The Philadelphia Phillies (64-37) travel to face off against the Minnesota Twins (55-45) on Wednesday, July 24th. This game will be played at Target Field in Minneapolis and televised on NBC10. The Phillies are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Twins are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Phillies. First pitch is set for 12:10 CT.
Phillies vs. Twins Betting Prediction
- Money Line Prediction: Twins (+128)
- Over/Under Prediction: Over 8 Runs
- The Twins have scored 7 or more runs in 4 of their last 6 home games.
- The Twins have won 4 of their last 6 home games.
- The Twins have a home record of 28-21, while the Phillies have an away record of 27-21.
- The Twins have a higher league rank in home wins (28) compared to the Phillies’ away wins (27).
- The Twins have a recent head-to-head win against the Phillies, scoring 7 runs on July 22nd.
Phillies vs Twins
Philadelphia cruised to a 3-0 win over the Twins in the most recent game of this series. The Phillies had a huge 9th inning, scoring all three of their runs. As for the Twins, they had their best chance to score in the 7th, but left the bases loaded. Heading into the game, the Phillies were favored at -151 on the money line.
Zack Wheeler started for the Phillies and picked up the win, going seven innings and not giving up a run. He finished the game with seven strikeouts but issued two walks. As for the Twins, Simeon Woods Richardson got the start and took the loss, giving up three earned runs in six innings of work.
Nick Castellanos was the only player in the game to have more than one hit. He went 1/4 with two RBIs. Both of his RBIs came in the Phillies’ three-run 9th. Minnesota’s 2-3-4 hitters went a combined 0/12 with six strikeouts.
Philadelphia’s overall series record is 19-10-5, but they have lost their last two series, including a 1-2 series loss to the Marlins. The Phillies are 5-5 in their last 10 games and have an average run margin of +1.1 against the run line, with a 52-49 record.
The Phillies lead the NL East with a 64-37 record, nine games ahead of the Braves. They have a 37-16 home record and are 27-21 on the road. This season, the Phillies have gone 56-29 as favorites and 8-8 as underdogs. Heading into today’s game vs. the Twins, the over/under line is set at 8 runs, and the average run total in their games is 8.7 runs per game.
Aaron Nola Gets The Start For The Phillies
Right-hander Aaron Nola gets the start for the Phillies today as he faces the Twins on the road. Nola has made 20 starts this season and has a record of 11-4 with a 3.54 ERA. So far, he has turned in 14 quality starts and is coming off an outing where he finished with a no-decision, giving up four earned runs in five innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts. Nola’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.04, and he has a BB/9 figure of 2.02 compared to 8.66 strikeouts per nine innings.
Phillies Offense Breakdown
Philadelphia comes into today’s game as one of the league’s top offenses, averaging 4.9 runs per game. They have been even better at home, averaging 5.4 runs per game. Overall, the Phillies are 6th in home runs and have the league’s 3rd best team batting average.
Bryce Harper and Alec Bohm have been the Phillies’ top power threats this season, with Harper leading the team with 23 homers and Bohm not far behind with 11. Harper is also 2nd on the team in batting average (.296), and Bohm comes into the game hitting .293. Harper has gone deep three times in his last seven games, while Trea Turner is also on a three-game homer streak.
Minnesota has a 55-45 overall record and is five games behind the Guardians in the AL Central. Against other teams in the division, they are 19-13. The Twins have an average run margin of +0.4 runs per game, and their games have averaged 9.2 runs per game this season.
As favorites, the Twins are 44-26 straight up, but as underdogs, they are 11-19. Their run line record is 47-53, and they have a 28-23 run line record on the road. This season, the over/under record for their games is 50-48, and the average O/U line is 8 runs.
Steven Okert Gets The Start For The Twins
Steven Okert will be pitching out of the bullpen for the Twins today and is coming off a rough outing. In his most recent appearance, he gave up two earned runs in two-thirds of an inning of work, taking the loss in the process. Looking back over his last three outings, Okert has allowed at least one earned run in each of them. Overall, he has made 34 appearances and has a record of 3-1 with a 4.39 ERA. Opposing batters are hitting .241 off Okert this season. So far, he has made 18 appearances on the road, going 3-0 with a 5.25 ERA compared to 0-1 with an 8.16 ERA at home.
Twins Offense Breakdown
Carlos Correa has been one of the Twins’ top hitters this season, batting .308 with a team-high 13 home runs and 47 RBIs. He is currently on a four-game hitting streak. Ryan Jeffers and Carlos Santana have also been key power sources for the Twins, as they are tied for the team lead with 14 homers. Jeffers and Santana are also tied for the team lead in RBIs.
Minnesota’s offense has been very consistent this season, averaging 4.8 runs per game both at home and on the road. Overall, they are 6th in the league in runs scored and are also among the league leaders in batting average, on-base percentage, and slugging. As a team, the Twins are 4th in the league in isolated power (.173).
Phillies vs Twins Prediction
With the Twins at +128 on the money line, we see this as a great value pick. Our predicted score is a 6-5 win for the Twins, giving us a lot of value with the Twins on the money line.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Aaron Nola is predicted to finish with five strikeouts, and we have him finishing with a 5.40 ERA. As for the Twins, they are projected to have a combined 13 strikeouts, and we have them finishing with a team ERA of 4.50.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:July 24, 2024 Phillies, Twins