The Philadelphia Phillies (62-36) travel to face off against the Pittsburgh Pirates (50-48) on Sunday, July 21st. This game will be played at PNC Park in Pittsburgh and televised on NSPPH. The Pirates are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Phillies are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Pirates. First pitch is set for 12:35 CT.
Phillies vs. Pirates Betting Prediction
- Money Line Prediction: Pirates (+119)
- Over/Under Prediction: Over 9 Runs
- The Pirates have won 6 of their last 7 home games.
- The Pirates have scored an average of 6.4 runs per game in their last 5 home games.
- The Pirates have a 3-game winning streak against the Phillies this season.
- The Pirates have outscored their opponents by 20 runs in their last 15 games.
- The Pirates have a .533 winning percentage at home compared to the Phillies’ .556 winning percentage on the road, indicating a strong home-field advantage.
Phillies vs Pirates
Pittsburgh picked up a 4-1 win over the Phillies in the most recent game of this series. The Pirates offense got off to a fast start, scoring two runs in the first and adding two more in the 2nd. On the other side, the Phillies got on the board with one run in the 6th and added their final run in the 8th.
Oneil Cruz was the difference for the Pirates, as he homered, scored three times, and finished with three RBIs. Andrew McCutchen also had a two-hit game for Pittsburgh. For the Phillies, Bryce Harper hit a home run, while Jean Segura went 2/4.
Luis L. Ortiz pitched well for the Pirates in this one, going seven innings and striking out two without giving up a run. He picked up a win in the game, while Cristopher Sanchez took the loss for Philadelphia.
Philadelphia is 37-16 at home, but on the road, they are 25-20. As favorites, they are 54-28 straight up, but their run line record as favorites is 42-40. The Phillies have a 19-9-5 series record this season.
The Phillies have lost three straight games and trail the Pirates 2-0 in the current series. The over/under line for today’s game is 9 runs, which is higher than their season average of 8.8 runs per game.
Tyler Phillips Gets The Start For The Phillies
Tyler Phillips will be making his 2nd start of the season for the Phillies, as he is coming off a win in his first outing. Phillips went 6 innings in that start, giving up 4 runs on 6 hits. He struck out 5 and walked 2. In his first appearance of the season, he came out of the bullpen and threw 4 innings, striking out 7 batters.
Phillies Offense Breakdown
Philadelphia comes into today’s game as one of the league’s best offensive teams, as they are 5th in runs per game (4.9), and have the league’s top home batting average at 5.4 runs per game. Overall, they are 3rd in team batting average and have the 3rd best on-base percentage and OPS in the league. The Phillies have also been one of the league’s best home run-hitting teams, as they are 6th in homers and have the 4th best slugging percentage in the league.
Bryce Harper and Kyle Schwarber have been two of the league’s top power hitters this season, as Harper’s 22 homers are 6th in the league, and Schwarber’s 19 homers are 8th. Harper is also batting .299 for the season, and Schwarber comes into the game with a batting average of .246. Alec Bohm has been the Phillies’ top run producer, as his 70 RBIs are 3rd in the league, and he is batting .295.
As the underdog, the Pirates have won three straight games and have a 40-18 run line record in that role this season. Pittsburgh is 50-48 overall and has won six consecutive games, placing them 3rd in the NL Central, six games behind the Brewers. Their series record this year is 13-13-5.
For the season, the over/under record in Pirates games is 46-51, with the average run total being 8.5. When the total line is set at 9 runs, their O/U record is 3-7-1. Today’s O/U line is 9 runs, and only 6.1% of their games have had a total of 9 or higher.
Marco Gonzales Gets The Start For The Pirates
Marco Gonzales is getting the start for the Pirates at home against the Phillies. In his first start of the season, Gonzales picked up the win against the White Sox, going 5 innings and giving up just 1 earned run. He also faced the Phillies in his second start of the season and went 6 innings, allowing 2 earned runs.
Pirates Offense Breakdown
Over his last seven games, Bryan Reynolds has gone 12/28 with a homer and five RBIs. For the season, he is batting .290 with a team-high 18 homers and 61 RBIs. Oneil Cruz is also having a strong season at the plate, with a batting average of .255 and 15 homers.
Andrew McCutchen is on a six-game hitting streak for the Pirates and is batting .296 over his last seven games. During this stretch, he has one homer and five RBIs. Overall, McCutchen is hitting .275 with 14 homers and 46 RBIs. The Pirates offense is averaging 4.2 runs per game, which is 19th in the league.
Phillies vs Pirates Prediction
We are getting great value on the money line with the Pirates at +119, and this is our recommended bet for this Phillies vs. Pirates matchup. Our predicted final score is 6-5 in favor of the Pirates, and at +119, there is a lot of value on the money line.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Marco Gonzales is predicted to finish with four strikeouts compared to Tyler Phillips, who is projected to finish with five. Gonzales is also predicted to finish with fewer hits allowed than Phillips.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:July 21, 2024 Phillies, Pirates