The Philadelphia Phillies (62-34) travel to face off against the Pittsburgh Pirates (48-48) on Friday, July 19th. This game will be played at PNC Park in Pittsburgh and televised on SN PT. The Pirates are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Phillies are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Athletics. First pitch is set for 5:40 CT.
Phillies vs. Pirates Betting Prediction
- Money Line Prediction: Pirates (+123)
- Over/Under Prediction: Over 8 Runs
- The Pirates have won 4 of their last 5 home games.
- The Pirates have scored an average of 7.4 runs per game in their last 5 home games.
- The Pirates have a 7-3 record in their last 10 games.
- The Pirates have outscored their opponents by 20 runs in their last 5 home games.
- The Pirates have a 3-game winning streak against the Phillies in their last head-to-head matchups.
Phillies vs Pirates
The Pirates Took The Last Game Of This Series
Heading into their last game vs. the Athletics, the Phillies closed out the series with an 18-3 loss. Yes, you read that right, the Phillies were the -242 favorite at home going into the game and lost by 15 runs. Things really got away from the Phillies in the 4th inning, as the Athletics scored eight runs in the inning. Philadelphia’s offense scored their only three runs in the 1st.
Orion Kerkering got the start for the Phillies and took the loss. He only lasted one inning, giving up three earned runs. Trea Turner was hot at the plate, going 2/2 with a homer and three RBIs.
Philadelphia has been a solid team to bet on the run line this season, with a 50-46 record. They have a 42-38 run line record as the favorite and are .500 as the underdog at 8-8. The Phillies have an average run margin of 1.1 runs per game.
The Phillies are 62-34 overall this season and have an over/under record of 43-48. The over has hit in their last two games, bringing their O/U record to 14-11-1 when the total is set at 8 runs. Philadelphia is currently 8.5 games ahead of the Braves in the NL East.
Aaron Nola Gets The Start For The Phillies
Right-hander Aaron Nola gets the start for the Phillies today as he faces the Pirates on the road. Nola has made 19 starts this year and has a record of 11-4 with a 3.38 ERA. Looking at his overall numbers, Nola has a WHIP of 1.03 and has pitched one shutout and one complete game this year. In his last outing, he went six innings, giving up one earned run on four hits. He finished with nine strikeouts in that outing. Nola has won three straight starts and has only allowed one earned run in each of those outings.
Phillies Offense Breakdown
Philadelphia comes into today’s game as the league’s top-scoring team at home, averaging 5.4 runs per game. Overall, they are 3rd in the league at 5 runs per contest. The Phillies have been one of the league’s top home run-hitting teams this season and also have the 3rd best team batting average in the MLB.
Over his last eight games, Trea Turner has been on fire for the Phillies, going 12/30 with four homers and 10 RBIs. Alec Bohm comes into the game on a five-game hitting streak and is 3rd on the team with a batting average of .295. He also leads the Phillies with 70 RBIs.
The Pirates Are Coming Off A Win
The Pirates’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the White Sox, closing out their series with a 9-4 win. After allowing one run to the White Sox in the bottom of the first, the Pirates responded with a three-run 3rd inning. Pittsburgh went on to add another four runs in the 4th to put things out of reach. The Pirates were the -166 favorite on the money line going into the game.
Mitch Keller got the start for the Pirates, going three innings and giving up two earned runs on four hits. He only had three strikeouts in the outing and took the win. Pittsburgh’s offense was carried by Bryan Reynolds, who went 2/3 with a homer and three RBIs.
Pittsburgh is 48-48 overall and has won four straight games heading into their series against the Phillies. They are 6.5 games behind the Brewers in the NL Central, sitting in 3rd place. The Pirates’ run line record is 53-43, with an average margin of victory of 3.4 runs per game when they win.
When the total is set at 8 runs, the Pirates have a 10-12 over/under record. Their overall O/U record is 45-50, and their average total line is 8 runs. This season, 48 of their games have had totals higher than 8 runs, while 26 have had lower totals.
Martín Pérez Gets The Start For The Pirates
Martín Pérez gets the start for the Pirates today and will be looking to rebound from his rough outing vs. the Brewers. In that start, he gave up five earned runs in 4 2/3 innings of work. Looking back over his last three outings, Pérez has given up at least one homer in each. The left-hander’s record for the season is 1-5, and his ERA is 5.16. So far, he has made 14 starts, four of which were quality starts. Pérez’s ERA at home is 4.4 compared to 6.98 on the road.
Pirates Offense Breakdown
One thing the Pirates have done well this season is hit home runs, as they are 16th in the league in this category. Bryan Reynolds has been a big reason for this, as his 18 homers are 11th in the MLB and leads the Pirates. Reynolds is also 9th in the league with 61 RBIs. Reynolds has been hot of late, batting .321 over his last seven games, with two homers and seven RBIs.
Ke’Bryan Hayes and Andrew McCutchen are both on four-game hitting streaks coming into the game. Hayes is batting .385 over his last seven games, but he has yet to go deep during this stretch. For the season, he is batting .246 with 14 homers. McCutchen has been a little better in terms of batting average, coming in at .271, but he has just 10 homers.
Phillies vs Pirates Prediction
Our prediction for today’s Phillies vs. Pirates game is to take the Pirates on the money line, with a payout of +123. We have the Pirates winning this one by a score of 6-5. Looking at the starting pitchers, our projections have Martin Perez finishing with five strikeouts, while Aaron Nola is predicted to finish with just five.
Offensively, we have the Pirates finishing with 10 hits compared to the Phillies with nine. If you’re looking for a home run prediction, the Pirates are projected to hit more than the Phillies, with both teams finishing with one.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:July 19, 2024 Phillies, Pirates