIs (92). Bryce Harper and Alec Bohm are also near the top of the Phillies’ home run leaderboards, with 26 and 13 homers, respectively.

Miami is looking to avoid a series sweep as they are down 0-2 to the Phillies. The Marlins are 52-89 overall, placing them 5th in the NL East, 33 games behind the Phillies. As underdogs, they have a 48-75 record straight up, and their run line record is 63-60. Their games have averaged 9.0 runs, resulting in a 76-61 over/under record.

Darren McCaughan Gets The Start For The Marlins

Miami is giving the ball to right-hander Darren McCaughan today, and he has made one start and six appearances this year. McCaughan’s ERA is 8.24, and he has a record of 0-0. In his 19 2/3 innings of work, McCaughan has given up six home runs and is averaging 4.58 walks per nine innings compared to 4.58 strikeouts. The last time he took the mound was on September 1st, where he gave up three earned runs in four innings of work. He finished with a no-decision in that outing. McCaughan has finished with a no-decision in each of his last three outings.

Marlins Offense Breakdown

One of the few bright spots for the Marlins offense this season has been the play of Jake Burger and Jesús Sánchez, who are the team’s top two home run hitters and RBI leaders. Burger has gone deep 25 times this season, while Sánchez has 17 homers. Burger is also batting .246 for the season, and Sánchez comes in with a batting average of .245. Derek Hill has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 5/18 in his last six games with three homers.

As a team, the Marlins are averaging just 3.8 runs per game, which is the worst mark in the league. They have been slightly better at home, averaging 4 runs per game. Overall, they are 25th in home runs and have the league’s worst on-base percentage. Miami’s team batting average of .239 is 15th in the league.

Phillies vs Marlins Prediction

Given the payout, we really like the Marlins on the money line today, as they are currently sitting at +198. If you’re looking for a predicted final score, we see the Marlins coming out on top 5-4.

Looking at Aaron Nola’s projections, he is not a great option to pick up a win today, as he ranks 10th in terms of starters to get a win. His predicted strikeout total is also on the lower side, as we have him finishing with five K’s.

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All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

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* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.