The Philadelphia Phillies (65-44) travel to face off against the Seattle Mariners (58-53) on Saturday, August 3rd. This game will be played at T-Mobile Park in Seattle and televised on NSPPH. The Mariners are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Phillies are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Mariners. First pitch is set for 8:40 CT.
Phillies vs. Mariners Betting Prediction
- Money Line Prediction: Mariners (-129)
- Over/Under Prediction: Over 8.5 Runs
- The Mariners have scored 10 or more runs in 3 of their last 7 games.
- Seattle has a home record of 32-23, indicating strong performance at home.
- The Mariners have won 5 of their last 7 home games.
- Seattle’s offense has averaged 5.6 runs per game over their last 5 wins.
- The Phillies are currently on a 5-game losing streak.
Phillies vs Mariners
Seattle cruised to a 10-2 win over the Phillies in the most recent game of this series. The Mariners had a huge 2nd inning, scoring seven of their ten runs. As for the Phillies, they scored their only two runs in the 9th. Heading into the game, the Mariners were favored at -114.
Bryan Woo pitched well for the Mariners in this one, going seven innings and striking out six without giving up a run. He picked up a win in the game, while Tyler Phillips took the loss for the Phillies. Phillips went just 1 2/3 innings and gave up eight earned runs.
Offensively, the Mariners were led by Justin Turner and Victor Robles, as they were the only two Mariners hitters to have more than one hit. Turner also hit the game’s only home run. For the Phillies, Alec Bohm went 2/4 with an RBI.
After dropping five straight games, the Phillies are now 2-8 in their last 10 games and are just five games ahead of the Braves in the NL East. This losing streak is part of a larger issue, as they have lost five consecutive series.
This season, the Phillies are 53-56 on the run line, including a 25-25 record on the road. Their games have averaged 8.8 runs, and their O/U record is 50-54. When the O/U line is set at 8.5 runs, their O/U record is 7-11. Today’s O/U line is 8.5 runs, which is the 31st time this season that they have had an O/U line of 8.5 runs, making up 28.4% of their games.
Orion Kerkering Gets The Start For The Phillies
Right-hander Orion Kerkering is getting the start for the Phillies today as he faces the Mariners on the road. He has made 41 appearances this season and just one start. Kerkering’s ERA for the season is an impressive 2.21, along with a record of 2-2. In his one start, he went one inning and took the loss, giving up one earned run. Kerkering has come out of the bullpen for his last three appearances and didn’t give up a run in any of them. He finished with a no-decision in each of those outings.
Phillies Offense Breakdown
The Phillies come into today’s game with the 8th best scoring offense in the league, averaging 4.9 runs per game. They have been even better at home, putting up 5.3 runs per contest. Overall, they are the 4th best hitting team in the league, with a team batting average of .255. As a team, they are also near the top of the league in home runs and walks.
Over the team’s last five games, Alec Bohm has gone 6/20 (.300) with three runs scored and two RBIs. Bohm is hitting .297 for the season and is 2nd on the team with 73 RBIs. Bryce Harper and Kyle Schwarber have been the team’s top power threats, with Harper leading the team with 24 homers and Schwarber sitting in 2nd with 22.
Seattle is tied with the Astros for the AL West lead, both teams holding a 58-53 record. The Mariners have dropped five straight series at home and their overall series record is 15-18-2. They are 5-5 in their last 10 games and took the first game of this series vs. the Phillies.
Overall, Seattle’s games have averaged 7.7 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 48-58. When the over/under line has been set at 8.5 runs, their record is 11-3. The Mariners are 32-23 at home and 26-30 on the road, with an average run differential of +0.3 runs per game.
Bryce Miller Gets The Start For The Mariners
Seattle is starting right-hander Bryce Miller today vs. the Phillies, and he has made 21 starts this season. Miller’s record is 8-7, and he has an ERA of 3.46. Looking back at his last outing, Miller pitched well, going 6 1/3 innings and giving up three earned runs. He ended up getting the win in that outing. One of the key stats for Miller today will be his batting average allowed, which is currently .212. Miller has turned in 11 quality starts this year and is averaging 8.02 strikeouts per nine innings.
Mariners Offense Breakdown
Cal Raleigh has been a bright spot for the Mariners offense this season, as he leads the team with 23 home runs and is also 12th in the league with 67 RBIs. However, he is batting just .214. Julio Rodriguez has also been a solid power threat, as he has 11 homers and is batting .263. Randy Arozarena is 2nd on the team with 16 homers but is batting just .218.
Seattle’s offense has been one of the league’s worst this season, as they are averaging only 4 runs per game (28th) and are batting just .219 as a team. They also have the most strikeouts per game in the league and have the worst slugging percentage in the league.
Phillies vs Mariners Prediction
Our pick for this Phillies vs. Mariners matchup is to take the Mariners on the money line at -129. We have the Mariners winning this one by a final score of 6-5, which means there is also some value in taking the over, as the line is sitting at 8.5 runs.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Bryce Miller of the Mariners has the sixth-best chances among starters to pick up a win, and with a money line pick, this is a good sign. However, his projected innings are on the lower side, and his strikeout numbers are not great, with our projections having him finishing with five K’s.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:August 3, 2024 Mariners, Phillies