The Philadelphia Phillies (91-60) travel to face off against the Milwaukee Brewers (87-64) on Wednesday, September 18th. This game will be played at American Family Field in Milwaukee and televised on MLBN. The Phillies are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Brewers are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Phillies. First pitch is set for 6:40 CT.

Phillies vs. Brewers Betting Prediction

• Money Line Prediction: Brewers (-119)
• Over/Under Prediction: Over 8 Runs

• The Brewers have scored 5 or more runs in 8 of their last 15 games, showing strong offensive performance.
• Milwaukee has a 6-4 record in their last 10 games, indicating solid recent form.
• The Brewers have won 4 of their last 6 home games, demonstrating a home-field advantage.
• In their last 3 home games against the Phillies, the Brewers have outscored them 13-7.
• Milwaukee has a higher league rank (3rd) compared to Philadelphia (1st), suggesting overall better performance this season.

Phillies vs Brewers

Philadelphia cruised to a 5-1 win over the Brewers in the most recent game of this series. The Phillies had a huge 2nd inning, scoring four of their five runs. As for the Brewers, they scored their only run in the 4th. Heading into the game, the Phillies were favored at -141 on the money line.

Zack Wheeler pitched well for the Phillies in this one, going seven innings and giving up just one run. He finished the game with six strikeouts but didn’t issue a single walk. Frankie Montas got the start for the Brewers, going just 5 2/3 innings and giving up three runs.

At the plate, Bryce Harper and Nick Castellanos each homered for the Phillies. Harper, Trea Turner, and Kyle Schwarber each had two RBIs. Turner went 3/5 with a stolen base.

Philadelphia has an overall record of 91-60, putting them eight games ahead of the Mets in the NL East. Their series record this season is 27-16-7, and they have won two straight series. As favorites, the Phillies are 78-45, but as underdogs, they are 13-15. Their run line record is 73-78, with an average run margin of +0.8 runs per game.

This season, the average run total in Phillies games is 8.9 runs, and their overall over/under record is 70-73. When the total is set at 8 runs, their O/U record is 17-18-2. On the road, they have a 38-35 run line record, with an average run margin of +0.4 runs per game.

Aaron Nola Gets The Start For The Phillies

Right-hander Aaron Nola gets the start for the Phillies today as he faces the Brewers on the road. Nola has made 30 starts this season and has a record of 12-8 with a 3.62 ERA. Looking at his overall numbers, Nola has a WHIP of 1.20 and has pitched one shutout and one complete game this year. In his last outing, Nola took the loss, giving up six earned runs in 4 1/3 innings of work. Before that, he had given up two homers in two straight outings. So far, Nola has a 4.71 ERA on the road compared to 3.81 at home.

Phillies Offense Breakdown

Philadelphia comes into the game as one of the league’s top offensive teams, averaging 4.8 runs per game, which is 5th in the MLB. They have been even better at home, averaging 5 runs per contest. The Phillies are also one of the league’s top home run-hitting teams, as they are 8th in the league in homers. Overall, they are batting .258 as a team, which is the 4th best mark in the league.

Over his last seven games, Bryce Harper has gone 10/28 with three homers and five RBIs. Harper is batting .289 for the season and is 2nd on the team with 84 RBIs. Kyle Schwarber leads the Phillies with 35 homers and is 10th in the league with 97 RBIs.

As the underdog, the Brewers have a 44-21 run line record, but as the favorite, they are 34-52. Their overall run line record is 78-73, with an average total of 8.8 runs per game. This season, 54.3% of their games have had over/under lines of 8 or higher.

Milwaukee leads the NL Central with an 87-64 record, 10 games ahead of the Cubs. They have won two straight series and have an overall series record of 27-17-4. At home, the Brewers are 43-30, and on the road, they are 44-34.

Freddy Peralta Gets The Start For The Brewers

Freddy Peralta will be looking to build off his last outing, where he gave up just one earned run in five innings of work. In that outing, he picked up the win. Looking at his overall numbers, Peralta has made 30 starts and has a record of 11-8. His ERA for the season is 3.75, along with a WHIP of 1.24. Opposing batters are hitting .221 off Peralta this season. The right-hander has turned in 11 quality starts and is averaging 10.14 strikeouts per nine innings. For the year, Peralta has allowed 25 homers and is averaging 3.53 walks per nine innings.

Brewers Offense Breakdown

William Contreras and Willy Adames have been two of the Brewers’ top power threats this season, as Adames’ 32 homers is 10th in the league, and Contreras is 3rd on the team with 22 homers. Adames also comes into the game with the league’s 3rd most RBIs at 109. However, Adames is just 6/29 in his last eight games, and Contreras is on a three-game hitting streak.

As a team, the Brewers are 4th in the league in runs scored at 4.9 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.1 runs per contest. Overall, they are batting .250 as a team and have the 4th best on-base percentage in the league.

Phillies vs Brewers Prediction

The best bet in this Phillies vs. Brewers matchup is to take the Brewers on the money line at -119. We actually have the Brewers winning this one by a score of 5-4, which gives us a little bit of wiggle room with the money line.

Looking at some of the starting pitcher projections, Freddy Peralta is projected to finish with seven strikeouts compared to Aaron Nola with six. Peralta is also projected to finish with a better ERA than Nola, and we have him finishing with a better chance of picking up the win.

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All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

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* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.